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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Wed Dec 25, 2019, 10:34 PM

 

REMINDER:I like 270towin's poll selection and Aggregate Averages

Biden is pretty consistently breaking the 30s barrier and increasing his lead in polls and endorsements.

https://www.270towin.com/2020-democratic-nomination/


For comparison here is Wikipedia's Aggregate of Averages.



Sanders and Warren remain steady in the mid-/late teens, Buttigieg is not breaking the double digit mark anymore. He has Liz above and Amy below crimping his lead and this might begin to show up even in Iowa and NH. Can't underestimate Sanders' strength, but Biden is without doubt leading gthe pack as he has consistently done but he is still incdreasing his lead, ading endorsements, and will have a solid money chase disclosure in January

I want to contribute, but he cupboard is bare. Will manage $9 before next Tuesday to do my best.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply REMINDER:I like 270towin's poll selection and Aggregate Averages (Original post)
UncleNoel Dec 2019 OP
Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #1
Cha Dec 2019 #2
crazytown Dec 2019 #3
UncleNoel Dec 2019 #4
crazytown Dec 2019 #5
UncleNoel Dec 2019 #6
crazytown Dec 2019 #7
UncleNoel Dec 2019 #8
Sloumeau Dec 2019 #9

Response to UncleNoel (Original post)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 12:28 AM

1. Thx for posting..great numbers for Joe

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to UncleNoel (Original post)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 12:56 AM

2. Mahalo for this report, Noel!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to UncleNoel (Original post)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 01:37 AM

3. "Biden is pretty consistently breaking the 30s barrier"

 

No he isn't. Take out the unrated Echelon Insights outlier from 270's set, and he doesn't break 30, on average, there either.

The story since the June debate, has remained the same. After previously averaging mid thirties Biden has had difficulty breaking the 30s for long, and that situation has not changed. If you want a professional, weighted poll selection, go with 538.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to crazytown (Reply #3)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 02:54 AM

4. Beg to differ

 

In 5 of the 10 polls listed above Biden is 30 or 30+ and in two he is 28, 29. Only in 3 cases is he 24-26 and that included thYouGov poll. e superseded YouGov poll. 538 is the best, but includes unrated, low rates and Adult polls (with ineligible to vote and unregistered voters. I'm sure 538 takes this into consideration, but I was not referring to the average but to A plurality. 😁
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to UncleNoel (Reply #4)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 03:09 AM

5. As I bef to differ

 

By the same logic, 5/10, Biden is consistently not breaking 30 .... As always, the future is unwritten
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to crazytown (Reply #5)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 03:16 AM

6. Didn't say avraging...

 

But you are right about polls remain rather steady for Biden. However, over Dec he didn't hit 30 often until more recent polls. As you say, we shall see.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to UncleNoel (Reply #6)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 03:18 AM

7. I'm a stickler for poll interpretation.

 

Merry Christmas
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to UncleNoel (Reply #6)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 03:21 AM

8. I am texting on my cell with clumsy fingers. Please disregard typos'etc.

 

:ig nor typos. smoke:
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to UncleNoel (Original post)

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 09:23 AM

9. UncleNoel, once again, your presentation is fantastic!

 



This, of course, is all very good news for Joe Biden!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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