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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 10:49 AM

 

the following candidates got zero votes in the new Suffolk Poll (B+ Rated)

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2019/8_28_2019_marginals_pdftxt.pdf

Amy Klobuchar (really surprising)
Steve Bullock
Bill de Blasio
John Delaney
Kirsten Gillibrand
Wayne Messam
Joe Sestak

Steyer and Gabbard got 1 each

results





In terms of 2nd choice, Pete only trails Warren overall in that category







finally, a really strange quirk in the Quinnipiac Poll (A- Rated)


https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3638

Bennet (who is polling only 1% overall) is pulling 3% of the Black vote (that is tied for 4th most with Booker and more than all the other candidates left (after Biden, Warren, Harris, Booker and him) COMBINED (who only have 1%, Castro, all the rest are at ZERO)
no clue on that one, I will chalk it up to an anomaly (no disrespect intended to Bennet, I really like him a lot)

The other surprise is Castro with ZERO votes (almost as surprising as Klobuchar with zero in the other poll)

Warren is crushing Bernie with older voters (Biden still is tops there obviously at a massive 48%)

Warren is pulling 20% of the 65+ crowd, Bernie is at FOUR

Biden is polling at only 10% with the under 35yo's, with Bernie at 31% and Warren at 25%

huge age schism at both ends

only 9% undecided (Suffolk had more than double that at 18.4%)

results





If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply the following candidates got zero votes in the new Suffolk Poll (B+ Rated) (Original post)
Celerity Aug 2019 OP
thesquanderer Aug 2019 #1
Celerity Aug 2019 #3
LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #2
Celerity Aug 2019 #4
LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #5
Celerity Aug 2019 #6

Response to Celerity (Original post)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 10:58 AM

1. re: "only 9% undecided (Suffolk had more than double that at 18.4%)"

 

I think polls with more "undecideds" are more indicative of hard support, where fewer undecideds--meaning that the pollsters likely prompted someone for an answer even if they had only the mildest of preferences--may include more "softer" support in a candidate's numbers (i.e. people less likely to feel committed to that candidate, more open to switching to someone else).
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to thesquanderer (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 11:20 AM

3. that is a good point nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 11:11 AM

2. Biden with as much support as the next three combined...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to LincolnRossiter (Reply #2)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 11:38 AM

4. in the Suffolk poll, yes, which seems to be a bit of an outlier in terms of the support for Warren

 

Sanders and Harris (sort of the inverse of that Monmouth poll the other day, albeit more subtraction from the other top places, whilst the Monmouth also had subtraction from Biden (not reflected here), in addition to over-addition to those other top places) Also, like that Monmouth poll, the Suffolk poll is another smallish sample size as well.

In the Quinnipiac Poll, he would trail a combined 2nd and 3rd place (Warren and Sanders) by 2% and if you added in the 4th highest (so your mentioned 3 versus one), he trails by 9%.

He is at 32% in both polls.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 11:45 AM

5. I was referring to the Suffolk poll (the subject of the thread). And I'm just celebrating as a

 

supporter. You don't have to do the math for me.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to LincolnRossiter (Reply #5)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 11:51 AM

6. it is all good

 

the new RCP rolling averages now

with these added in

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls





If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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