HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » My crystal ball on Bernie...
Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 08:06 AM

 

My crystal ball on Bernie and Mayor Pete

For several months now, I have thought that our decision would and should come down to a choice between Biden or Warren. I think they both well represent the two wings of our party and I think either would beat Trump.

However, I donít see the field clearing to give them a one on one battle at least until after Super Tuesday and probably not even then. Bernie has a rock solid base of 15-20% and Mayor Pete is flush with cash.

The only fly in my progosticative ointment would be if either Biden or Warren swept 🧹 all 4 or even 3-4 of the early primaries. But, I donít see that happening.
What I do see happening is that if a candidate doesnít make the December debate, they will probably have to drop out. So we may only have 5-6 on the ballot in Iowa. Would be very interesting to see where those 3-4% candidates followers move.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

9 replies, 915 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
Reply My crystal ball on Bernie and Mayor Pete (Original post)
Funtatlaguy Oct 2019 OP
beastie boy Oct 2019 #1
ritapria Oct 2019 #2
UniteFightBack Oct 2019 #3
ritapria Oct 2019 #4
UniteFightBack Oct 2019 #5
Funtatlaguy Oct 2019 #6
cwydro Oct 2019 #9
iwannaknow Oct 2019 #7
beastie boy Oct 2019 #8

Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 08:38 AM

1. Despite Biden's steady lead so far, the race is extremely fluid. I wish I had a crystal ball.

 

I clearly have my preference, but I cannot not venture to predict a winner. Not too long ago Harris was favorite to surpass Bernie and even Warren. Not too long ago Biden was consistently 15-20 points ahead of anyone else. Not too long ago Buttigieg was just a funny name. The chess pieces are moving, and that's what makes it interesting.

It is safe to say that alliances will be made between candidates, including top candidates. This will probably define the field more than the candidates who drop out, but I agree, it is not likely to happen until Super Tuesday. A lot also depends on how Republican candidates will do on Super Tuesday, and on the implications the outcomes of the GOP races, especially for Senate republicans, will have on Trump's impeachment and conviction prospects after the pressure of being "primaried" is lifted off the GOP candidates. This will certainly impact the democratic race, although I don't know how.

I've got my popcorn ready!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to beastie boy (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 09:34 AM

2. No one knows what is going to happen

 

That is what makes this race so fascinating to observe Ö.In 2016 Hillary was the overwhelming favorite to win ÖÖ.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to beastie boy (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 09:44 AM

3. Who is your second choice? nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to UniteFightBack (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 10:08 AM

4. Joe Biden

 

Liz would make a fine President ...I am concerned she won't be able to defeat Trump
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ritapria (Reply #4)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 10:43 AM

5. Same. nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ritapria (Reply #4)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 11:18 AM

6. Why might I ask do you feel this way. All polling shows top 3 all would.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ritapria (Reply #4)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 11:28 AM

9. Yes she would.

 

Why donít you think she can?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to UniteFightBack (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 11:21 AM

7. Bernie or Kamala

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to UniteFightBack (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 26, 2019, 11:28 AM

8. Warren is my second choice, especially if, as I expect, she starts speaking to mainstream Democrats

 

towards the end of the race.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread