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Undecided 44%
Elizabeth Warren22%
Joe Biden14%
Bernie Sanders8%
Pete Buttigieg6%

Sun Apr 14, 2019, 09:00 AM

 

The 2020 Endorsement Primary from 538

I don't know how much influence party leaders have - but I thought this was interesting to know, anyway:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-endorsements/democratic-primary/?ex_cid=rrpromo


Cory Booker 57 points
Kamala Harris 55
Amy Klobuchar 44
Bernie Sanders 21
Joe Biden 18
Elizabeth Warren 17
Beto O'Rourke 14
Julian Castro 12
John Delaney 6
Pete Buttigieg 5
Jay Inslee 5
Kirsten Gillibrand 3
John Hickenlooper 3

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

5 replies, 366 views

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Arrow 5 replies Author Time Post
Reply The 2020 Endorsement Primary from 538 (Original post)
bloom Apr 2019 OP
bloom Apr 2019 #1
Hortensis Apr 2019 #2
bloom Apr 2019 #3
Hortensis Apr 2019 #4
Gothmog Nov 30 #5

Response to bloom (Original post)

Sun Apr 14, 2019, 09:02 AM

1. My second choice is Harris n/t

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to bloom (Original post)

Sun Apr 14, 2019, 09:46 AM

2. This is the hidden primary, and you can bet

 

that people who are longtime activists., who have become power centers, and are people others look to and respect make a big difference.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Hortensis (Reply #2)

Sun Apr 14, 2019, 09:55 AM

3. FiveThirtyEight's point scale (these are national Democratic Party people):

 

10 points
Former presidents and vice presidents
Current national party leaders

8 points
Governors

6 points
U.S. senators

5 points
Former presidential and vice-presidential nominees
Former national party leaders
2020 presidential candidates who have dropped out

3 points
U.S. representatives
Mayors of large cities

2 points
Officials in statewide elected offices
State legislative leaders

1 point
Other Democratic National Committee members
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to bloom (Reply #3)

Sun Apr 14, 2019, 10:31 AM

4. Interesting, thanks.

 

that scale seems to mostly represent effect of names on the public, as opposed to their power to make things happen, in their home states especially?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bloom (Original post)

Sat Nov 30, 2019, 12:31 PM

5. This has been good month for Biden

 


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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