Morning Consult poll: Joe Biden Is the Front-Runner -- Over Democrats, and Donald Trump

[highplainsdem]

https://morningconsult.com/2019/04/24/joe-biden-is-the-front-runner-over-democrats-and-donald-trump/

A new Morning Consult/Politico poll conducted April 19-21 among 1,992 registered voters found Biden leading the president by 8 percentage points in a hypothetical matchup, 42 percent to 34 percent. Biden has a significant edge over Trump among women (17 points), millennials (22 points) and independents (10 points).

The national, online survey has a 2-point margin of error.

Trump’s garnering roughly one-third of the vote in the early head-to-head test pales in comparison to that of the last incumbent president: At this point in the 2012 election cycle, then-President Barack Obama led Republican Mitt Romney by several points, polling consistently in the mid-to-high 40s, even after the 2010 tea party wave and backlash to the Affordable Care Act.

Along with his advantage over Trump, Biden has held a consistent lead in Morning Consult’s weekly tracking among likely Democratic primary voters. Three in 10 of those voters said the Delawarean was their top pick in the latest poll, followed by 24 percent who chose Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. (Biden’s 6-point advantage is similar to his average 7-point lead over the Democratic socialist in the 12 tracking polls.)

In the prominent states holding early nominating contests – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada – Biden’s lead over Sanders is currently larger, 34 percent to 26 percent, though those responses carry a larger margin of error: 5 points compared to the broader sample’s 1-point.

Obama’s former No. 2, set to launch his campaign Thursday, is also the second-choice candidate for supporters of several other contenders, including those backing Sanders, California Sen. Kamala Harris, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind.

-snip-

[UniteFightBack]

1. I want rump to take a reaming (pun not intended) so very very badly. nt

[John Fante]

2. My prediction:

Trump gets his (and the GOP's) usual 46-47% of the vote. The Democratic nominee gets 51% and the White House.

[Demsrule86]

13. I do too. The best revenge is to send him back to Florida or new York we here he can spend

The rest of his miserable life fighting criminal charges.

[George II]

3. Even though he's been the front runner for months, after tomorrow we can call him...

...the front runner and not get pushback that he's not a candidate.

I'm anxious to see him become a formal candidate and see what he has to say tomorrow.

[AlexSFCA]

4. But he is not running

what an odd poll. I bet Obama would poll even higher.

[emulatorloo]

6. He will be running as of tomorrow

Last edited Wed Apr 24, 2019, 11:28 PM - Edit history (2)

[Cha]

7. @ConorLambPA will endorse Biden at his campaign kick off in Pittsburgh on Monday.

Link to tweet

[left-of-center2012]

5. Name recognition

Too early to be meaningful.

[Demsrule86]

14. Biden can win. That is all that matters

He can also be ready on day one with his experience.

[UniteFightBack]

15. Saw a very interesting panel on CNN tonight with some Florida voters. There were 8 of them

and 3 were outright voting Biden. All of them said that they liked him and they all thought that he can beat rump.

Joe is going to enjoy broad broad support and as he should.

[Demsrule86]

17. I think so too.

[Cha]

8. @ConorLambPA will endorse Biden at his campaign kick off in Pittsburgh on Monday.

Link to tweet

[highplainsdem]

9. Great news! Thanks, Cha...and pease post this as an OP!

[Cha]

10. I don't do OPs, highplains..

Would you OP it, Please?

I KR it!

[Honeycombe8]

11. It's a good sign that independents go for him over Trump.

I don't think the Democrats can win without independents.

[Peacetrain]

12. Most excellent!!

[BlueFlorida]

16. Joe, the next POTUS! nt