Democratic Primaries

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts) Fri Dec 6, 2019, 09:54 AM Dec 2019

Something I noticed from the latest round of polls.

The Economist/YouGov 7% Not Sure

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/799kgtotz3/econTabReport.pdf

Quinnipiac 11% Not Sure

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3650

CNN 8% Not Sure

https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/27/politics/cnn-2020-poll-data-doc/index.html

A bit of apples and oranges as some of the focus groups were a bit different. Still, if I'm reading these correctly, that is a pretty small number of undecideds.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

4 replies

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Something I noticed from the latest round of polls. (Original Post) TidalWave46 Dec 2019 OP

It always amazes me how the media focus on the undecided Farmer-Rick Dec 2019 #1

To me those are high BootinUp Dec 2019 #2

Seems really small to me. TidalWave46 Dec 2019 #3

Yeah,but BootinUp Dec 2019 #4

Farmer-Rick

(10,151 posts)

1. It always amazes me how the media focus on the undecided

Reply to TidalWave46 (Original post)

Fri Dec 6, 2019, 10:21 AM

Dec 2019

It's not the undecided who win an election. It's the decided and how many of the decided votes get counted.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

BootinUp

(47,135 posts)

2. To me those are high

Reply to TidalWave46 (Original post)

Fri Dec 6, 2019, 10:25 AM

Dec 2019

or high enough to make the poll a weak indicator. But I'm just spit-balling.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts)

3. Seems really small to me.

Reply to BootinUp (Reply #2)

Fri Dec 6, 2019, 10:29 AM

Dec 2019

I thought it was going to be much higher.

For example, all other things static, sixty percent of them could break for Pete and there would be very little difference in anything. Think about that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BootinUp

(47,135 posts)

4. Yeah,but

Reply to TidalWave46 (Reply #3)

Fri Dec 6, 2019, 10:42 AM

Dec 2019

when Pete is one of 2 or 3 finalists the equation changes.

Seriously though primary race polls are never reliable enough to put money on.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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