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Undecided 44%
Elizabeth Warren22%
Joe Biden14%
Bernie Sanders8%
Pete Buttigieg6%

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 08:01 PM

 

Morning Consult poll: Joe Biden Is the Front-Runner -- Over Democrats, and Donald Trump

https://morningconsult.com/2019/04/24/joe-biden-is-the-front-runner-over-democrats-and-donald-trump/


A new Morning Consult/Politico poll conducted April 19-21 among 1,992 registered voters found Biden leading the president by 8 percentage points in a hypothetical matchup, 42 percent to 34 percent. Biden has a significant edge over Trump among women (17 points), millennials (22 points) and independents (10 points).

The national, online survey has a 2-point margin of error.

Trumpís garnering roughly one-third of the vote in the early head-to-head test pales in comparison to that of the last incumbent president: At this point in the 2012 election cycle, then-President Barack Obama led Republican Mitt Romney by several points, polling consistently in the mid-to-high 40s, even after the 2010 tea party wave and backlash to the Affordable Care Act.

Along with his advantage over Trump, Biden has held a consistent lead in Morning Consultís weekly tracking among likely Democratic primary voters. Three in 10 of those voters said the Delawarean was their top pick in the latest poll, followed by 24 percent who chose Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. (Bidenís 6-point advantage is similar to his average 7-point lead over the Democratic socialist in the 12 tracking polls.)

In the prominent states holding early nominating contests Ė Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada Ė Bidenís lead over Sanders is currently larger, 34 percent to 26 percent, though those responses carry a larger margin of error: 5 points compared to the broader sampleís 1-point.

Obamaís former No. 2, set to launch his campaign Thursday, is also the second-choice candidate for supporters of several other contenders, including those backing Sanders, California Sen. Kamala Harris, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind.

-snip-
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply Morning Consult poll: Joe Biden Is the Front-Runner -- Over Democrats, and Donald Trump (Original post)
highplainsdem Apr 2019 OP
UniteFightBack Apr 2019 #1
John Fante Apr 2019 #2
Demsrule86 Apr 2019 #13
George II Apr 2019 #3
AlexSFCA Apr 2019 #4
emulatorloo Apr 2019 #6
Cha Apr 2019 #7
left-of-center2012 Apr 2019 #5
Demsrule86 Apr 2019 #14
UniteFightBack Apr 2019 #15
Demsrule86 Apr 2019 #17
Cha Apr 2019 #8
highplainsdem Apr 2019 #9
Cha Apr 2019 #10
Honeycombe8 Apr 2019 #11
Peacetrain Apr 2019 #12
BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #16

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 08:04 PM

1. I want rump to take a reaming (pun not intended) so very very badly. nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to UniteFightBack (Reply #1)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 08:08 PM

2. My prediction:

 

Trump gets his (and the GOP's) usual 46-47% of the vote. The Democratic nominee gets 51% and the White House.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to UniteFightBack (Reply #1)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:49 PM

13. I do too. The best revenge is to send him back to Florida or new York we here he can spend

 

The rest of his miserable life fighting criminal charges.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 08:14 PM

3. Even though he's been the front runner for months, after tomorrow we can call him...

 

...the front runner and not get pushback that he's not a candidate.

I'm anxious to see him become a formal candidate and see what he has to say tomorrow.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 08:22 PM

4. But he is not running

 

what an odd poll. I bet Obama would poll even higher.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Pete Buttigieg

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Response to AlexSFCA (Reply #4)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:08 PM

6. He will be running as of tomorrow

 

Last edited Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:28 PM - Edit history (2)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to AlexSFCA (Reply #4)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:20 PM

7. @ConorLambPA will endorse Biden at his campaign kick off in Pittsburgh on Monday.

 


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 08:31 PM

5. Name recognition

 

Too early to be meaningful.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to left-of-center2012 (Reply #5)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:50 PM

14. Biden can win. That is all that matters

 

He can also be ready on day one with his experience.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Demsrule86 (Reply #14)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:58 PM

15. Saw a very interesting panel on CNN tonight with some Florida voters. There were 8 of them

 

and 3 were outright voting Biden. All of them said that they liked him and they all thought that he can beat rump.

Joe is going to enjoy broad broad support and as he should.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to UniteFightBack (Reply #15)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:04 PM

17. I think so too.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:20 PM

8. @ConorLambPA will endorse Biden at his campaign kick off in Pittsburgh on Monday.

 


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Cha (Reply #8)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:24 PM

9. Great news! Thanks, Cha...and pease post this as an OP!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #9)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:30 PM

10. I don't do OPs, highplains..

 

Would you OP it, Please?

I KR it!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:38 PM

11. It's a good sign that independents go for him over Trump.

 

I don't think the Democrats can win without independents.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:39 PM

12. Most excellent!!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 09:59 PM

16. Joe, the next POTUS! nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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