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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

thesquanderer

(11,970 posts)
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 11:34 AM Jun 2019

Wednesday Debate predictions

Like many I suspect, I think Warren will rule the night, and her post-debate poll numbers will improve. What to look for is whether anyone else has a night (or even just a moment) that makes them stand out, giving them a significant bump from where they are now. IOW, I think the contest will be for who does second-best after Warren, and may have a chance to jump-start to be seen as a more serious contender.

I think the only ones who might break out somewhat are Beto O'Rourke or Tulsi Gabbard.My prediction is that, if anyone, it will not be Cory Booker, Bill de Blasio, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, or Tim Ryan. I think all those campaigns are pretty much DOA. We'll see...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Funtatlaguy

(10,862 posts)
1. DeBlasio will ask why nobody is asking him anything.
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 11:48 AM
Jun 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Perseus

(4,341 posts)
8. LOL
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 12:55 PM
Jun 2019

Good one. I hope his next question is, "should I drop from running", at which point all candidates and the public will, in unison, utter a loud "YES".

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

thesquanderer

(11,970 posts)
10. He did better than I expected. But interrupted too much. I guess...
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 11:10 PM
Jun 2019

...you can take the mayor out of New York, but you can't take the New York out of the mayor!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

peggysue2

(10,819 posts)
2. I'll be looking for O'Rourke to have a 'moment'
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 12:03 PM
Jun 2019

This is an opportunity for a candidate like O'Rourke to hit the mark, initiate a memorable phrase/meme and put his campaign back on track.

That being said, I agree that Warren is likely to rule the room.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

sacto95834

(393 posts)
3. 1st Night
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 12:22 PM
Jun 2019

Barring a melt-down, I expect Warren to do well and make the best impression. She has pretty much policy papers on everything. I think her only "weakness" is foreign policy. But it probably won't come up in the 1st debate. She speaks with passion and I think it will make a good impression.

I think the candidate with the greatest possibility to make an impression is Gabbard. I don't think she has gotten a lot of press, but her ideas are interesting - from what I have heard/seen. I think her delivery is what will matter.

O'Rourke is kind of too long winded before making his point; once he does it generally is memorable. However, because all candidates will have limited time to respond, this format may not work to his advantage. Of all the candidates on stage with Beto, I think he is the most charismatic, hopefully that will come through with the nation watching.

The other possible surprise might be Booker. He's quite articulate and might be able to get in a few sound bites in his limited time. His problem, like many politicians, he doesn't say anything too provocative and that might be needed to stand out.

I can't imagine any of the other candidates standing out. Asked any question, their first reaction is to not say anything too controversial; which makes them all sound alike. That said, de Blasio might be interesting in a comical way - in my opinion. Kind of tone deaf to politics.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

thesquanderer

(11,970 posts)
12. I think Booker made the most of his chances, while O'Rourke did not. (n/t)
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 11:14 PM
Jun 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

thesquanderer

(11,970 posts)
13. ...and I think Gabbard came off well, and I could see her getting a bump from this. (n/t)
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 11:23 PM
Jun 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Peacetrain

(22,872 posts)
4. This may sound a little off in the ether ...but I am worried about people tuning in
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 12:26 PM
Jun 2019

who are not political junkies like those of us who post in here.. Because..guess what.. it is the 2 hour finale of the Amazing Race.. and I have told those in my family who are addicted to that show.. copy it .. please watch the debates.. and oh, for added sauce.. it is also the premiere of Big Brother.. sigh.. yes those shows are just loved by some in my family.. so I have my fingers crossed..

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
5. I actually think this is a bigger debate moment Booker, Klobuchar and O'Rourke than Warren...
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 12:30 PM
Jun 2019

Mostly because they're literally going against just one of the top contenders and will have more room to stand out.

I anticipate Booker will attack Biden, specifically on his comments (you know it'll be asked), which is a shame, since Biden won't be there to respond. I am looking to see if anyone comes to Biden's defense or if they just decide to attack Biden, either directly, or indirectly, the whole night.

I think it'll be more the latter attacks - 'we need to look at the future, not the past'.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

mtnsnake

(22,236 posts)
6. I think Klobuchar will excel on Night 1. I think a surprise breakout on Night 2 will be Swalwell
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 12:36 PM
Jun 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

thesquanderer

(11,970 posts)
11. Klobuchar did better than I expected, but I don't think enough to move the dial. (n/t)
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 11:12 PM
Jun 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

mtnsnake

(22,236 posts)
14. I agree. I thought she did well but not much better than I expected her to do. Just the same,
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 11:38 PM
Jun 2019

I think there will be a lot of people in the general public who never saw or heard her before, though, who will be impressed enough to consider her as someone they might vote for.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Perseus

(4,341 posts)
7. I want to know what are Democrats doing NOW about
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 12:53 PM
Jun 2019

1. Enforcing the rule of law. The buffoon gets away with more everyday, same as his children.
2. What is happening with the unanswered subpoenas that republicans refuse to comply to.
3. About the lack of force behind starting impeachment proceedings for both Bar and the buffoon?
4. About the kids on the border
5. About protecting the election by making sure there is no hacking of the machines and no interference from Russia and the other countries the buffoon has asked for help.
6. Reversing the tax cuts
7. Health care for all, not just talk but what are they doing about it right now?
8. Taking the Senate? Why are so many people running for president and not for the Senate when that should be a priority? Why are Democrats failing to have a solid plan to regain the government, don't they understand that so many people running for president and so few for Senate will not help remove McConnell?

and more...I don't want to hear politics (bullshit rhetoric), I want to hear about what they are doing now.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

TheFarseer

(9,317 posts)
9. My prediction
Wed Jun 26, 2019, 03:25 PM
Jun 2019

You will think the person you like did well and the people you don’t like did poorly. And I mean ‘you’ as in people in general.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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