Divernan
Divernan's JournalThe argle-bargle from HRC supporters is knee deep & rising!
I know, we're used to their deflect, dodge, distort, & disrupt posts - pulling "facts" out of thin air or their posteriors - going completely off-topic with non sequitors, refusing to document their bizarre claims as if their mothers were terrified by citations while pregnant, etc., but my god! - it's well beyond flood stage in their posts this morning.
Internal polling must be disastrous for HRC in New York, Pennsylvania and California. I'm torn between doing my Snoopy happy dance or, as a scuba diver, donning my gear and tanks to keep from gagging and drowning on their distortions, bile and vitriol.
OK - picture a scuba diver in full gear doing an underwater version of Snoopy's happy dance.
Largest PA paper endorses Sestak 4 Senate: "He puts principle above party"
I've been actively supporting him & am absolutely delighted at this endorsement. In my 50+ years of political involvement in the Democratic party, he ranks at the very top when it comes to ability, intelligence, experience and most of all, integrity. He will hit the ground running as a new Senator, and I believe be the finest Senator the Keystone State has ever sent to Washington.
The fact that he has been opposed by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (which just pumped $1.5 million into his pro-fracking opponent's campaign fund in hopes that media ads will erase Joe Sestak's 16 point lead in the polls) tells you for sure that he is not for sale to the Third Way Dems.
The Philadelphia Inquirer's editorial included the following reasons for endorsing him:
“his willingness to put principle above party”
“the best credentials and experience to immediately serve Pennsylvania and the nation”
“he can maneuver beyond partisan politics to help the middle class rebound from years of stagnant wages”
“Sestak’s refusal to be put into a partisan box”
“a deep understanding of government and foreign policy that Katie McGinty and John Fetterman cannot match.”
http://www.philly.com/philly/opinion/20160410_Inquirer_editorial__Sestak_is_the_better_choice_for_Democrats.html
The perceived vulnerability of Sen. Pat Toomey in the general election, in which the Republican presidential nominee may be more liability than asset, has produced three competitive Democratic candidates to challenge the incumbent.
JOE SESTAK, a former Navy admiral who served two terms in the House, has the best credentials and experience to immediately serve Pennsylvania and the nation. His unrelenting intellectual curiosity has helped Sestak, a notoriously hard taskmaster, form a deep understanding of government and foreign policy that Katie McGinty and John Fetterman cannot match.
Sestak, 64, makes the most persuasive argument that he can maneuver beyond partisan politics to help the middle class rebound from years of stagnant wages. Like his opponents, he wants to close tax loopholes that encourage companies to send jobs overseas, but his plans are more detailed. He also wants to fine-tune the Affordable Care Act to lessen its impact on small businesses.
Read more at http://www.philly.com/philly/opinion/20160410_Inquirer_editorial__Sestak_is_the_better_choice_for_Democrats.html#hDYCqeaQFUZReJO5.99
Sestak/Senate debate tonight at Penn State - link to live stream
My email from Joe Sestak:
Tonight, I will be returning to Penn State (where I taught for a year as a law school professor) to participate in one of the last few debates of this primary election.
The debate will begin at 8 p.m., and I was hoping that you might watch it after your Saturday night dinner. Penn State's public broadcasting channel has informed us that they will be streaming it live online, at the link below:
http://wpsu.psu.edu/live/
McGinty no-show at PA. Senate debate on national security!
The concept of reporting for duty is totally unfamiliar to Katie!
Fetterman was there.
Sestak was there.
Where's corporate sweetheart, pro-fracking Katie? Nowhere to be seen. Guess she was too busy counting the $1.5 million in out-of-state money just poured into her campaign - money from the
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, which traditionally would have been reserved for whomever ended up the Democratic candidate in the general election.
Here's my email from Joe Sestak:
The most important vote a Senator can take is the decision to go to war.
Last night, we had the televised Senatorial foreign policy debate – and my primary opponent did not show up.
North Korea, Russia, Iran, Syria, China, ISIS, terrorism, Libya, Pakistan… what’s the plan to secure the peace but avoid another Iraq? Being absent is not leadership or serving the people – who now won’t know what she might know, or not.
31 years in the Navy; over 80 countries; war in Afghanistan, from the skies and on the ground; combat in Iraq; and service as President Clinton’s Director of Defense Policy taught me militaries can stop a problem, but they cannot fix a problem. Too few understand this – and as a result, the tragic misadventure in Iraq has cost our American Dream $3 trillion in direct and enduring costs.
Please watch what I had to say on the debate stage in the video below, but before you do, please contribute $20, $45, $60 or $100 to send to the Senate someone who knows from experience the proper engagement of America in the world – because our security, our jobs, our economy, and our future prosperity depend upon it in an increasingly dangerous world.
HARRISBURG, Pennsylvania — A national Democratic Party committee is spending $1.5 million on TV ads in the final three weeks of Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate primary campaign in a bid to boost Katie McGinty over Joe Sestak.
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee officials confirmed the spending Thursday. It'll push outside spending past $2.5 million in the primary to help McGinty.
Sestak has an icy relationship with party leaders, but is leading polls. The former Navy vice admiral and congressman is seeking a rematch against first term Republican Sen. Pat Toomey after losing to him in 2010.
The seat is seen as crucial to winning Senate control.
http://www.greenfieldreporter.com/view/story/281b691b54a64e84b0c9da2f858acd4b/PA--Senate-2016-Pennsylvania
In Pennsylvania, Clinton's crumbling; Bernie's surging!
In Pennsylvania, the state's main newspaper, the Philadelphia Inquirer, has been consistently dismissive of the Sanders campaign, but the morning after the Temple rally, the paper's front page featured a large photo showing a crush of young supports struggling to shake Sanders' hand over a headline that read "Sanders stirs a frenzy in visit to Temple." With less than a day's advance notice on social media, some 17,000 crowded in to the main venue and an overflow venue to hear Bernie!
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Something-s-happening-here-by-Dave-Lindorff-Bernie-Sanders_Bernie-Sanders-Presidential-Campaign_Clinton-Campaign_Political-Attacks-160407-132.html
Philadelphia -- Something "YUGE" is happening in the Democratic presidential campaign, and perhaps in the broader American body politic. It's hard to put your finger on it, but like that feeling of your neck hairs rising off your skin as a big thunderstorm approaches, you know it's big and it's coming.
For me it was going with my wife and a friend to join a line of people waiting to get into Temple University's 10,000-seat basketball arena for a hastily planned address by Democratic candidate for president Bernie Sanders. When we got to the campus early yesterday, there was already a crowd of young people camped out by the entrance to the Liacouras Center. They told me they had been there since 6:30 am for an event that was scheduled to start at 8 pm, with doors opening at 5 pm. Already a line stretched back to the corner of Broad Street, around the corner and halfway down the block on Montgomery. Most of those in the line were students from Temple or from one or another of Philadelphia's many other universities. They were white, black, latino and Asian, with a smattering of older folks. I went off to do some work, with plans for our little band to join the line around 4:30.
Big mistake! By the time we headed out to get in line, it was winding around the huge sports complex, snaking up and down several alleys and back to Broad, and then down Broad for another six blocks -- about half a mile of people in all with more piling on all the time. At many places this line of people was eight to 10 across, and fairly densely packed, as people tried to shelter each other from a biting cold wind.
As we were heading back to our car with from the rally, my wife and I found ourselves walking behind the head of Temple University's police department, which had largely handled the security and traffic issues caused by the huge all-day line of people coming to attend the rally. A tall crew-cut wearing guy who looked 100% cop, when we complemented him on how his officers had handled the crowd management issue, he told us his own 21-year-old son was a "Bernie supporter."
What was astonishing in all this was that there had been no long build-up to the event. No advance news reports, no posters, no organizations arriving with buses. It all seemed to have come together via social media in a day's time.
I'm number 791 ! ! !
Although I have avoided posting in the Hillary Clinton group, yesterday I inadvertently responded briefly, politely and factually to a post there. I was admonished for sticking in my nose where I was not wanted and promptly blocked, of course.
But the one place that Hillary is surging is on her DU group's list of blocked members. They're now up to 797 ! ! !
With any luck, they'll hit 800 today!!!
That should be grounds for a great celebration over there, shouldn't it? God knows they are in dire need of a reason to celebrate.
Let us all join in congratulating them on this record-breaking accomplishment and cheer them on to reach ONE THOUSAND blocked DUers in the very near future!
Sanders overpacks Phillie Arena; Penn. polls show him SURGING!
A massive crowd of Bernie supporters has shown up in droves to attend his latest rally in Philadelphia, the largest city in the pivotal primary state of Pennsylvania. Enthusiastic voters have gathered outside the Liacouras Center at Temple University by the thousands. The below video says it all, showing a town square packed with people waiting to be let in.
Reports are coming in that the line for the rally could be as large as ten blocks long, ending at the cross street of Broad and Master about half a mile away.
This surge of support comes in the wake of a poll that gives proof to the massive momentum that Bernie has built up in the crucial state of Pennsylvania following his recent string of primary victories. A Harper Polling Survey had Bernie behind Clinton at 55% to 33% just last weekend. But today, a Quinnipiac University poll jumped him up a full sixteen points, right on Clinton’s heels at 50% to 44%, with 6% of likely voters saying that they are still undecided, and 22% saying they may still change their minds.
For those unsure of which poll to trust, the analysts at the polling research site Five Thirty Eight dole out ratings to all major polls in the US, and they rate Quinnipiac a “B+” over Harper’s “C+” rating, signifying that Quinnipiac has historically been more accurate and also boasts more legitimate polling methodology.
Read more: http://usuncut.com/news/bernie-sanders-philadelphia/
The article details that Bernie's recent victories showed him outperforming even the most optimistic polls, including his 13.5 point margin of victory over Clinton in Wisconsin. The average poll conducted there had him ahead by only 2.6, with the highest showing an 8-point lead for Sanders.
Lots of great photos & videos at the link, including:
one showing the line for the rally ten blocks long, ending at the cross street of Broad and Master about half a mile away;
a photo of Senator Sanders in the hours leading up to his latest rally, supporting a local union by speaking at a worker’s protest against Verizon;
the entire lower deck of the stadium already packed with multiple blocks’ worth of people still waiting to be let in;
the destination for the overflow of supporters, a practice arena set aside from the main location, packed on both sides of the rafters.
Bernie Sanders overpacks Philadelphia Arena as Pennsylvania poll shows him surging.
Source: U. S. Uncut
A massive crowd of Bernie supporters has shown up in droves to attend his latest rally in Philadelphia, the largest city in the pivotal primary state of Pennsylvania. Enthusiastic voters have gathered outside the Liacouras Center at Temple University by the thousands. The below video says it all, showing a town square packed with people waiting to be let in.
Reports are coming in that the line for the rally could be as large as ten blocks long, ending at the cross street of Broad and Master about half a mile away.
This surge of support comes in the wake of a poll that gives proof to the massive momentum that Bernie has built up in the crucial state of Pennsylvania following his recent string of primary victories. A Harper Polling Survey had Bernie behind Clinton at 55% to 33% just last weekend. But today, a Quinnipiac University poll jumped him up a full sixteen points, right on Clinton’s heels at 50% to 44%, with 6% of likely voters saying that they are still undecided, and 22% saying they may still change their minds.
For those unsure of which poll to trust, the analysts at the polling research site Five Thirty Eight dole out ratings to all major polls in the US, and they rate Quinnipiac a “B+” over Harper’s “C+” rating, signifying that Quinnipiac has historically been more accurate and also boasts more legitimate polling methodology.
Read more: http://usuncut.com/news/bernie-sanders-philadelphia/
The article details that Bernie's recent victories showed him outperforming even the most optimistic polls, including his 13.5 point margin of victory over Clinton in Wisconsin. The average poll conducted there had him ahead by only 2.6, with the highest showing an 8-point lead for Sanders.
Lots of great photos & videos at the link, including:
one showing the line for the rally ten blocks long, ending at the cross street of Broad and Master about half a mile away;
a photo of Senator Sanders in the hours leading up to his latest rally, supporting a local union by speaking at a worker’s protest against Verizon;
the entire lower deck of the stadium already packed with multiple blocks’ worth of people still waiting to be let in;
the destination for the overflow of supporters, a practice arena set aside from the main location, packed on both sides of the rafters.
HRC's Penn. lead shrivels/shrinks from 34% to 6%!
It's the Klassic Klinton pattern - going down at an increasing rate of speed! The margin of error on this last poll is 4.3%, so the poll is less than 2 points away from putting a Bernie win within the margin of error. As per the other link below, last October, Hill was 34 points ahead; in February, down to 21 points ahead - now early April - 6 points. With another 3 weeks until the PA primary, it's looking great for Bernie! And note that in Pennsylvania, Sanders beats Trump by 8 points; beats Cruz by twelve points; while Clinton ties w/ Cruz, and only edges Trump out by 3 points. Not good enough, Hillary.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont 50 – 44
percent among Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters.
Only 7 percent of Republicans are undecided, but 27 percent of those who name a
candidate say they might change their mind by April 26. Democrats have similar numbers, 6
percent undecided and 22 percent who might change their mind.
In head-to-head general election matchups:
Kasich buries Clinton 51 – 35 percent;
Kasich tops Sanders 46 – 40 percent;
Clinton gets 45 percent to Trump’s 42 percent;
Clinton ties Cruz 43 – 43 percent;
Sanders tops Trump 48 – 40 percent;
Sanders beats Cruz 46 – 38 percent.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/pa/pa04062016_Pfgr37w.pdf
From March 30 – April 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,737 Pennsylvania voters
with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey includes 578 likely Republican
primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points and 514 likely Democratic
primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land
lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/pennsylvania-democratic/
Apr. 2-3 Harper Polling Clinton +22
Mar. 14-20 Franklin & Marshall College Clinton +25
Mar. 1-2 Harper Polling Clinton +30
Feb. 13-21 Franklin & Marshall College Clinton +21
Feb. 11-16 Robert Morris University Clinton +7
Jan. 22-23 Harper Polling Clinton +27
Jan. 18-23 Franklin & Marshall College Clinton +17
Oct. 19-25 Franklin & Marshall College Clinton +34
Oct. 10-15 Robert Morris University Clinton +27
Oct. 8-11 Public Policy Polling Clinton +18
HuffPo: Clinton campaign in midst of historic collapse
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/hillary-clintons-support-_b_9579544.html
Clinton campaign is in the midst of an historic collapse — much of it due to the unraveling of support for Clinton among nonwhite voters — and the national media has yet to take any notice.
Clinton’s 48-point lead in New York less than two weeks ago is now just a 12-point lead, according to the latest Quinnipiac Poll. That poll shows Sanders with approximately 300 percent more support among African-American voters in New York than he had in Mississippi earlier this month. Meanwhile, in the only poll taken in Indiana, Sanders is said to be beating Clinton handily. Sanders is leading by 8 points in West Virginia. /b] And the only polling done so far in Kentucky — among nearly 1,000 students at the University of Kentucky — has Sanders up on Clinton there by more than 70 points.
In other words, nonwhite voting offers the media a clear and unambiguous narrative about Sanders — an unmissable trajectory — if only they’re willing to see it.
And the same dramatic trajectory — albeit in the opposite direction — is evident for Clinton.
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