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Democratic Primaries
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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Here's How the Democratic Presidential Nomination Will Go
https://prospect.org/article/heres-how-democratic-presidential-nomination-will-goHeres How the Democratic Presidential Nomination Will Go
Paul Starr
March 6, 2019
A much-too-early scenario
Since the Democratic presidential nomination is wide open and will have more than a dozen serious candidates, it is foolhardy and premature to speculate about how the race will play out. So lets be foolhardy and premature and do exactly that.
In the early pollsto which, of course, we should pay no attention whatsoeverKamala Harris has broken out of the pack of new candidates and is running third, behind the two old guys with the widest name recognition, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, both of whose support may be soft.
That trio does make a certain degree of sense in terms of the partys make-up. As an African American and child of immigrants (from Jamaica and India), Harris may win particularly strong support from people of color. Sanderss biggest appeal is to white progressives and others who want to shake up the status quo, while Biden is the candidate of continuity, moderation, and familiarity, though he hasnt yet said whether hes running.
Leaping ahead, lets say that three principal candidates emerge from the early primaries and that Harris is one of them, especially because California and the southern states vote in early March, which should give her a boost (assuming Stacey Abrams stays out of the race).
Sanders may have to duke it out with Elizabeth Warren because they appeal to many of the same voters. Both will also be expected to do well in New Hampshire, which has often given an edge to candidates from neighboring states. A recent national NBC-Wall Street Journal poll found that being a socialist and over 75 were the two characteristics respondents identified as least desirable in a presidential candidate. But Sanders has a devoted core following, which may be larger than Warrens. So lets suppose Sanders wins the battle in New Hampshire and other early states, forcing Warren to suspend her campaign. (Ill come back to the opposite possibility later on.)
Lets call the third main surviving candidate from the early primaries Candidate B. That could be Biden, or Beto, or Booker, or Brown, or even a candidate whose name somehow doesnt begin with B like KloBuchar. Candidate B is by no means a conservative but is perceived as more moderate than Sanders or Harris. (If Candidate B is Sherrod Brown, that may not be true.) There could even be more than one Candidate B if a candidate who is running fourth or fifth decides to stay in the race because none of the top three is winning a majority of delegates.
snip//
Yes, youre right, its way too early to engage in this kind of speculation. I should be using my time and yours more productivelydont we all have more urgent things to do? Besides, its not as if the future of the world depended on the Democratic nomination.
Oh, wait it does.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Here's How the Democratic Presidential Nomination Will Go (Original Post)
babylonsister
Mar 2019
OP
pwb
(11,245 posts)1. We ran the strongest woman of our time in the last election.
She lost to a horrible bully who is probably running again. I think Joe Biden can beat Trump with a woman vice president and she could run in 2024 and win and be our first woman President. That is how i would like to see this election play out.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden