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klook

Profile Information

Gender: Do not display
Hometown: GA
Home country: USA
Member since: 2002
Number of posts: 9,604

About Me

[link:https://www.eff.org/wp/know-your-rights|https://supporters.eff.org/sites/supporters.eff.org/files/styles/large/public/I-do-not-consent-stickerB.jpg] http://static4.businessinsider.com/image/5888d178ee14b61b008b9aed-2000/ap17025550597918.jpg

Journal Archives

Voted 100% in support of Big Business, 100% in favor of taxing the middle class.

Supported LBGT rights 37% of the time, women's rights 31% of the time. Supported labor rights and wages 11% of the time, taxing the wealthy 0% of the time, restricting money in politics 0% of the time, financial sector regulation 0% of the time, gun control 0% of the time, internet freedom 0% of the time, environmental protection 0% of the time. Oh yeah, also consistently voted against public health care.

(Sources: politicsthatwork.com, ballotpedia.org.)

Flake voted with Trump 92% of the time. (Source: Axios)

Yeah, he's just the kind of guy we need to boost Biden's "reaching across the aisle" cred.

Today at 4pm ET - "It All Comes Down to This": A Mother Jones Podcast Live Event

What are you doing today at 4pm ET? Nothing? Great! Now you're booked. For the first time ever, the
@MoJoPodcast is going LIVE! There's only one week until Nov 3 (thank god) so the moment is now! (or rather, at 4pm ET): https://bit.ly/31KLdjC

https://twitter.com/betheis/status/1321137752210112514

Trump's a functionally illiterate putz who was born with a platinum spoon in his mouth

and then squandered the unearned fortune his daddy left him, while cheating his relatives out of their share.

He deserves zero respect.

Thanks for putting this together. These numbers are extremely encouraging for us:

According to the least sanguine of the three, The Economist, Biden's chances of winning several key states are:
Pennsylvania - 88% (20 Electoral Votes)
Michigan - 93% (16 EVs)
Wisconsin - 91% (10 EVs)

With those three, plus all the Hillary 2016 states, Biden wins 278-260.

Personally, I don't see how Biden wins states like North Carolina (15 EVs - 65% chance of a Biden win), Arizona (11 EVs - 65%), or Florida (29 EVs - 74%) and loses one or more of the big three battlegrounds listed above. But I guess crazy things are possible, especially this election. So we can game out various scenarios, but almost all of them look very favorable for Dems.

If things go very well for us, we could be talking about winning all three of those additional three states, which results in a 333-205 blowout and probably the winner announced on election night, which would shut down the Republican election-stealing machine cold and be a thorough repudiation of Trumpism.

If we want to dream big -- and, after a second cup of coffee and a chocolate croissant, I'm willing to go there -- if Biden were to prevail in Georgia (16 EVs - 44% chance of a Biden win), Iowa (6 EVs - 38%), Ohio (18 EVs - 30%), and Texas (38 EVs - 27%), It's a 411-127 obliteration of the Trumplican Party.

OK, sugar-and-caffeine buzz is wearing off a little. I guess that truly is crazy. But I have to say, with 9 days to go, those of us who've been on the ledge for a while now and have carpal tunnel from all the hand-wringing really should come back in the window, wipe the pigeon poop off our shoes, take a deep breath, and have a nice cup of chamomile tea.

Note: The Economist is updating its forecast regularly (I even had to change some numbers while typing this), so the odds listed above may no longer be current by the time people read this post.

I agree 100%

Trump generates negative partisanship like nobody Ive ever seen. Trump exemplifies the famous Tupac Shakur lyric:

Its crazy how the hate you give literally gives me life.


- https://progressivefrontier.com/

The Relentless Shrinking of Trump's Base

N.Y. Times, Oct. 22, 2020
- By Ford Fessenden and Lazaro Gamio

In 2016, Donald J. Trump confounded the polls in part by generating an unanticipated level of enthusiasm and turnout from a group that had grown increasingly apathetic about elections: white voters without college degrees.

But in 2020, Mr. Trump and Joseph R. Biden Jr. face a drastically changed electorate. The cohort of non-college-educated white voters who gave Mr. Trump just enough of a margin to win the election in 2016 has been in a long-term decline, while both minority voters and white college-educated voters have steadily increased.
(snip)
Shifts in swing states
If Mr. Trump is to be successful turning out new voters, there are plenty in swing states, which remain bastions of the non-college-educated white vote. But most of these states have also been undergoing the same changes in the electorate as the country as a whole.

Even in battlegrounds, a decline in white voters without college degrees.
A graphic depicting the 40-year trajectory of the composition of the electorate -- divided by a) Minority voters, b) White voters with college degrees, and c) White voters with no college degrees -- shows that in each of the following states, the number of white voters without college degrees has been steadily declining (even since 2016), while the number of minority voters, as well as white voters with college degrees, has been trending upward: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Arizona. (Sorry - can't link to the graphics in this article.)

There's a lot more encouraging statistical information in the article -- well worth your time.

Link: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/10/22/us/politics/trump-voters-demographics.html

"So Beautiful" - Robert Glasper Trio



Robert Glasper, piano
Vicente Archer, bass
Damion Reid, drums
- cover of the song by Musiq Soulchild

XTC - "King for a Day," live on Letterman, 1989


"Messin' with the Kid" - Bill Frisell live



Bill Frisell - guitar
Greg Leisz - guitar
Tony Scherr - bass
Kenny Wollesen - drums
Recorded Nov. 14, 2014 - Nevers, France

"Time of the Season" - Larry Goldings Trio



- Larry Goldings - organ
- Peter Bernstein - guitar
- Bill Stewart - drums
- Rod Argent, composer
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