Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumWhy is this long dead talking point still being propped up?
Last edited Tue Feb 26, 2019, 02:41 PM - Edit history (1)
Jesus...
Link to tweet
Edit: No kiddies, racists will not all of a sudden stop being racist even with slightly higher paying jobs...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
brooklynite
(94,485 posts)Trump's win came on the back of his 35% base, which he won't lose, and 10%-12% of disaffected voters (some previously voting for Obama) who felt that they were being ignored by politicians in both Parties. Those are gettable; I'm just not sure it's possible by Bernie.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to brooklynite (Reply #1)
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Trenzalore
(2,331 posts)They are not gettable. It is cultural. Your better bet is turning out young people and people of color. Bernie may have an argument on youth.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to Trenzalore (Reply #7)
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Trenzalore
(2,331 posts)About 3 days a week I have a beer at a local American Legion or Fire company. None of those white guys at that bar are gettable. They should be but they love the guy.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)I live in Indiana...
These folks are largely gone. They bought the Trump lie hook, line, and sinker, and it's now dogma. They are assholes and PROUD of it.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Trenzalore
(2,331 posts)Than chasing people trying to turn America back to something it never was.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to Trenzalore (Reply #20)
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MrsCoffee
(5,801 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,659 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to The Velveteen Ocelot (Reply #9)
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leftofcool
(19,460 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CrossingTheRubicon
(731 posts)And Biden would unify the whole party. BS is too divisive.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to CrossingTheRubicon (Reply #12)
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CrossingTheRubicon
(731 posts)And the poll you site shows that Biden is the strong second choice of BS supported.
So a Biden led ticket woul not only unite the Democratic Party, it would appeal to supporters of BS.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
rgbecker
(4,823 posts)You're selling yourself short.
Biden is lovable, rides the subway and so far isn't running.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
EffieBlack
(14,249 posts)is to convince them that women, minorities, LGBTQ will be kicked to the curb.
Because at that point, our presence and prominence in the Democratic Party is the ONLY reason those guys are staying away and supporting Republicans.
So, no thank you. I'm fine with them staying right where they are. We can more than make up for their continued absence by expanding our base. We certainly won't do ourselves any favors by pretending hiding our folk in the back of the bus.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)where "the economy" ranked like #8 among Trump voters and "immigration" was #1
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TCJ70
(4,387 posts)...but they sure are comfortable being extremely racist adjacent.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sid
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(297,070 posts)snip//
Two new studies suggest Trump broadened the Republican Party's appeal by tapping into deep-seated anxieties and prejudices.
https://psmag.com/news/research-finds-that-racism-sexism-and-status-fears-drove-trump-voters
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
WeekiWater
(3,259 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Trenzalore
(2,331 posts)Need to spend time in a bar in the rust belt in a predominantly white lower to middle-class area and listen to the discussions when it comes to politics without identifying themselves as a democrat.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Docreed2003
(16,858 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Empowerer
(3,900 posts)... which pretty much tells me what I need to know.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Last edited Tue Feb 26, 2019, 11:45 AM - Edit history (4)
The research indicates that the lion's share of Obama-Trump voters were motivated by cultural anxiety , i.e. racial anxiety and not economic anxiety.
ON EDIT-Never has so much work went into getting one sentence right, smh.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
EffieBlack
(14,249 posts)Cultural anxiety is largely based on racial resentment. You can't separate them.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
EffieBlack
(14,249 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,323 posts)Let these people stay pissed at trump. Why give them any motivation.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Trenzalore
(2,331 posts)The ones I know in this demographic love the guy.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
EffieBlack
(14,249 posts)I'm done with being nice to these people and I'm done with being told to be nice to them.
I'm not going to go out of my way to trash them, but I'm also not going to twist myself into knots trying not to offend them.
Oh - and calling racists racists isn't name calling. It's truth telling.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,323 posts)When elections all around the country are being won and lost by razor thin margins it makes sense not to call names.
