President Trump

Trump’s approval rating stands at 39 percent, down 3 percentage points from last month, according to a new poll released Friday.

The NPR–PBS NewsHour–Marist poll found that 39 percent of American adults approve of Trump’s job performance, compared to 53 percent who disapprove. Eight percent of respondents were unsure.

That rating is a 3-point drop from his 42 percent approval rating the same day last month, which is his personal best in the Marist poll.

Trump's approval ratings throughout his presidency have been historically low compared to past commanders in chief, though recent surveys have shown his figures climbing into the mid-40s — just in time for the midterm elections.

The new poll found that 85 percent of self-identified Republicans said they approved of Trump’s job as president, compared to 11 percent who disapproved. Only 4 percent said they were unsure.

More: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/413275-trumps-job-approval-rating-dips

regular folks who are disgusted by him to come out and vote, seeing him on the local TV. I think this could be a wash for him because more people hate him than like him.

The lead up to the midterms seems to be a catalyst for all the rage Trump has been fueling to start bubbling over. I imagine it will be even worse before the next Presidential election. Who knows what violence is now swirling in the heads of his tens of millions of neophytes and what they are capable of.

Snip: Right now, Republican-seeming voters have cast more ballots than Democratic-seeming voters, but that’s largely because mail-in ballots are sent to voters weeks before Election Day (to give them time to cast a vote and mail it in.) That means when early voting first opens, mail-in ballots are usually the first votes to be counted.

Snip: “The ebb and flow of the election cycle generally is — and it’s not true in every single state but it is true in the national aggregate — Republicans tend to run up the score early with the absentee vote, Democrats come back strong with a pretty massive surge in in-person early voting, then on Election Day the vote tends to be closer to parity with a slight Republican lead,” said Tom Bonier, the chief executive of TargetSmart, a data analytics firm that has collected early voting figures. “Republicans tend to have to play catch up on Election Day.”

Age is also a factor, Mr. McDonald said.

“As we get closer to Election Day, you see that younger people tend to vote later than older people,” he said. “So younger people will enter the electorate as we get into next week.”

Link: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/23/us/politics/early-voting-midterms.html#commentsContainer

Polling suggests most independents lean Democratic, so if you add them to the Democratic numbers how does that change things? Anyone have any interesting polling they can share?

The Man Who Predicted The 2008 Economic Meltdown NPR
https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=97801606