HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » New B rated Economist/You...
Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 12:46 PM

 

New B rated Economist/YouGov Poll: Biden 24, Warren 20, Sanders 14, Harris 8, Buttigieg 5

and yes, I know RCP has Warren listed at 21%, but that is NOT what the poll says

The Economist/YouGov Poll
August 24 - 27, 2019

Biden up 2% from the last one, Warren up 3%, Bernie down 5%, Harris the same, Pete down 3%

I am sure there is something in here to piss everyone off or it would not be a poll

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/b17i8aeg5p/econTabReport.pdf






Democratic candidates considered
Which candidate or candidates are you considering voting for in the Democratic Presidential primary or caucus in your state in 2020? (Select all that apply)
Asked of those who say they will vote in the Democratic Presidential primary or caucus in 2020








here is the last one's link

just so no one says I am playing games

The Economist/YouGov Poll
August 17 - 20, 2019

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/u4gcv1suy6/econTabReport.pdf
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

10 replies, 663 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread

Response to Celerity (Original post)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 01:31 PM

1. RCP Polls does strange things, they have Biden's number wrong too.

 

They have him at 25%.

This type of inaccuracy has been noted about the RCP Polls numbers before and for several candidates. So far it has always been erros on the high side.



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 01:34 PM

2. But, hey, another poll showing Biden's support in the low 20% range...

 

Biden at 24%? With a +/-3% margin of error?

Seems that the last Monmouth poll showing him at 19% wasn't that different, hmm?



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 01:37 PM

3. damn, they must have just switched that Biden number, it was 24% just an hour or so ago, wtf

 

I do not trust them at all to not make mistakes

AND

their errors are fucking up their rolling poll averages

smdh
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Celerity (Reply #3)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 01:38 PM

4. I know, and they never explain why they do it.

 

Their errors do effect the averages. And always on the high side. It's puzzling.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 01:57 PM

6. They pull the different number from within the poll. Biden receives 25% in both the Dems only poll

 

(excluding independents) and the registered voters poll. They probably pulled the number from one of those. Why they choose to do it that way is a mystery to me.

Edit: It's the RV poll. The numbers match for the other candidates, too.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to LincolnRossiter (Reply #6)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 02:04 PM

8. That's reassuring.

 

Last edited Wed Aug 28, 2019, 02:38 PM - Edit history (1)

So, I guess, all the poll results they list are only for registered voters? Ok... that stops any shennigans, but it would be nice if they stated that somewhere prominently.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Celerity (Original post)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 01:49 PM

5. They still have Biden in the lead on electability (65% of Dems, to Warren 56%, Sanders 53%,

 

Harris 45%).

That's the number of Democrats who said each candidate would "probably beat Donald Trump."

Interestingly, 11% of Republicans also told the pollster that Biden would probably beat Trump. (For the other top candidates. that was 8% or less.)

26% of independents thought Biden would probably beat Trump. It was the same number for Sanders, and 22% for Warren.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to highplainsdem (Reply #5)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 01:57 PM

7. I am surprised that indies are giving Biden such low odds versus Rump

 

26% for Biden v Rump from them is ridiculously underrating him.

I would take 4 to 1 on Joe and walk away more than likely with a nice profit.



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Celerity (Reply #7)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 02:05 PM

9. Indies are giving all our candidates low odd.

 

Of course these are not just Democratic-leaning indies. The indies in this poll include Republican-leaning as well.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to highplainsdem (Reply #9)

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 02:13 PM

10. well, I think that giving Bernie a 26% to beat Trump is too high, but that is just me

 

Warren I still have no definitive sense about.

BUT

then again, a Sanders (for sure) and a Warren (say 80%) as nominee scenario WILL yield that fucker Schultz running as a an indie focusing on drawing off all centrist votes he can from us, and maybe (much less likely) even Bloomberg jumping in.

Zero clue what Steyer is going to do. He can be a nightmare if he goes full blown negative advert blitz on our top 4 or 5 in an attempt to win the nomination.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread