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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

UncleNoel

(864 posts)
Thu Oct 3, 2019, 09:27 AM Oct 2019

Biden's Super Tuesday strategy

From Politico (in case you avoid it)

While still counting on a good showing in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada with an especially strong showing in South Carolina, the Biden campaign is investing in Super Tuesday states organization. Politico calls it an “in an insurance policy against Warren’s surge” in the polls, while Biden’s poll numbers have “declined” Here we go with the surge/decline stuff again. Warren has risen, but a good number of polls show Biden going up.

https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/03/biden-warren-super-tuesday-2020-023355

Joe Biden’s campaign is ramping up its investment in the Super Tuesday states, anticipating a Democratic race that narrows to two candidates by early March.
The increase in staffing across the 14 states that will vote March 3 comes as Biden’s polling numbers have declined and Elizabeth Warren’s have surged, particularly in states like Iowa and New Hampshire where she’s heavily invested in field organization.

The former vice president’s campaign is still counting on strong finishes in the four early nominating states. But in the event of weaker-than-expected performances, a built-out Super Tuesday organization would provide a fail-safe for Biden.

Many of the states on the Super Tuesday map — which includes a handful of Southern and Border states — play to his strengths among African-Americans and more moderate Democrats.
The Super Tuesday focus also serves as an insurance policy against Warren, in particular, since her appeal to white, liberal voters could mean strong finishes in places like Iowa and New Hampshire — which, in turn, could propel her momentum through Nevada and South Carolina and into the next stage of the primary.

Central to the Biden campaign’s theory is the belief that, after the Feb. 29 primary in South Carolina, the now-sprawling Democratic field would be narrowed to just two candidates. And one of them — Biden — would be far better positioned to amass delegates on a primary date that offers a windfall of roughly 1,300.

By contrast, in the four early-state contests only 155 delegates are up for grabs.
“If history is any guide, this will likely be a two-person race coming out of South Carolina, and whomever emerges from Super Tuesday with a significant delegate lead will be extremely difficult to catch,” a senior Biden official said.



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Biden's Super Tuesday strategy (Original Post) UncleNoel Oct 2019 OP
Thank you.. seems worthy of a BIG Cha Oct 2019 #1
Good strategy. K&R Demsrule86 Oct 2019 #2
Look at Joe's support with African American voters Gothmog Oct 2019 #3
... Scurrilous Oct 2019 #4
 

Cha

(297,123 posts)
1. Thank you.. seems worthy of a BIG
Fri Oct 4, 2019, 12:05 AM
Oct 2019

KICK!!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Gothmog

(145,098 posts)
3. Look at Joe's support with African American voters
Sun Oct 6, 2019, 06:27 PM
Oct 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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