Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumUnpopular opinion: it doesn't matter much who our nominee is
The data keep showing that campaigns don't actually matter much. So I'm not terribly convinced that some candidates bring a natural antidote to Trump.
A President's policy preferences don't particularly matter much either, because that's controlled by the 51st Senator and 218th Representative -- for that matter it's absolutely crazy that we spend so much time asking Presidential candidates about policy and so little time asking House and Senate candidates about policy. That's backwards: the Presidency isn't really a policy job to begin with.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Squinch
(50,773 posts)have much say in who we nominate. And I don't care. I only care that our nominee wins because the only important thing is that trump is sent packing.
That all being said, I don't completely agree with you. Trump's presence has had an immediate effect on policy if only to legitimize and strengthen the resolve of Republicans to promote all their idiocy. And he has had a long term effect on policy through his stacking of the courts with unqualified imbeciles who will decide on the legality of various policies for a generation.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DinahMoeHum
(21,737 posts)"Super Tuesday" is March 3, 2020:
Super Tuesday accounts for about 40 percent of total delegate allocation.
Because it has the largest delegate trove in the country, California is key to Super Tuesday.
New York's primary is April 28, 2020, along wih Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island:
This may be the last big delegate day of the race. If one candidate dominates every state this late in the primary, party leaders will likely move to get behind that person and seek to bring the race to an end.
etc.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/us/elections/2020-presidential-election-calendar.html
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And because New York has now consolidated election primariy dates, the other federal, state, and local primaries are now scheduled for June instead of September.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Squinch
(50,773 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)mattering a little is a lot.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
comradebillyboy
(10,119 posts)By the thinnest of margins.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)The Comey Letter Probably Cost Clinton The Election
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
comradebillyboy
(10,119 posts)all worked hard to elect Trump. Yet Hillary still won the popular vote.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
abqtommy
(14,118 posts)To me the most important component is that the election be fair and secure. Give us that and we're gonna win this thing!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JudyM
(29,122 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
abqtommy
(14,118 posts)2018! oh wait...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JudyM
(29,122 posts)into gaming and cheating the system again.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
abqtommy
(14,118 posts)But I have hope that if the squeaky wheel gets the grease and we all squeak loud and long enough
then we'll get what we want.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
empedocles
(15,751 posts)Winning big, both Senate and House, is key to getting a lot done, if we win the WH.
A strong, across the board nominee, is key to all that.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
thesquanderer
(11,953 posts)...you're right that it's ultimately more controlled by Congress, but a popular President--especially with a Congress of his/her own party--can strongly influence Congress.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Though if anything this administration has shown that the President doesn't have nearly as much control over foreign policy as he wishes he did.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
mucifer
(23,371 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
MerryBlooms
(11,728 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
exboyfil
(17,857 posts)I really don't care about specific policy positions so long as broad goals are outlined. Even if you control both Houses of Congress it will be a negotiation like ACA.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Recursion
(56,582 posts)She brings MI and WI with her, presumably, at which point the election is much more academic. (I think there's a similar argument for Biden and PA.)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
betsuni
(25,122 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(143,998 posts)We need an electable candidate and a good GOTV effort campaigns can matter
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden