So...the last state GE polls of 2019 (VA & FL) show only Biden beating Trump, w/highest favorables.

[highplainsdem]

I hope that on this last day of the year we've finally gone past the "But his name recognition!" excuses for our other top candidates not doing as well against Trump in these match-up polls.

The voters have had plenty of time to look over our candidates, and this is what those surveyed in these Mason-Dixon polls thought of the four top Democratic candidates versus Trump:


Virginia:

https://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/biden-is-only-democrat-currently-outpolling-trump-in-virginia/article_322639e4-ac3a-562b-86b9-3c56e210e408.html

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the only Democratic presidential hopeful currently outpacing President Donald Trump in Virginia, according to a new year-end survey.

Trump edges three other top-tier Democrats — Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg, according to a poll conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy.

-snip-

The results indicate that while Virginia has evolved from a red state, to a swing state, to one that now leans blue, “Democrats cannot completely take Virginia for granted,” said Brad Coker, CEO and managing director of the polling and consulting organization.

Biden received 49% to Trump’s 45% with 6% undecided in the poll of 625 registered voters surveyed by phone between Dec. 12-16.

Trump had the backing of 48% to Warren’s 44% with 8% undecided. The president got 51% to Sanders’ 45% with 4% undecided. Trump received 47% to Buttigieg’s 45% with 8% undecided.

Biden had the highest favorability rating in the poll at 51%, compared with 45% for Trump, 36% for Warren, 35% for Sanders and 33% for Buttigieg, the least well-known of the candidates in the survey.

Buttigieg had the lowest unfavorability rating at 30%, compared with 33% for Biden, 48% for Trump, 51% for Warren and 52% for Sanders.

-snip-

Florida:

https://www.politico.com/states/f/?id=0000016f-586c-df23-a57f-5eeea2dc0001

BIDEN HAS SLIGHT EDGE OVER TRUMP IN FLORIDA
PRESIDENT TOPS ALL OTHER DEMOCRATS

Florida is a key swing state that President Donald Trump will likely need to win in order to get re-elected. Currently, only former Vice President Joe Biden presents serious competition to Trump in the Sunshine State.

Statewide, Biden holds a narrow lead over Trump, with 47% of Florida voters backing him, 45% supporting the president and 8% undecided.Trump currently has a clear advantage over his other top potential Democratic challengers.

Statewide, Trump crushes Elizabeth Warren (51%-42%), has a relatively comfortable margin over Bernie Sanders (49%-44%) and a slimmer lead over Pete Buttigeig (49%-45%).

Now, as for the favorable/unfavorable/neutral/didn't-recognize results of this Florida poll:

Trump: 46% favorable, 47% unfavorable, 7% neutral

Biden: 45% favorable, 41% favorable, 14% neutral

Warren: 37% favorable, 48% unfavorable, 13% neutral, 2% didn't recognize

Sanders: 35% favorable, 52% unfavorable, 13% neutral

Buttigieg: 32% favorable, 38% unfavorable, 17% neutral, 13% didn't recognize

[Sloumeau]

1. highplainsdem, thanks a bunch for posting this! :)

This is good news for Joe Biden!

[highplainsdem]

4. You're very welcome, Sloumeau! And yes, this is great news for Biden!

[LonePirate]

2. The FL poll is plausible. The VA poll is farcical.

[highplainsdem]

3. Why is the VA poll "farcical"? Every GE poll of Virginia done during this primary race has

shown Biden doing better against Trump than our other candidates.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/virginia/


And the next most recent Virginia GE poll, the one from Virginia Commonwealth University earlier this month, also had Biden as the only Democratic candidate beating Trump.

https://oppo.vcu.edu/media/oppo/Winter2019-20Release1_final.pdf

[LonePirate]

5. Look at the November 2019 election results in VA to see why this poll is not believable.

The VA poll is radically different from those results and as well results from 2018, 2017 and 2016. Why should this poll be believed when all recent election results from VA paint an entirely different picture?

[highplainsdem]

6. This new poll shows the Democratic front-runner beating Trump. The November 2019 election

results do NOT guarantee that just any Democratic candidate, or any of our top few candidates, could beat Trump.

Biden campaigned in Virginia for those state races. Which almost certainly helped, since EVERY primary poll done in Virginia this year has shown Biden leading his Democratic rivals by double digits.

[Demsrule86]

7. K&R Go Joe...thanks.

[Tarheel_Dem]

8. K&R