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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:27 AM

 

New B+ rated Iowa poll, Warren & Biden (23) tied, Pete (16) passes Bernie (13) for 3rd, Yang (5) 5th

Last edited Thu Oct 17, 2019, 02:15 PM - Edit history (1)

Bullock (4) in 6th, followed by Booker in 7th (3), then Steyer, Gabbard and Harris tied at (2). Klobuchar, Williamson, and Bennet at (1) and Castro and Beto and the rest at zero. Someone else is at (4).


https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/iowa-2020-dead-heat-with-biden-and-warren-mayor-pete-continues-to-build-and-sanders-slides

Iowa 2020: Dead heat with Biden and Warren, Mayor Pete continues to build and Sanders slides

In the first caucus state of the 2020 presidential election, the Democrat Primary field has shifted since the last Emerson poll in March. Former V.P. Joe Biden is now tied with Sen. Elizabeth Warren for the lead 23% each, followed by Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 16%, and Sen. Bernie Sanders dropping to fourth at 13%. No other candidate reaches above 5%. (n=317, +/-5.5%, MM, Oct 13-16, 2019)

According to Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson Polling, ďThe good news for Biden is he did not lose much ground since Marchís poll that had him at 25% of the vote. It appears that Warren has been the beneficiary of Sandersís drop from 24% to 13%; Mayor Pete appears to have solidified his base in Iowa, going from 0% in February, to 11% in March, and now 16% in the Hawkeye state.Ē

Warren has also overtaken Sanders among voters under the age of 50. 21% of those under 50 support Warren followed by Sanders at 18%. Biden continues to lead with those over 50 - receiving 33% support from this cohort, followed by Warren at 24%.

Warren also now leads Sanders among those who supported the Vermont Senator in the 2016 caucus; Warren has 26% among this group, followed by Sanders at 19%, and Buttigieg at 16%. Among those who supported Hillary Clinton in the 2016 caucus, Biden captures 42%, followed by Warren at 22% and Buttigieg at 13%.




The Iowa Emerson College poll was conducted October 13-16, 2019 under the Supervision of Emerson Polling Director and Assistant Professor Spencer Kimball. The sample consisted of registered voters, n=888, with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a pollís margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3.2 percentage points.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply New B+ rated Iowa poll, Warren & Biden (23) tied, Pete (16) passes Bernie (13) for 3rd, Yang (5) 5th (Original post)
Celerity Oct 2019 OP
Iliyah Oct 2019 #1
Celerity Oct 2019 #4
Funtatlaguy Oct 2019 #8
Celerity Oct 2019 #16
Funtatlaguy Oct 2019 #17
Celerity Oct 2019 #18
Funtatlaguy Oct 2019 #19
Celerity Oct 2019 #22
BootinUp Oct 2019 #2
Chemisse Oct 2019 #3
Frances Oct 2019 #5
Celerity Oct 2019 #6
ritapria Oct 2019 #7
Celerity Oct 2019 #13
Funtatlaguy Oct 2019 #9
bluewater Oct 2019 #10
FloridaBlues Oct 2019 #11
CaliforniaPeggy Oct 2019 #12
Celerity Oct 2019 #14
book_worm Oct 2019 #15
bullwinkle428 Oct 2019 #20
Capt. America Oct 2019 #21
floppyboo Oct 2019 #23
Celerity Oct 2019 #24

Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:30 AM

1. Hey Pete!

 

One of my favorites!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Iliyah (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:35 AM

4. it's only one poll, so not going to bounce off the wall, but it is better than a kick in the jacobs

 

(IF I even had them, which I do not! LOLOL)




If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Reply #4)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:48 AM

8. I never heard of Jacobs. But, according to you, I have 2.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #8)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 12:09 PM

16. it's Brit slang (I am London raised) for, well you seemed to have figured it out, lol

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Reply #16)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 12:10 PM

17. Aw. Kind of like tea and crumpets or jimmies.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #17)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 12:29 PM

18. well tea and also crumpets are not slang

 

I much prefer a Devon tea with scones, clotted cream,and strawberry jam, instead of crumpets, and tbf, we (my wife and I) do not even do it (afternoon tea) much. We are more coffee drinkers anyway, lolol
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Reply #18)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 07:10 PM

19. Clotted cream sounds too much like bukkake. Nothanx. 🤢

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #19)

Fri Oct 18, 2019, 12:41 AM

22. It is actually so jummmi!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:33 AM

2. Veddy Interesssting. Nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:34 AM

3. It's great to see Mayor Pete rise in the polls. n/t

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:42 AM

5. I have learned that it's better for me

 

to wait until I have seen and heard all the candidates for at least several months before making a final choice

For example, I thought John Edwards was a great candidate when he ran for president Turned out I was wrong.

The poll was done October 13-16, so the last debate isnít fully reflected in this poll.
I wonder if the debate will cause any changes in the next poll
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Frances (Reply #5)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:44 AM

6. agreed, the big ones will be the completely post debate ones

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:46 AM

7. 571 registred voters (landline only) 317 registered voters online panel

 

No voters contacted by Cellphone ... Buyer Beware Ö..For confirmation go to " Latest Polls 538" and click Emerson College .....Info contained at the very end
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to ritapria (Reply #7)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:52 AM

13. I put the information and the link (from 538) in the OP nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:49 AM

9. Harris at 2% baffles me.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:49 AM

10. Buttigieg can win Iowa

 

He's well liked for his positions and character and his ground game there is very well financed.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:50 AM

11. I thought Warren was ahead in Iowa polls? Good news for Biden

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:51 AM

12. Very good news for Pete Buttigieg in Iowa!

 

He's been working very hard there, with lots of field offices and people staffing them.

Looks like it's paying off.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to CaliforniaPeggy (Reply #12)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 11:53 AM

14. +10000

 

Yes, let's hope this holds up my dear Peggy! It is still early days, and it is only one poll.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 12:05 PM

15. The only real surprise for me is Mayor Pete

 

If he comes in the top three he will have something to crow about. If he manages to come in second that would be really big.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 08:25 PM

20. To paraphrase the most memorable line from "Dumb and Dumber"...

 

"SO YOU'RE SAYING THAT PETE HAS A CHANCE?"

And as an Iowa resident, I sincerely believe the answer is "YES"!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu Oct 17, 2019, 09:44 PM

21. If he wins, places, or shows Iowa he can punch his ticket to NH.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Fri Oct 18, 2019, 07:30 PM

23. In a match up with Trump, Bernie is the only winner. Same poll

 

I haven't gone into the weeds but indies and soft rep? Could it be, gasp, that Bernie appeals to the center?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to floppyboo (Reply #23)

Fri Oct 18, 2019, 08:41 PM

24. Not sure, but I do think that Sanders would have a better chance of winning

 

some of the Midwest states against Rump than Warren would. It is elsewhere he (and her) would be in more trouble than Biden would.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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