Biden is trailing Sanders by less than you might think: new California poll

[UncleNoel]

https://www.rawstory.com/2020/02/biden-is-trailing-sanders-by-less-than-you-might-think-new-california-poll/

Snip//

While recent surveys have consistently found Bernie Sanders winning in the Golden State, his lead may not be as big as some might think.A new poll released by Monmouth University on Thursday found 24% of likely California Democratic primary voters supporting Sanders, compared to 17% for former Vice President Joe Biden. The 7-point gap is far narrower than the 18-point lead the Public Policy Institute of California recorded Sanders having on Tuesday.

I think we are going to see an uptick in Biden's support. Bernie's lead is soft IMHO.

[Cha]

1. Thank you!

[UncleNoel]

2. You are most welcome, Cha!

[Cha]

4. ..

!

[denem]

3. A result of less than 30% would be a failure for Sanders in CA,

given how much he has invested in the state.

[Sympthsical]

7. Has he?

I feel like I’m seeing and hearing Bloomberg ads every single commercial break here in California. Steyer’s in there once in awhile. As for the other candidates, including Sanders, I’ve not seen nor heard much if anything.

Sanders is well-regraded in California, especially in the Bay Area. Almost all my friends are for him. I’m less. But I think he’ll do just fine.

[denem]

11. From TFA

As of mid-February, Sanders has 22 offices and 105 staff in the state, while Biden has just one office and at least 20 paid staff members. Michael Bloomberg has a larger footprint with about 20 offices in the state and 400 paid California staff members. Elizabeth Warren has three offices and more than 48 paid workers.

[Sympthsical]

16. That's fair

Whoever wins is who wins. This whole “70% don’t want him, he needs X to count, etc.” never existed when Biden was the front runner. It’s just the latest thing against Sanders.

I just hope Buttigieg and Warren do well before then.

[denem]

17. I'm NOT in the 70% don't want him camp.

If for example, I want a woman president, that does not say too much one way or another about how I feel about a President Sanders.

[Sympthsical]

22. Oh I know.

Was just making a general comment.

I would love to have a woman president, Warren specifically. I’m a little cool on Klobuchar.

[LiberalFighter]

14. In 2016, Sanders got 46% of the vote.

[oasis]

5. Let's make it happen Biden peeps!

[honest.abe]

6. I have a feeling we are going to see a resurgence of Biden.

The Bloomberg effect will be somewhat reduced after Tues debate and also many "non-Bernie" Dems are freaking out about the possibility of Sanders actually winning this thing so they are realizing they need to coalesce on a single candidate and that candidate is most likely Biden.

[totodeinhere]

9. If Joe loses both Nevada and South Carolina I think it might be too late for him to turn it around.

Of course those are mighty big ifs. A big Biden win in South Carolina and a closer than expected finish in Nevada would be a big help.

[honest.abe]

10. Agreed. But I think he is going to have a decent finish in NV and solid win in SC.

That will propel him into Super Tuesday and if he does well there then most of the non-Bernie Dems will jump on the Biden bandwagon.

Bloomberg is the wildcard here and its hard to say how much effect he will have.

[bucolic_frolic]

8. Sanders has no upside from here

Warren and Biden will make an historic run down the stretch!

[Iliyah]

12. Honestly, I do see VP Biden winning . . .

or coming extremely close to California, as well as VA, TX, and other super Tuesday's states.

I'm am so leery of the polling system at this point in time.

[bucolic_frolic]

13. +10

Polls are skewed by Russian mind control and deliberate GOP mis-votes to select our weakest candidate. Dictators want Trump to win, and they want his opponent to be unelectable and weak. That's how they defeat American democracy.

[UniteFightBack]

21. And then you have a guy shaking down Ukraine for FAKE DIRT on his strongest opponent. And what

do Democrats do....yes they rallied around JOE BIDEN and said OH FUCK NO....you ain't doing this BULLSHIT again.

You're afraid of Joe than that's where we go.............

Except that didn't happen.

[bucolic_frolic]

23. It will happen

Trump-Putin want a weak Democrat or a divided Democratic Party. Bernie is a wedge every year. His payoff? Socialism in America, just like the old USSR. Democrats will be stronger if we actually fight each other and have a victor. Liz Warren senses this, I think. We need a fighter!

Joe and Liz are on the upswing, the rest are not at this moment in time. Bernie has peaked with no upside remaining in my view. Mike, Tom, we have nothing in common with these two. Amy, Pete ... they got into it the other night. Pete's the future. Amy is a solid VP, but I doubt she's moving up in the presidential race from here.

We could well get a brokered convention. No one can decide anything. Internal polling will weigh heavy.

[woundedkarma]

15. Is this the poll that completely ignores Sen. Warren?

Cause f* them. Put your trust in a place that runs numbers for only most of the candidates? No thanks. You can celebrate but don't be surprised if the poll ends up laughably wrong.

[Demsrule86]

18. Great news!

Thanks.

[subana]

19. that's great news!

Warren is doing much better now too thanks to her strong debate performance!!

[UniteFightBack]

20. COME ON ...I know California if full of reasonable people. Where are they???? nt