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Undecided 36%
Elizabeth Warren21%
Joe Biden13%
Kamala Harris9%
Bernie Sanders8%

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 10:11 AM

 

ABC/WP GE poll, registered voters only: Biden +15, Sanders +9, Warren & Harris +7, Buttigieg +4

The results from this poll that are higher up in the article, and gettng the most media attention, include adults who aren't registered voters as well as registered voters.

It makes a big difference when you include people who haven't bothered to register to vote. When you include them, three of our candidates have a double digit lead.

But when you narrow the poll to include only those who have registered to vote, only Biden has a double-digit lead:

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/democratic-contenders-lead-trump-head-head-matchups-poll/story?id=65415134


Five Democratic contenders lead Donald Trump in head-to-head matchups in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with several widening their advantage since July. Concerns about the economy, which have pushed down the presidentís job approval rating, are a factor.

Among those tested in the survey, Joe Biden leads Trump by 16 percentage points among all adults, 54-38%, essentially the same as two months ago. Bernie Sanders leads by 12 points, up from 6 in July; as does Elizabeth Warren by 11 points, compared with a slight 7 points previously. Kamala Harris leads by 10 points, while Pete Buttigieg has a slight 6-point edge.

Trumpís support is virtually the same, 38%-41%, in all these matchups, vs. 41%-45% in July. What changes have occurred mainly reflect dips in his support rather than Democratic gains in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

Current standings are similar among registered voters. Biden and Sanders lead Trump by 15 and 9 points, respectively, compared with +10 for Biden and essentially a dead heat for Sanders in July. Warren and Harris have slight 7-point leads among registered voters, improved from even splits two months ago. Buttigiegís +4 is not statistically significant.



Emphasis added.

I pointed out a few days ago that ABC did the same thing with the Democratic-primary part of the poll, highlighting the numbers including those people who hadn't bothered to register to vote.

They did the same thing with earlier polls in this primary race.

The other top candidates are apparently getting a noticeable fraction of their support in these polls from people who haven't registered to vote, while Biden's support is primarily among those who are registered voters.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply ABC/WP GE poll, registered voters only: Biden +15, Sanders +9, Warren & Harris +7, Buttigieg +4 (Original post)
highplainsdem Wednesday OP
Cha Wednesday #1
highplainsdem Wednesday #2
Cha Wednesday #3
bearsfootball516 Wednesday #4
Cha Wednesday #5
highplainsdem Wednesday #6

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 10:17 AM

1. Hard to imagine not having

 

registered to vote yet in this day and age.

Hopefully they will get registered.. in the mean time I'm interested in what those who are actually registered have to say.

Thank you, !
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Cha (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 10:19 AM

2. I agree, Cha. It's possible at least some of those who were polled who haven't registered to vote

 

will register before the election.

But the registered-voter number is a more reliable indicator of where the race stands.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #2)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 10:20 AM

3. Definitely!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Cha (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 11:34 AM

4. Automatic voter registration at 18 should be a thing.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #4)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 11:35 AM

5. Yes, it should be.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #4)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 11:37 AM

6. I agree.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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