Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumOcasio-Cortez on Biden: 'I think that he's not a pragmatic choice'
The Hill"I think he's not a pragmatic choice," Ocasio-Cortez says.
In a lengthy profile on the freshman progressive lawmaker published in Vogue on Wednesday, Ocasio-Cortez said her concerns around Biden are similar to issues former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had in 2016.
"If you pick the perfect candidate like Joe Biden to win that guy in the diner, the cost will make you lose because you will depress turnout as well, she said. And thats exactly what happened to 2016. We picked the logically fitting candidate, but that candidate did not inspire the turnout that we needed.
Ocasio-Cortez said her frustration with politics today stems from candidates' desire to sacrifice the electorate as a whole for that dude in the diner.
The dude in the diner shows up and votes.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kahuna7
(2,531 posts)Last edited Wed Jun 26, 2019, 12:15 PM - Edit history (1)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LongtimeAZDem
(4,494 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Green Line
(1,123 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
kcr
(15,315 posts)Bet on it.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)Among 18- to 29-year-olds, voter turnout went from 20 percent in 2014 to 36 percent in 2018, the largest percentage point increase for any age group a 79 percent jump.
https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2019/04/behind-2018-united-states-midterm-election-turnout.html
AOC is wrong to dismiss older voters though, look at the census chart and you see turnout percentage increases with age.
She should have stuck to her actual point, that in her opinion some candidates would turn off younger voters and Democrats would lose their margin of victory.
We need a consensus candidate that can appeal to Democrats of all ages, not just the youngest, or oldest 30%.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
empedocles
(15,751 posts)There are reasons that red seats Reps look askance at all this dem purist stuff looking at 2020. They know their Districts.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
KPN
(15,642 posts)to get them past their lack of excitement about a Biden nomination. It's pretty clear they want to see the page turned decisively. They aren't about returning to the collegiality of the past.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
KPN
(15,642 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)constituency. They sure didn't come out in the midterms but moderates did...we need moderates to take back the house...take a look at a Senate map and an electoral college map...it will make you weep when you consider the ramifications now and even in 24.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emulatorloo
(44,116 posts)Poll from a few months ago, but I think it proves it is a mistake to assume millennials dont like and wont be excited to vote for Biden and against Trump
https://www.democraticunderground.com/128729144
...
Poll: Biden leads among millennial voters
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/434639-poll-biden-leads-among-millennial-voters
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads a selection of Democratic presidential candidates and potential candidates among millennial voters, according to a survey released Monday.
According to CBS News, a poll organized by the University of Chicago's GenForward Project found that Biden has the support of 21 percent of voters between the ages of 18 and 34. Coming in second is Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who is supported by 18 percent of millennials, according to the poll.
The poll also showed that young minority voters support Biden. Twenty-nine percent of Asian-American millennials, 28 percent of African-American millennials and 19 percent of Hispanic millennials said they plan to back Biden, the poll found.
The poll was based on interviews with 2,134 millennials from Feb. 8 to Feb. 25 and has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points, according to CBS News.
-sniip-
From the CBS article:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/joe-biden-leads-2020-democrats-in-millennial-support-poll-finds/
Former Vice President Joe Biden, who is mulling a White House bid, leads declared and potential Democratic presidential candidates in support among millennial voters, according to a new poll of adults between the ages of 18 and 34.
The poll, organized by the University of Chicago's GenForward Survey Project, found that 21 percent of millennials back Biden over Democrats who have entered the crowded primary field, including Sens. Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth Warren. Sanders, whose insurgent 2016 campaign was fueled by ardent support among young progressive voters, is a close second at 18 percent.
According to the poll, Biden also enjoys strong support among young minority voters. With support from 29 percent of Asian American millennials, 28 percent of African American millennials and 19 percent of millennial whites, the former Delaware senator led in all surveyed voting blocs except millennial Latinos. Twenty-six percent of Hispanics between the ages of 18 and 34 said they support Sanders. Among that group, Biden came in second with 19 percent support.
-snip-
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
George II
(67,782 posts)Voting in general was way up across the board. As for young voters, the increase from 2014 to 2018 is partly because turnout among younger voters in 2014 was very low, the lowest turnout of all the age groups, only 19.9% (vs 35.6% for the next lowest turnout in 2014).
When you start low any increase is prounounced. It still was the lowest of the four distinct age groups, 35.6% to 48.8% for 30-44, 59.5% for 45-64, and a whopping 66.1% for 65+ (historically the highest turnout age group year after year)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
KPN
(15,642 posts)her concerns do have some legitimacy in my view.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)to win the general....we need rustbelt states or Trump wins.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
KPN
(15,642 posts)strike me as a safe choice if not a sure bet. We had what we thought was a sure bet last time.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)who has a snowballs chance in hell in the general...we need rust belt states...the progressive message won't play here.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)"If you pick the perfect candidate like Joe Biden to win that guy in the diner, the cost will make you lose because you will depress turnout as well."
I'm surprised that sentence passed her lips. She is smarter than that. The sentence itself is void of meaning.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
honest.abe
(8,678 posts)Although that might be somewhat true it doesn't at all mean Biden will lose. In fact its becoming clear that Biden brings alot more moderate voters to the D side than the number of "uninspired" who might not show up.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
loyalsister
(13,390 posts)Suppose you lose 2 votes for to each the guy in the diner? It's not a great trade off.
It wasn't only guys at the diner who threw the election to Trump by not showing up. Black voter turnout was down. Combining that factor with the ever increasing younger voter pool, it's worth rethinking electability and conventional wisdom about safe candidates.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)It really is a nonsensical statement she made.
Good point you make that actually compounds the nonsensical nature of the statement.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
loyalsister
(13,390 posts)She's pointing out the flaw in the argument for a Biden candidacy which presumes the need to appeal to the white guy in the diner who voted for Trump or stayed home MORE than other voters who did not show up for Hillary.
She's saying that she does not think it is necessarily as practical as some believe to focus on appealing to a white men in the rust belt when they are only part of a much larger population that didn't show up for Hillary as they did for Obama.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)No doubt.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)Won't vote for a woman. He said he tried to change their minds but...sick of the threats from the left left...all the demands and wasting time amd money primarying sitting Democrats while moderates rolled up their sleeves and took the house.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,141 posts)attention, and 9 times out of 10 what they end up doing is creating a distraction from the actual issue they are trying to get attention on
and that she believes bringing Hillary into the picture will "drive her point home?
A perfect example of this was her use of the word "concentration camp", instead of getting the focus directed to the plight of the undocumented people, and the mistreatment they are going through. Instead people were arguing over whether this or that word should be used. Fortunately, people like Pelosi was working behind the scenes with Democrats in the House to craft legislation to actually do something about it.
Another example was Rep Omar's comments a couple months back, which may have been to criticize the influence lobbyists in Washington, but instead it created a distraction from what it intended to do
In this age of gotcha journalism, politicians should be savvy enough to know whats up,
and while some extoll all kinds of virtues on this type of approach, how effective is it?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
KPN
(15,642 posts)have worked for them over the past 40 years.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Thekaspervote
(32,757 posts)Hopefully shell gain experience before she fatally shoots herself in the foot. Like calling him that dude at the diner. Cheap shot that will once again backfire with his supporters and independents alike.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
murielm99
(30,733 posts)primarying sitting Democrats? I dismiss her. She is not anything more than a media creation.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DrToast
(6,414 posts)Is that I think she could show a little humility*. It's fine to have strong beliefs, but at least be open to the idea that you could be wrong.
*This has long been my main issue with Bernie, too.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
dsp3000
(483 posts)Nt
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)The more she does it, the more mainstream voters will see Biden as the reasonable, fiscally responsible and socially progressive guy.
Except for a very small minority of Democrats, no one wants $10 trillion worth of programs put on the backs of taxpayers.
The newsflash that even raising taxes on the top 10% income earners by 70%, there just isn't enough money to pay for all that, will backfire against the extreme left wing.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
peggysue2
(10,828 posts)Because the prevailing criticism is that Biden is the pragmatic choice, too pragmatic. As in: he can win the General Election, kick Trump and his enablers to the curb.
And if beating Trump into a quivering lump doesn't inspire you then you haven't been keeping up, have not noticed the destruction that this Administration has exacted on the rule of law, our basic institutions, our reputation as a country, our battered relationships with allies, the domestic mess left in the Trumpster's wake.
If you cannot get charged up with saving the country you live in, saving the future for your kids and grandkids? Then diminishing the guy at the diner while puffing up your own importance makes sense. Because you only exist in a narrow bandwidth.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,757 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,154 posts)"diminish the guy in the diner.... "... etc etc etc..
Thank You! :group:
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
comradebillyboy
(10,143 posts)It would only hurt him with the centrist and independent voters he will need for an EC victory. Problem is, OAC isn't nearly as influential as she thinks she is.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Otto Lidenbrock
(581 posts)Promising Medicare For All, Free College, Cancelling All Student Debt appeals to the younger voters and I don't blame them. But it's not pragmatic at all. Without a Democratic senate you're not getting any of your standout proposals passed, you can't EO this stuff into reality, the courts have gone much more conservative. This is not pragmatic....this is false hope.
Pragmatic is the guy who is saying "hey the ACA helped millions of people and while it was not perfect, it was better than before. And now we need to revive it and expand it so it keeps getting better each step".
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kahuna7
(2,531 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demit
(11,238 posts)Charm?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demit
(11,238 posts)So the question still stands.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demit
(11,238 posts)And the topic was pragmatism, and the poster's assumption that progressive policies won't pass a Republican-controlled Senate but a "pragmatic" policy like expanding the ACA will.
I know you are heavily invested in your faith that Biden is the only candidate who can beat Trump. But there's no evidence that that's true, because there can't be, until the election has actually happened. There's only your faith in the idea. It's kind of tiresome that you want to steer the subject to it, even when other people were talking about other concepts.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LongtimeAZDem
(4,494 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
jalan48
(13,859 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
themaguffin
(3,826 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Princetonian
(1,501 posts).... not.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
dem4decades
(11,282 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LongtimeAZDem
(4,494 posts)And thats exactly what happened to 2016. We picked the logically fitting candidate, but that candidate did not inspire the turnout that we needed.
demonstrates a severe and fundamental lack of understanding of the factors in play during the last election.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)....that aren't born out in reality.
Turnout in 2016 was 55.5%. That's higher than what it was in 2012. Going back to 1972 it was the third highest turnout - only Obama's first election and Kerry's candidacy were higher - Kerry's was a mere 0.2% higher than 2016.
Turnout was there, and the Democratic candidate got 3.5M more voters than her opponent. So what was wrong with the 2016 turnout?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LongtimeAZDem
(4,494 posts)voted for a fire hydrant if it had a "D" next to it on the ballot does not entitle her to speak for the electorate as a whole.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Watchfoxheadexplodes
(3,496 posts)Whatever
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Butterflylady
(3,542 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tarheel_Dem
(31,233 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,154 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kahuna7
(2,531 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RelativelyJones
(898 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
kcr
(15,315 posts)I really want to like her, especially when I watch her smacking down Republicans in committee. But then I read stuff like that and I remember why I don't. Guy in a diner?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
treestar
(82,383 posts)Like earlier threads discussed, calling him a safe choice
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)1972 140,777,000 77,625,000 55.1%
1976 152,308,000 81,603,000 53.6%
1980 163,945,000 86,497,000 52.8%
1984 173,995,000 92,655,000 53.3%
1988 181,956,000 91,587,000 50.3%
1992 189,493,000 104,600,000 55.2%
1996 196,789,000 96,390,000 49.0%
2000 209,787,000 105,594,000 50.3%
2004 219,553,000 122,349,000 55.7%
2008 229,945,000 131,407,000 58.2%
2012 235,248,000 129,235,000 54.9%
2016 250,056,000 138,847,000 55.5%
2016 was third highest by %, and was THE highest vote total in history by 7.4 million votes.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
melman
(7,681 posts)as usual.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
melman
(7,681 posts)And she's still 100% right.
You're welcome.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
George II
(67,782 posts)...in our history, by about 7.4 million voters.
It was the third highest turnout by % since 1972, only behind Obama's historic election in 2008 and Kerry's in 2004.
Her conclusion about turnout was incorrect - we got the turnout, there were other factors that contributed to the Democrats losing.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
IluvPitties
(3,181 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Indygram
(2,113 posts)eom
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
FloridaBlues
(4,008 posts)Maybe who she thinks the " perfect" candidate would be may not be for the same for another voter.
Every candidate has some kind of flaw.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,154 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,376 posts)That was his downfall.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)was an unforced error.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,154 posts)interfered with our election. Please get up to speed.
No thanks to you for dissing Hillary.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ecstatic
(32,685 posts)The way I see it is, either knock Biden out COMPLETELY by bringing up something that will instantly destroy his candidacy or shutup about him. Because if Biden wins the nomination, all the attacks on his character and record could cause low information and/or younger voters to stay home.
Once a low information voter forms an impression, it's nearly impossible to change his/her mind. They think they are well informed.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Honeycombe8
(37,648 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided