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Undecided 48%
Joe Biden38%
Bernie Sanders14%

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:34 PM

 

Boston Herald: Sanders surges to top in latest N.H. likely voter poll. S.29% B.22%

Bernie Sanders has moved to the lead in New Hampshire in a poll that shows a dramatic shake-up in the race, a new Franklin Pierce, Boston Herald, NBC 10 poll shows.

Sanders has taken the lead in the poll of “likely” New Hampshire voters with 29% followed by Joe Biden at 22% and Elizabeth Warren with 16% and Pete Buttigieg with 10%.

Just two weeks ago, the previous FPU, Herald, NBC10 poll, had Biden in the lead at 26% with Sanders at 22% and Warren at 18% and Buttigieg at 7%.

https://www.bostonherald.com/2020/01/27/bernie-sanders-surges-to-top-in-latest-poll/
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Reply Boston Herald: Sanders surges to top in latest N.H. likely voter poll. S.29% B.22% (Original post)
Aaron Pereira Jan 27 OP
Name removed Jan 27 #1
Aaron Pereira Jan 27 #3
progressoid Jan 27 #4
pfeiffer Jan 27 #2
Aaron Pereira Jan 27 #5
ritapria Jan 27 #6
LanternWaste Jan 27 #7
Aaron Pereira Jan 27 #8

Response to Aaron Pereira (Original post)


Response to Name removed (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:52 PM

3. Sanders has two weeks and the current trend would give him a big win.

 

Given the much larger menu of candidates I'll take it.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to Name removed (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:57 PM

4. The racial composition of the electorate in NH has changed in 4 years?

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Aaron Pereira (Original post)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:45 PM

2. I worry about Bernie...

 

and his supporters relying so heavily on only the NH outcome.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to pfeiffer (Reply #2)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:57 PM

5. Feel free to tell Joe to stop campaigning there.

 

He seems to think the result in N.H. does matter.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to Aaron Pereira (Original post)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:59 PM

6. The Key stat

 

Is that Bernie is up 7% ( now at 29%) according to the Boston Herald Poll / Franklin Pierce University NH Poll conducted 2 weeks ago …… In Iowa, Bernie is up 8% ( now at 30%) according to the Emerson College NH Poll conducted in mid December ………..
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to Aaron Pereira (Original post)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 04:16 PM

7. Given NH demographics, it seems like it's Bernie's to win or lose.

 

As is IA and UT as well. I think the less homogeneous states will more accurately illustrate the fundamental flaws in the Sanders campaign.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to LanternWaste (Reply #7)

Mon Jan 27, 2020, 04:22 PM

8. Yes, there is some truth to your point.

 

The real test will be NV and California where Sanders is capturing a much higher share of Latino voters in 2020 than in 2016. The picture in those states will show if there is a fundamental flaw.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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