Calling out racism and bigotry is great. But calling the opponents voters names is a bad case of foot in mouth syndrome. Fortunately most of our candidates arent that arrogant to think they have it in the bag and can do dumb things.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
rgbecker
(4,823 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)Politics has a white savior complex
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to Blue_Tires (Original post)
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Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)in primary states he can't outright win. He seems to think conservative voters will also vote for him in the General and that Democratic voters desperate to rid themselves of Trump will vote for him as a last resort...could be right. I would vote for him in a general. However I don't think this will work in the primaries and could lead to a long and bitter primary which we don't need. We must win in 20.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Mr. Smith
(65 posts)I find this sort of analysis much more compelling than "they're all racists."
https://www.voterstudygroup.org/publications/2016-elections/the-five-types-trump-voters
Key Findings
This analysis finds five unique clusters of Trump voters: American Preservationists (20%), Staunch Conservatives (31%), Anti-Elites (19%), Free Marketeers (25%), and the Disengaged (5%)
There is no such thing as one kind of Trump voter who voted for him for one single reason. Many voted with enthusiasm for Trump while others held their noses and voted against Hillary Clinton.
Trump voters hold very different views on a wide variety of issues including immigration, race, American identity, moral traditionalism, trade, and economics.
Four issues distinguish Trump voters from non-Trump voters: attitudes toward Hillary Clinton, evaluations of the economy, views about illegal immigration, and views about Muslim immigration.
Introduction
The surprising rise of Donald Trump in the Republican primaries and his victory in the November 2016 presidential election defied predictions of pundits and pollsters alike. Elections observers have sought a straightforward explanation for Trumps success, such as Rust-Belt anxieties, the plight of the white working class, racism, nativism, nationalism, authoritarianism, collective narcissism, Americanism, and so forth. Many also acknowledge that a combination of these factors may have been key.
Throughout most of the debate, however, there has been a tendency to think of Trump voters as a homogenous bloc with similar tastes and motivations. Articles with titles such as There is No Such Thing as a Good Trump Voter give rise to the impression that most Trump voters are driven by the same motivations and policy priorities.(i) Furthermore, the presumption has been that since Trump has belabored the immigration issue his voters must also share his immigration concerns.
Political science research has tended to use regression analysis to identify which dispositions best predict voting for Trump. These models inherently assume each Trump voter places equal weight on each policy issue measured. For example, if a model finds that immigration anxieties are highly predictive of a Trump vote, many assume this means all Trump voters are equally highly anxious about immigration. It may be, however, that some are concerned about immigration, while others are not. These models cannot distinguish between the two possibilities.
There is reason to believe that Trump voters did cast their November ballots for different reasons. The 17 candidates who competed for the Republican primary nomination remind us that when Republican primary voters had other options, many chose someone other than Trump. In the early primaries held during February and March, Trump garnered only about a third (36 percent) while a majority (64 percent) of Republican primary voters cast their ballots for Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, or one of the other candidates.(1),(ii) If Trump embodied the core values and views of the Republican Party, why didnt he win a strong majority of their votes in the early primaries?
Trump brought home most of these other Republican voters in November, garnering about 94 percent of the Republican primary voters and 79 percent of all Republicans surveyed.
But it raises questions about the composition of the Trump vote. Should it be viewed as a homogenous bloc, or perhaps more correctly as a coalition? Do Trump voters share the same set of concerns, anxieties, and motivations, or perhaps did these voters pull the lever for Trump for different reasons?
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primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)but they have proven beyond all reasonable doubt that they have no problems whatsoever with Trump's race-baiting and racist policies...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Mr. Smith
(65 posts)We already got one glance at how people feel about the Trump GOP in November.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Empowerer
(3,900 posts)that put racists in charge of the country. That's virtually the same thing.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
betsuni
(25,449 posts)If they only hear his identity-politics-free economic message the scales will fall from their eyes and they will unite as workers to vote in their own interest.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden