HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » I know it's early, but th...
Undecided 44%
Elizabeth Warren21%
Joe Biden14%
Bernie Sanders8%
Pete Buttigieg6%

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:21 PM

 

I know it's early, but these are the numbers I'm watching

Link:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

11 replies, 851 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 11 replies Author Time Post
Reply I know it's early, but these are the numbers I'm watching (Original post)
louis c Apr 2019 OP
Eko Apr 2019 #1
Tiggeroshii Apr 2019 #2
louis c Apr 2019 #4
Tiggeroshii Apr 2019 #6
CaliforniaPeggy Apr 2019 #3
Honeycombe8 Apr 2019 #5
Iliyah Apr 2019 #7
Cha Apr 2019 #8
SunSeeker Apr 2019 #9
Sugarcoated Apr 2019 #10
Skittles Apr 2019 #11

Response to louis c (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:23 PM

1. K&R

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to louis c (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:27 PM

2. The individual early states matter the most.

 

If anybody sweeps the first 3, they will likely get the nomination.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #2)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:34 PM

4. POh, that's the nomination. I get it...

 

...but the main reason I'm for Biden is to beat Trump, not Sanders.

If we nominate a candidate who is weaker than Biden against Trump, we'll have to work all the harder, even though that Democrat may have a stronger ground game in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina in the Primary. Those three states are the most important states to win the nomination. I agree. Other than New Hampshire, they don't mean shit in the General.

However, my chief ambition in this election cycle is to beat Donald Trump. So, the 3 states I'm focused on are Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin in the General Election.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to louis c (Reply #4)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:37 PM

6. Honestly we need the old white man vote to beat trump.

 

... in order to win pa, wi and Mi. We will get that with any of the Dem front runners. Not too worried quite yet about whether we will win.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to louis c (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:32 PM

3. That looks very good--I hope it holds. n/t

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Pete Buttigieg

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to louis c (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:36 PM

5. Remember: Those polls don't include the Russian votes.

 

I'm not being flippant. The Russian interference and I assume the hacking attempts are still going on. We have to have a big enough lead so that Russian hacking can't flip the results in a few purple districts. And this time, it's Trump's DOJ & FBI who will be the watchdogs, which is not comforting to me.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to louis c (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:38 PM

7. Republicans will do their best to steal it

 

any mean necessary just like 2016.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to louis c (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 10:45 PM

8. Wonder if trump and his flunkies have seen this data?

 

RCP Average 3/17 - 4/21 -- -- 48.8 41.0 Biden +7.8

Politico 4/19 - 4/21 1992 RV 2.0 42 34 Biden +8

Emerson 4/11 - 4/14 914 RV 3.2 53 47 Biden +6

PPP (D) 3/27 - 3/28 846 RV 3.4 53 40 Biden +13

Rasmussen 3/17 - 3/21 5000 LV 1.5 49 44 Biden +5

FOX News 3/17 - 3/20 1002 RV 3.0 47 40 Biden +7

All General Election: Trump vs. Biden Polling Data
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to louis c (Original post)

Thu Apr 25, 2019, 01:26 AM

9. I hear you, but Hillary had better numbers than that before she announced.

 

The Russian trolls and media feeding frenzy over her emails, not to mention attacks for all sides, including Comey, brought her sizable lead to just 2 percentage points on Nov. 6, 2016. Being 2% ahead meant she won about 3 million more votes than Trump, but still lost the electoral college. Dems need to be ahead by a lot more than 2% so that the GOP can't steal it. That is how rigged the system is against us.

But those are good numbers for Biden.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to SunSeeker (Reply #9)

Thu Apr 25, 2019, 02:28 AM

10. But she had very high unfavorables

 

and did all the way through the campaign. Biden doesn't have that problem.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Sugarcoated (Reply #10)

Reply to this thread