May 15, 2016

For those suggesting HRC's success is based on being FLOTUS

Hillary has been making a name for herself since she was 22. Long before she met Bill while campaigning for McGovern in 1972

By the time she graduated from Wellesley in May 1969, Hillary Rodham was already such a notable figure that she was featured, along with four other speakers from four other schools — and excerpts from their commencement addresses — in the June 20, 1969, issue of LIFE, in an article titled, simply, “The Class of ’69.”

LIFE With Hillary: Portraits of a Wellesley Grad, 1969

div class="excerpt"]
Intelligent, intensely curious and, from a young age, driven to find a way to somehow contribute to the world around her, Hillary Rodham enrolled at Wellesley College in the fall of 1965. It was there, in Massachusetts, that the moderate Republican underwent her transformation (she might characterize it as “an evolution”) to committed Democrat.
By the time she graduated from Wellesley in May 1969, Hillary Rodham was already such a notable figure that she was featured, along with four other speakers from four other schools — and excerpts from their commencement addresses — in the June 20, 1969, issue of LIFE, in an article titled, simply, “The Class of ’69.”

May 14, 2016

Politifact from April - No, Bernie Sanders didn't retroactively win Nevada

http://www.politifact.com/nevada/statements/2016/apr/07/blog-posting/no-bernie-sanders-didnt-retroactively-win-nevada/

Hillary Clinton was declared the winner of Nevada’s presidential caucuses back in February, but some supporters of Bernie Sanders are claiming the Vermont senator might have won the state after all.

The pronouncement came after Sanders delegates ended up outnumbering Clinton’s during the hectic Clark County Democratic Convention on April 2, leading many media outlets and supporters to declare that Sanders retroactively "won" the state by outmaneuvering Clinton.

So, did Sanders add another state to his column as many have claimed?

The answer is no, and it likely will remain that way.

We’ll tell you why.

Caucus math

Nevada has a total of 43 delegates it sends to the Democratic National Convention in July.

Eight of those are so-called "superdelegates," made up of elected officials like Sen. Harry Reid and other party powerhouses who get to independently decide which candidate to support. (Four currently support Clinton, one supports Sanders and three are neutral so far.)

Of the remaining 35 delegates, 23 are so-called "district-level delegates" who are allocated based on February caucus results in each of the state’s four congressional districts. Clinton won 13 of those, while Sanders won 10.

The remaining 12 are delved out during the state party convention in May.

Of that 12, there are five pledged "party leader and elected official" delegates and seven "at-large" delegates awarded proportionally, so whichever campaign has a majority of supporters at the state convention will win the odd-numbered delegate from those groups.

Ideally, the process is supposed to look something like a Matryoshka doll — smaller amounts of delegates at each step of the process, but retaining the same proportions of the initial February caucus. Initial estimates from February had Clinton winning 20 delegates and Sanders taking 15.

But that didn’t happen at the Clark County (Las Vegas) convention in early April, as the Sanders campaign had 2,964 delegates show up compared to 2,386 for Clinton.

In February, Clinton won a total of 4,889 delegates in Clark County but less than half of those showed up for the county convention.

Accusations flew from both campaigns about questionable practices before, during and after the county convention, with the Sanders campaign claiming party officials tried to "depose a neutral official," and Clinton surrogates like Nevada state director Michelle White upset with a "number of irregularities" in the convention process.

Leaving those accusations aside for the moment, the practical outcome is that Sanders now has a larger number of delegates (2,124) attending the state convention in May than Clinton (1,722).

That means they’ll be in a position to pick off a few of those remaining 12 convention delegates.

Based on the numbers, it’s likely that Sanders will be able to flip delegates and go from a projected 20-15 deficit to a more narrow 18-17 delegate split. (This count doesn’t factor in the superdelegates, who are also tilted toward Clinton.)

For Sanders, that’s not "winning" Nevada.

Longtime Nevada political journalist Jon Ralston and the Associated Press reported in the immediate aftermath of the county convention that the likely final result remains a Clinton victory.

"Clinton’s widely expected to keep her Nevada win except in the unlikely event of a Sanders blowout at the state level or if Clinton-backing superdelegates defect to the Sanders camp," the AP reported.

Our ruling

Several reports claimed that Bernie Sanders retroactively won Nevada’s presidential caucuses, based on higher-than-expected turnout at a major county convention.

Sanders likely swung two delegates his way after the county convention, but we won’t know for sure until the state convention selects the delegates in May. Either way, Clinton still holds a narrow delegate lead, projections show. That lead is larger if you include the support of Nevada’s so-called "super-delegates."

We rate this claim False.

May 14, 2016

Second Poll Finds Hillary Clinton Could Turn Georgia Blue For The First Time In 20 Years

Second Poll Finds Hillary Clinton Could Turn Georgia Blue For The First Time In 20 Years

By Jason Easley (http://www.politicususa.com/author/jasoneasley­2­2­2­2­2)
on Sat, May 14th, 2016 at 1:50 pm

A second poll in a week has found that Hillary
Clinton could turn Georgia blue in November as
she is locked in a statistical tie with Donald
Trump.

A second poll in a week has found that Hillary Clinton could turn Georgia blue in November as she is locked in a statistical tie with Donald Trump.

According to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution:

Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are locked in a statistical tie in Georgia, according to an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll that laid bare the deep divide over the presidential race.

Trump’s 4-point lead over Clinton — he’s at 45 percent — is within the poll’s margin of error, meaning neither can confidently claim a state that’s voted for the GOP nominee since 1996. Sprinkled throughout are reminders of the challenges both face in capturing Georgia: dim voter enthusiasm, high unfavorability ratings and deep skepticism from voters.

….

The poll found independents were split right down the middle over the leading contenders. An additional 13 percent of independents either said they are undecided or support neither candidate.

A poll from WSB2 released last Saturday found Trump edging Clinton 42%-41% in the state. Trump leads with men 46%-39%, but Hillary Clinton leads with women 44%-39%. Clinton leads Trump with African-American voters 73%-9%. Trump leads with white voters 60%-25%. Clinton also leads with Independents 36%-28%, with 38% undecided.

May 14, 2016

Update....Nevada Convention

Jon Ralston ?@RalstonReports 7m7 minutes ago

Bernie folks vote against delegate count report. They lose. Now they are standing and booing. Unity now!

Jon Ralston ?@RalstonReports 4m4 minutes ago

You get the picture. Bernie people not happy. Chanting "recount." Wait, I thought Harry Reid fixed this with Bernie last night. Unity now!

Convention at standstill!

May 14, 2016

Good news coming from the Democratic Convention in Nevada...

Jon Ralston ?@RalstonReports 12m12 minutes ago

Those are prelim credentials. But shows Hillary NV campaign got its act together after county convention disaster.

9 retweets 18 likes

Jon Ralston ?@RalstonReports 14m14 minutes ago


1,245 Clinton delegates
1,149 Sanders delegates

BERNED.
20 retweets 26 likes

Jon Ralston is the "go to guy" on Nevada politics. He is doing a yeoman's job on reporting primary/caucus news this year.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports

May 14, 2016

John Miller's twitter account...‏@reaIJohnMiller

John Miller ?@reaIJohnMiller 54m54 minutes ago
Mr. Trump is very honered to have received endorsements from Molesting Ben Carson and Corrupt Chris Christie.

John Miller ?@reaIJohnMiller 1h1 hour ago
Good morning! Mr. Trump is unavailable while his policy positions attend yoga class. Important to keep them flexible!

John Miller ?@reaIJohnMiller 11h11 hours ago
It's an honer to work for Donald J. Trump. He's no leightweight chocker, that's for sure.

Some tweets are funnier than others but he/she/they are prolific....

May 10, 2016

Then and now....Q polls

Tayara Vaknin ?@tayaravaknin 38m38 minutes ago

Tayara Vaknin Retweeted Rick Klein
This time in 2012
(Q polls) OH: Obama 45 - Romney 44 FL: Obama 43 - Romney 44 PA: Obama 47 - Romney 39
Fascinating

Tayara Vaknin added,
Rick Klein @rickklein
good morning,
Q poll. FL: Clinton 43 – Trump 42. OH: Clinton 39 – Trump 43. PA: Clinton 43 – Trump 42

May 9, 2016

Fred's innocuos post got hidden in the Hillary Clinton Group.

Sander's supporters are now stalking the Hillary Clinton Group. It is a shame they stack the juries at 5 am. I'm up getting ready for work...I'm juror #6

Depressurizing
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1107128621

REASON FOR ALERT

This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

All of the above

JURY RESULTS

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Mon May 9, 2016, 05:32 AM, and the Jury voted 4-3 to HIDE IT.

Juror #1 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: We need to start working together - Calling fellow Democrats 'Brats' isn't going to get them to stand with your canidate, and if anything will turn them against her.

This persistant infighting does nothing but help Republicans, so it's a bit fishy to see such a recent member trying to flame it on. At the least, MIRT needs to take a closer look at this user.
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: lol - this was alerted on after being posted in the Hillary group! A bit overly-sensitive, perhaps.
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: If we start banning silly names like "Hillarians", "Hillary Bots" and "Camp Weathervane", we'd have to hide a good portion of the post in GD-P. Looked at objectively...I say leave it alone.
Juror #7 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given

Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.

May 8, 2016

Free Hugs Guy Compilation Video

Joyful and happy Democrats out to support the candidate of their choice....