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Democratic Primaries
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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Uncle Noel's November Aggregate Averages to Date: Biden 28, Warren 20, Sanders 16
Commentary:
The Ipsos Poll is very peculiar and skews the trajectory for Biden and Warren. Sanders not so much. It is a GP (General Population aka Adult) poll which are good for opinion polls but not so refined as Registered voters (RV) or, the best Likely Voters (LV). 11 for Warren is ridiculous!
Putting Ipsos aside Biden gains 1 point and Warren more. Still, the three lanes for the three upper tier candidates remains stable. Biden cruises the high road 26 and up, Warren rides the 20-25 trail and Sanders takes the low road 14-19 (though swerving into Warren's land with a 20 in tew Morning Consult poll).
A+ to B/C rated poles only. I am considering not including GP (A) polls, but Ipsos is not always such an outlier.
Thanks to Skya for posting the Morning Consult. It wasn't up on 538 or RCP yet.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Uncle Noel's November Aggregate Averages to Date: Biden 28, Warren 20, Sanders 16 (Original Post)
UncleNoel
Nov 2019
OP
UncleNoel
(864 posts)1. BTW, unwanted Bloomberg is below Buttigieg and Harris with only 4%.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,705 posts)2. Wow!! Impressive graph... thx for putting that together and sharing
Go Joe go... weve got your back
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
peggysue2
(10,823 posts)3. Graphing is a great visual
So much easier to get a sense of the trajectories of our candidates.
Thanks for that!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,456 posts)4. Really informative...thanks for this. K&R
Biden is moving up...looks like sanders is moving up a bit at Warren's expense...she is on a downward trajectory.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)5. Nice job.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MustLoveBeagles
(11,583 posts)6. Thanks for posting
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden