Poll: Biden leads in Iowa, with Sanders in close second

[RandySF]

Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to lead in Iowa just before the first-in-the-nation caucuses, but Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is closing the gap between himself and the front-runner, according to a Monmouth University poll released Wednesday.

The poll, conducted from Jan. 23-27, found Biden with 23 percent support among likely Democratic caucusgoers, roughly on par with a previous Monmouth survey from earlier this month that showed him at 24 percent in the Hawkeye State.

Sanders, however, is within the margin of error for first place, notching 21 percent in the latest poll — a 3-point gain since the early January survey.

Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), meanwhile, are neck and neck, scoring 16 percent and 15 percent, respectively. Another contender, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), took 10 percent in the poll, marking the first time since launching her presidential bid last year that she has scored in double digits in Iowa.

The survey suggests that, just five days out from the Iowa caucuses, the presidential race in the state is wide open, with no candidate having a clear advantage heading into caucus day.

What’s more, 45 percent of likely caucusgoers surveyed expressed at least some degree of openness to supporting a candidate other than their current first choice at the caucuses. Another 47 percent said they were firmly decided on their candidate of choice.



https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/480454-poll-biden-leads-in-iowa-with-sanders-in-close-second

[Cha]

1. KR

[Drunken Irishman]

2. I don't know what to make of Iowa.

The polls are all over the place.

I think that benefits Sanders as I think he'll have a better turnout game based on the foundation he built in 2016.

But who knows, Biden seems to be building some momentum these final hours.

[emmaverybo]

3. Biden was never expected to lead in Iowa. Amazing that he has this much of a chance whereas

would take a miracle for Sanders to catch him in S.C.

[R B Garr]

8. Exactly. Iowa is a caucus state, so it's high drama and

intimidation time, again.

[FloridaBlues]

4. Polls will drive us crazy But I think Biden takes Iowa after all is done.

It wouldn't surprise me if Bernie takes NH.

[NCProgressive]

5. All within MOE - but good for Biden

Go Joe!!

[Qutzupalotl]

6. If Klobuchar is below 15% in most caucus locations,

where do her supporters go? Ideologically, probably closer to Biden or Buttigieg. For those wanting a female candidate, or someone who has never lost, there's Warren. In either case, I don't see Bernie picking up much of Amy's base.

Sanders and Warren share much of the same fan base, so Iowa will be zero-sum for them. If you can give everyone healthcare in a well-regulated capitalist system, that seems more viable to me than a socialist candidate. So I would favor Warren, but Bernie may beat her here.

All our major candidates are good, but I am leaning Biden at this point. We have to win it all, and he's the one who can win the midwest and thereby the EC. The fact that Trump is terrified of him, as we see in the trial, says a lot. If Biden's the nominee, Trump winds up in a New York jail and he knows it.

[Thekaspervote]

9. This!

[judeling]

12. But it looks like Amy will be Viable in the Majority

of Caucus locations.

People for get how lumpy support is. Support is not distributed evenly even for top performers.
From that same poll it looks like Biden gets about Half of Klobuchar's support and Warren and Buttigieg get about a Quarter each.

But that means a lot less then people seem to think.

[Qutzupalotl]

13. Good!

I should have phrased my question as “in a given location.” Thanks for the info.

[Thekaspervote]

7. this is poll #2 out today that is turning things on it's head

IA: morningside.edu
Biden 19
Buttigieg 18
Warren and sanders tied at 15

What I find interesting about this poll, the first two slots go to the moderate/progressive candidates.

[Demsrule86]

10. Is this Iowa?

[chillfactor]

11. GO JOE!

[Scurrilous]

14. K&R