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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

BlueMTexpat

(15,349 posts)
Thu Aug 15, 2019, 07:19 PM Aug 2019

Warren leads Democratic field by 5 points in Wisconsin: poll

I don't put too much stock in ANY polls at this point. I also am not sure how credible this pollster is. But, for those who love polls, this one looks very good for my preferred candidate.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/457548-warren-leads-field-by-5-points-in-wisconsin-poll

...
Wisconsin's primary is scheduled for April 7, 2020, putting it toward the end of the calendar.

The state has received increased focus this election cycle, however, because of President Trump's win over Hillary Clinton in the state's last general election.

Thursday's survey predicts a tight race in the 2020 general election, with 45 percent of respondents saying they will probably or definitely vote for Trump and 46 percent saying the same for the eventual Democratic nominee.

Change Research polled 1,966 likely voters in Wisconsin between Aug. 9 and 11. That figure includes 626 likely Democratic primary voters. The margin of error for the full sample is 2.2 points.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Warren leads Democratic field by 5 points in Wisconsin: poll (Original Post) BlueMTexpat Aug 2019 OP
The Change Research polls seem to be out of whack elsewhere. TwilightZone Aug 2019 #1
As I said, I don't BlueMTexpat Aug 2019 #6
i don't put stock in polls anymore. Recent history proves this. Kurt V. Aug 2019 #2
Based on recent trends, you BlueMTexpat Aug 2019 #8
too close for comfort. I thought WI was like 7 to 10 pts over Trump. riversedge Aug 2019 #3
THAT bothered BlueMTexpat Aug 2019 #5
Not in my part of WI. LakeArenal Aug 2019 #4
Did you note BlueMTexpat Aug 2019 #7
My mine is not in any part of WI I'm familiar with. LakeArenal Aug 2019 #9
??????? BlueMTexpat Aug 2019 #10
I know at least 600 people in WI I never hear much about Warren at all LakeArenal Aug 2019 #14
I think that you BlueMTexpat Aug 2019 #16
This seems very unlikely. ucrdem Aug 2019 #11
Why is it always Change Research that comes up with these odd results? honest.abe Aug 2019 #12
Your guess is BlueMTexpat Aug 2019 #13
Humm. Thinking... Joe941 Aug 2019 #15
 

TwilightZone

(25,342 posts)
1. The Change Research polls seem to be out of whack elsewhere.
Thu Aug 15, 2019, 07:27 PM
Aug 2019

There aren't any recent polls to compare them to in WI, however, so it's hard to tell if this particular one is relatively accurate.

So...Warren's in the lead! haha

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

BlueMTexpat

(15,349 posts)
6. As I said, I don't
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 06:26 AM
Aug 2019

put that much stock in polls at this time.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Kurt V.

(5,624 posts)
2. i don't put stock in polls anymore. Recent history proves this.
Thu Aug 15, 2019, 07:33 PM
Aug 2019

but its going to come down to warren or biden imo. buttigieg has a shot as well.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

BlueMTexpat

(15,349 posts)
8. Based on recent trends, you
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 06:28 AM
Aug 2019

could be right. But it is early days yet.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

riversedge

(69,719 posts)
3. too close for comfort. I thought WI was like 7 to 10 pts over Trump.
Thu Aug 15, 2019, 07:35 PM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

BlueMTexpat

(15,349 posts)
5. THAT bothered
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 06:25 AM
Aug 2019

me too!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LakeArenal

(28,728 posts)
4. Not in my part of WI.
Thu Aug 15, 2019, 07:39 PM
Aug 2019

None of us were polled. No one I know thinks the same.... 🤷🏼?♀️

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

BlueMTexpat

(15,349 posts)
7. Did you note
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 06:26 AM
Aug 2019

my disclaimer?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LakeArenal

(28,728 posts)
9. My mine is not in any part of WI I'm familiar with.
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 10:46 AM
Aug 2019

Just as valid as a poll.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LakeArenal

(28,728 posts)
14. I know at least 600 people in WI I never hear much about Warren at all
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 01:08 PM
Aug 2019

Many of us have discussed at length the railroading of Al Franken.

That’s when names like Warren, Harris and even Sanders name comes up

Personally I see a very strong Sanders contingent. But not much on anyone else.
Including my choice.

But you say polls say so. I feel my neighbors and associates not at all.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

BlueMTexpat

(15,349 posts)
16. I think that you
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 02:14 PM
Aug 2019

misunderstand me. I posted the poll with a disclaimer saying that I do not put much stock in early polls.

You seem to believe that we are disagreeing. I don't believe we are.

You say that your own experience is different from the poll results. I certainly cannot deny that.

Hang in there!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
11. This seems very unlikely.
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 12:12 PM
Aug 2019

Also Change Research reported Warren winning Iowa way back in June or July and it was a total fluke.

Correction: Buttigieg not Warren

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

honest.abe

(8,556 posts)
12. Why is it always Change Research that comes up with these odd results?
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 12:16 PM
Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

BlueMTexpat

(15,349 posts)
13. Your guess is
Fri Aug 16, 2019, 12:30 PM
Aug 2019

as good as mine!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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