calimary
calimary's JournalUpdate ...
At 9:42am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,062,521
Deaths worldwide - 211,700
Confirmed cases US - 997,613
Deaths US - 56,540
At 9:50am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,065,535
Deaths worldwide - 212,122
Confirmed cases US - 998,536
Deaths US - 56,580
At 10:04am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,066,393
Deaths worldwide - 212,546
Confirmed cases US - 999,394
Deaths US - 57,004
At 10:08am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,066,611
Deaths worldwide - 212,607
Confirmed cases US - 999,612
Deaths US - 57,065
At 10:11am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,066,931
Deaths worldwide - 212,613
Confirmed cases US - 999,932
Deaths US - 57,071
At 11:09am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,067,642
Deaths worldwide - 212,992
Confirmed cases US - 1,000,242 -- yep. There it is. A million confirmed cases here in this country. That we know of, anyway...
Deaths US - 57,098
The Daily Dread - Tracking the spread, 4/28/20
All times Pacific, source: Johns Hopkins/NBC News
At 9:42am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,062,521
Deaths worldwide - 211,700
Confirmed cases US - 997,613
Deaths US - 56,540
At 9:50am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,065,535
Deaths worldwide - 212,122
Confirmed cases US - 998,536
Deaths US - 56,580
At 10:04am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,066,393
Deaths worldwide - 212,546
Confirmed cases US - 999,394
Deaths US - 57,004
At 10:08am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,066,611
Deaths worldwide - 212,607
Confirmed cases US - 999,612
Deaths US - 57,065
At 10:11am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,066,931
Deaths worldwide - 212,613
Confirmed cases US - 999,932
Deaths US - 57,071
So out of morbid curiosity, I did some math to see when we might hit a million confirmed cases.
Assuming the last figure of Monday evening, confirmed cases US, 987,367.
The first figure of the morning I had, at 9:29am, was 975,006. An arbitrary start of the day, since we slept in.
If you subtract that figure, 975,006 from the last such stat of the evening, 987,367, the difference is 12,361.
Okay, then, using that number (12,361) as the day's increase, seems to me you can make a somewhat educated guess based on that. Assuming we'd see the same increase in Tuesday's numbers, you'd add that number (12,361) to Monday's final figure (987,367), and get 999,728. Which is only 272 less than a million.
Therefore, based on this set of calculations, we're likely to reach a million confirmed COVID-19 cases sometime Tuesday, late in the day.
Judging on the rate of increase, I wouldn't expect it to take Wednesday to reach that dismal milestone.
Tomorrow will tell.
So much suffering...
The Daily Dread - Tracking the spread, 4/27/20
All times Pacific, source: Johns Hopkins/NBC News
Interesting -
The worldwide confirmed cases ticks up, literally, by the minute. Compare -
At 9:29am - 2,989,999
At 9:30am - 2,991,738
At 10:04am - 2,991,940
At 10:11am - 2,992,333
At 10:33am - 2,997,250
At 10:35am - 2,997,325
At 11:02am - 2,997,325
At 11:03am - 2,997,363
At 11:05am - 2,998,400
At 11:07am - 2,998,579
At 11:09am - 2,998,745
At 11:11am - 2,999,014 - uh oh - geez, we just ticked up to two million, nine-hundred and NINETY-NINE...
...and these are just the screen shots I was able to grab between all the other graphics, guest interviews, chyron changes, and commercial breaks.
And as for the broader breakout -
At 9:29am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,989,999
Deaths worldwide - 207,219
Confirmed cases US - 975,006
Deaths US - 55,052
9:30am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,991,738
Deaths worldwide - 207,552
Confirmed cases US - 975,006
Deaths US - 55,052
At 10:04am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,991,940
Deaths worldwide - 207,890
Confirmed cases US - 975,208
Deaths US - 55,390
At 10:11am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,992,333
Deaths worldwide - 207,899
Confirmed cases US - 975,601
Deaths US - 55,399
At 10:33am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,250
Deaths worldwide - 208,116
Confirmed cases US - 978,387
Deaths - 55,521
At 10:35am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,325
Deaths worldwide - 208,118
Confirmed cases US - 978,462
Deaths US - 55,523
At 11:03am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,363
Deaths worldwide - 210,521
Confirmed cases US - 978,500
Deaths US - 55,523
At 11:07am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,998,579
Deaths worldwide - 210,557
Confirmed cases US - 979,716
Deaths US - 55,559
At 11:09am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,998,745
Deaths worldwide - 210,560
Confirmed cases US - 979,882
Deaths - 55,562
At 11:33am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,999,014
Deaths worldwide - 210,655
Confirmed cases US - 980,151
Deaths US - 55,657
They better vote in November!
Yep. The ONLY thing that matters.
And another update...
At 6:08am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,898,302
Deaths worldwide - 202,519
Confirmed cases US - 937,659
Deaths US - 53,352
At 9:06am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,899,233
Deaths worldwide - 202,519
Confirmed cases US - 937,659
Deaths US - 53,352
At 9:34am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,901,872
Deaths worldwide - 202,781
Confirmed cases US - 937,974
Deaths US - 53,354
HOLY COW - the stats changed mere minutes later...
At 9:44am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,905,489
Deaths worldwide - 202,921
Confirmed cases US - 939,234
Deaths US - 53,395
HOLY COW 2.0 - just a few more minutes later, the numbers jumped again...
At 9:50am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,905,873
Deaths worldwide - 202,927
Confirmed cases US - 939,618
Deaths US - 53,401
Son of HOLY COW 2.0...
At 9:55am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,906,100
Deaths worldwide - 202,953
Confirmed cases US - 939,845
Deaths - 53,427
At 10:05am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,906,915
Deaths worldwide - 202,982
Confirmed cases US - 940,660
Deaths US - 53,456
At 12:03pm
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,918,706
Deaths worldwide - 203,692
Confirmed cases US - 952,451
Deaths - 53,958
At 1:21pm
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,921,783
Deaths worldwide - 203,784
Confirmed cases US - 955,528
Deaths US - 54,050
And by evening (6:01pm)
Confirmed cases US - 963,718
Deaths US - 54,558
The marker that some in the media have pointed to is the 58-thousand dead from the Vietnam War. We're gonna pass that figure this coming week.
Just awful. Painful. Stupefying. And Horrifying.
Yep, there ARE irregularities and inconsistencies in this entirely NON-scientific sampling here.
Definitely.
There are different data sources. CNN has its own system of metrics. MSNBC has its own. And there are all kinds of variables in rate of reporting, AND the rate the reporting is disseminated in the media.
I've been tracking this stuff unofficially for awhile now, and I've noticed the graphics aren't always regularly available so you can make note of changes at the same time every day, for example.
And frankly, your humble tracker here sometimes has internal variables as far as not being up and "on duty" at the same times every day, and not monitoring continuously to note every change in real time. Sometimes I grab photos of the graphics when they're on delay on our TV because we rolled back on the continuous record mode (or whatever you call it) so I try to get the time check that's ON the graphic itself, rather than depending on exactly when I actually took the photo.
I'm assuming I can get at least some consistent comparisons by relying on a single source for the data. Just happens to be what MSNBC is running because that's what I wind up monitoring a majority of the time.
Long windy way of saying this is not exactly a precision-scientific polling effort. Really more aimed at watching the numbers and the trending within timeframes.
OY. Again...
At 6:08am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,898,302
Deaths worldwide - 202,519
Confirmed cases US - 937,659
Deaths US - 53,352
At 9:06am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,899,233
Deaths worldwide - 202,519
Confirmed cases US - 937,659
Deaths US - 53,352
At 9:34am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,901,872
Deaths worldwide - 202,781
Confirmed cases US - 937,974
Deaths US - 53,354
HOLY COW - the stats changed mere minutes later...
At 9:44am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,905,489
Deaths worldwide - 202,921
Confirmed cases US - 939,234
Deaths US - 53,395
HOLY COW 2.0 - just a few more minutes later, the numbers jumped again...
At 9:50am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,905,873
Deaths worldwide - 202,927
Confirmed cases US - 939,618
Deaths US - 53,401
Son of HOLY COW 2.0...
At 9:55am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,906,100
Deaths worldwide - 202,953
Confirmed cases US - 939,845
Deaths - 53,427
Profile Information
Gender: FemaleHome country: USA
Current location: Oregon
Member since: 2001
Number of posts: 81,220