Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumReport: Trump campaign most fears Biden, Beto and Kamala
President Trump has publicly boasted that he could beat any of his 2020 Democratic challengers. But privately, several members of the Trump campaign see a few who could pose a threat to his re-election, and are in the early stages of building out their strategy for attack.
The bottom line: The three candidates that seem to concern the Trump campaign most are Joe Biden, Kamala Harris and Beto ORourke. That's in no particular order, and youll get a different answer depending on who you talk to.
Joe Biden: Several Trump advisers think Biden is best positioned to take back the white Rust Belt voters Trump carried in 2016 and make purple states like Michigan and Wisconsin far more dangerous for the campaign.
- A guy who loves his guns and God is not voting for Kamala Harris. But he would vote for Joe Biden. Hes a lot harder for them to demonize, a former Trump campaign staffer told Axios.
- And despite what he says about Biden in public, Trump respects him the way he respects House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, the former staffer said: He looks at Biden as that elder statesman, the guy that can connect to the working class voter.
- Biden is the only Democrat who passes the commander in chief test which makes him appealing particularly to swing voters, David Tamasi, former finance director of the Trump Victory Fund, told Axios.
- The other side: "Hes low energy, and if he wins the nomination all of the energy on the Dems side will deflate like a balloon, a Republican operative close to the campaign said.
Kamala Harris: Trump was impressed by Harris' massive crowd for her announcement event, according to White House aides. Some of Trump's advisers view Harris as a major threat because it's obvious to them that Trump hasn't figured out how to talk about her.
- He's given her no nickname and has yet to even test-drive a line of attack. A Trump adviser told Axios: "It's going [to be] hard for the president to attack her and debate her" because Democrats could easily cast his attacks as racist and sexist.
- "With Kamala ... I don't know what she does to the young, but more broadly to the African-American vote. If they come out in huge numbers that's a challenge," a Trump campaign adviser said.
- The other side: Though several aides admit shes a winner when it comes to identity politics, they also question whether she has enough experience and can sustain the momentum shell need.
Beto ORourke: Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee told Fox Business News last week that Republicans shouldn't underestimate ORourke. That is a view shared by a number of people in Trumps inner circle.
- He doesnt have a long resume or a huge amount of experience, one Republican strategist said, but hes got the X factor that lets you capture the media narrative. Hed also be a generational foil to Trump.
- I have personally been very concerned about Beto for quite some time, a Trump campaign adviser said. He seems to generate that liberal grassroots energy without being particularly in-your-face with his points of view. And he's charismatic.
- If O'Rourke was the nominee, he would also force the White House to spend a lot of money in Texas, which they dont plan to do.
The other side: Others close to Trump think the only reason O'Rourke was so successful in his Senate campaign is because Sen. Ted Cruz ran a bad race, the Republican operative said.
https://www.axios.com/2020-democrats-trump-fears-most-062a879d-a3e8-4ee6-ac0c-9da69f0a8684.html
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
katmondoo
(6,454 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)At that moment, they will start attacking him. How he responds to the attacks will make or break him. If responds well, his numbers will go up across the board, and he's the next President.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
FBaggins
(26,727 posts)There's no way I'm going to trust Trump's judgment re: who he should be most worried about.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Autumn
(45,044 posts)If any Republican working for Trump told me that water is wet, my first thought would be they figured out a way to dehydrate water. They lie, that's what they do.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
lame54
(35,282 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BlueFlorida
(1,532 posts)the other candidates can be crushed by them relatively easily.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden