Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

DarthDem

DarthDem's Journal
DarthDem's Journal
October 5, 2018

I Am Making It My Personal Mission


To see to it that Susan Collins is no longer a United States Senator after January of 2021. She's unfit for the job and a sad joke.
November 7, 2012

SENATOR ELIZABETH WARREN (D-MA)


There are tears on my face. She did it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! We took Teddy Kennedy's seat back from that male model fake moderate tool.

Her performance in the debates was brilliant and she stands to be a fantastic, fantastic United States Senator.

Congratulations to the senator-elect and all those who worked so hard to see her elected.
November 4, 2012

This Is One Hell of a Speech


In Northern Virginia, Obama is on FIRE!!!!!!!!!!!!! That's after a fantastic intro by Bill Clinton and what I assume was a good concert by Dave Matthews. The place holds 25,000 and looks jampacked.

Watching this, I find it hard to believe that Mittens is going to take Virginia.




October 19, 2012

On Any New State Presidential Poll, Look at the Senate Totals

So this applies to OH, FL, VA, NV, and WI but not to CO, NC, IA, or NH (assuming that IA and NH are not in the bag for Obama, which I believe that they are), because there are no Senate races in the latter group.

There is no way that Brown, Nelson, Kaine, and Baldwin (I'm omitting NV there because the polling is all over the place and because Berkley may have her polling numbers understated by the inability of Nevada pollsters to count Latino voters, which we clearly saw in both 2008 and 2010) are winning, most of them comfortably, while Obama is losing or winning by tight margins.

Here's what I mean: MAYYYYYYYBE you can say that since Nelson in FL is no liberal, there are ticket-splitters, but Brown and Baldwin are huge liberals and Kaine is about as liberal as you get for a Virginia senator.

So before you worry about some silly state poll result, look at the Senate race polling. If there's a disconnect, assume the presidential polling is off.

And yes, Gallup is a joke, and a lot of LV models out there are probably going to look pretty silly in about 18 days.

Profile Information

Member since: 2001
Number of posts: 5,255
Latest Discussions»DarthDem's Journal