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Wed Sep 25, 2019, 12:04 PM

5 reasons why Elizabeth Warren has the best chance to beat Donald Trump

There is some interesting anaylsis of the 2016 election here. Per the author, that works in Elizabeth's favor.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2019/09/25/5-reasons-warren-best-chance-beat-trump-column/2419281001/

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The Trump victory didnít result mainly from a mass exodus of blue-collar Democratic voters to the Republican candidate.

Itís true that 9.8% of voters changed their votes from 2012 to 2016. But only 3.6% of voters moved from President Barack Obama to Trump. More than half of these were offset by the 1.9% who switched from Mitch Romney to Hillary Clinton ó leaving a net loss of only 1.7%.

The lionís share of vote-changers were the 4.3% of the voters who moved from Obama in 2012 to a third-party candidate or to not voting for any presidential candidate in 2016.

Of course, much of the net loss of vote-changers was concentrated in critical electoral states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Ohio.

The loss of white working-class voters to Trump was definitely a component of Clintonís defeat. But a greater component was that so many former Obama voters elected not to vote at all or vote for a third-party candidate.
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It's a good read.

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Reply 5 reasons why Elizabeth Warren has the best chance to beat Donald Trump (Original post)
BlueMTexpat Sep 2019 OP
BeyondGeography Sep 2019 #1
BlueMTexpat Sep 2019 #3
at140 Sep 2019 #2

Response to BlueMTexpat (Original post)

Wed Sep 25, 2019, 12:09 PM

1. Excellent read

Debunks a number of anti-Warren talking points especially this one:

►Polls show Warrenís message that the economic system is rigged against ordinary people ó and her willingness to unapologetically call for fundamental structural changes in the rules of the economic game ó are very attractive to white working-class vote-switchers in the upper Midwest who havenít had a raise that outstrips inflation in 30 years.

These voters donít want continuity or stability, they want change. Thatís why many switched their vote in 2016. They believed Clinton represented the economic status quo.

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Response to BeyondGeography (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 25, 2019, 12:10 PM

3. Exactly!

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Response to BlueMTexpat (Original post)

Wed Sep 25, 2019, 12:10 PM

2. Bookmarking for reading later...

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