New Monmouth University Poll, Warren now tops Sanders

[Kahuna7]

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_061919/

[qazplm135]

1. Warren

is a progressive, who stayed loyal to Democrats, and has concrete plans.

Bernie is only the first...why wouldn't Democratic voters start to prefer her over him??

[Kahuna7]

2. He's in not so rare form today. As usual..the Corporate Dems...blah blah blah

Link to tweet

[MineralMan]

5. Well, that's a sour note Tweet, for sure.

[qazplm135]

6. earlier than I thought

that Bernie would start going after Warren as a faux progressive.

I don't think it's going to work beyond his base, she's VERY clearly a strong progressive with extensive bona fides.

If she is our nominee, she'd be the most progressive candidate we've had in the modern era.

But yes she wouldn't start a "revolution" so not enough for the true believers...or apparently Bernie.

[Kahuna7]

8. His tweet was in response to a Politico article..

linked in his tweet about how "third way" Democrats who were previously cool to Warren are now accepting of her as a way to stop Bernie.

[qazplm135]

9. I get it

but it's still pretty clearly a shot at her.

It's certainly not a "well nice to see centrists get behind a strong progressive like Warren."

[MineralMan]

4. The trend doesn't seem to be in Senator Sanders' favor.

Joe Biden is holding steady, though, with a 17 point advantage and still doubling his nearest competitor and a little more.

Even if you added up Warren's and Sanders' numbers, Biden would still be in the lead.

[qazplm135]

7. unlikely to remain static

even if Biden remains on top, someone will emerge to challenge.

[MineralMan]

10. That might happen. Or, it also might happen that two or three

other candidates will split other supporters and make up a second tier of candidates, right up until the primaries.

[qazplm135]

11. I think it more likely

that ultimately folks will pool around an anti-whomever is in the lead.

Whether that's Biden or Bernie or Warren or whomever.

Pretty basic pattern.

We don't have a slam dunk candidate. We have one guy in the 20s to 30s. That's not a slam dunk.
Heck this time in 07, Hillary was in the high 30s and low 40s, and she had a much smaller field to contend with, with only really two other viable candidates...not the four or so Biden has.

In fact, she averaged a double digit lead all the way into mid-January 08.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2008_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries

[SouthernProgressive]

12. The more people get to know Sanders, the lower he will go.

The more people get to know Warren, the higher she will go.

She is the real deal.

[wyldwolf]

13. It's rather interesting (to me, anyway) ...

... that the top tier actually reflects my preferences, in order, of Democrats in the race:

Biden
Warren
Harris
Buttigieg (and I spelled that without looking )