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Quixote1818's Journal
Quixote1818's Journal
October 31, 2020

I sure am glad PA, WI, MI and MN have Biden up by greater than 5 pts, otherwise I would be a lot

more nervous. Can you imagine if he was just up by 1 or 2 or even? Yikes would that be nerve-racking! I feel pretty good now knowing they are probably trying to error more in a way that helps Trump out. Listening to 538, I think a lot of pollsters have not only adjusted what they missed in 2016 but are giving Trump a couple of extra pts just to cover themselves.

October 31, 2020

Record high Covid-19 cases today in most of the important swing states

I hate to bring tragedy into politics but this was Trump's own doing. If he would have listened to Dems these numbers would be a lot better for him. So now he is faced with these states hitting record highs for cases which will do two things in those states. According to 538 Trump does worse when Covid is surging and some people who planned to vote on election day, which is mostly Republicans, will stay home out of fear of catching Covid where it is running rampant. So it's two strikes against Trump in these states:

WI - Getting obliterated and running out of beds. Probably why one poll had Biden up by 14 here. 5,000 cases today in a state with not a lot of population. No sign of it slowing down. Record high was Wednesday but today was a close second: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/wisconsin/

MI - Record High today with 3,300 cases: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/michigan/

MN - Record high today with 3,100 cases: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/minnesota/

NC - Record High today, just under 3,000 cases: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/north-carolina/

IA - Record high today 2,800 cases today: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/iowa/

PA - 2,500 cases today. Not a record but only because there was one day back in April where they combined two days of data. This is the biggest surge: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/pennsylvania/

USA - All time high today over 100,000 known cases.

Texas, Georgia and Florida have surging cases but far below their record numbers back in July.

October 31, 2020

538: Democrats have an enthusiasm edge

This is slightly bigger than 2008 for Biden and for Trump he is slightly behind Romney in 2012. If this holds true then here is what the numbers were for Obama in 2008 and Romney in 2012

Obama got close to 70 million so lets add 5 million onto that and so I predict 75 million votes for Biden since enthusiasm is bigger this year and because of population growth.

Romney got 61 million and Trump got 63 million. Lets give Trump another couple million at around 65 million. This gives Biden a win of around 10 million or more. It's possible he might hit 80 million votes this year.

After a bit more thought I am going to predict Biden 77 million and Trump 64 million for a 13 million advantage for Biden.

What is your prediction?

Link to article: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-say-theyre-fired-up-to-vote-especially-democrats/?ex_cid=538fb&fbclid=IwAR1xYec9zqupqbbvvz80ZKrsgUQ9XPMCwrbpPPhRggO4XeZoINBZYG_Cs9o


October 31, 2020

After Trump loses, how crazy is he going to be with his Presidential power for two months?

The election will be over and we know he is going to be bitter, angry and crazy as fuck! What kind of executive orders etc. might he try to put through?

October 29, 2020

Is the Democratic Party communicating with voters telling them to no longer mail in ballots?

Just like on DU there should be emails, text messages, phone calls etc. telling voters what to do with their mail in ballots especially in places like PA, FL, NC etc.

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Hometown: New Mexico
Member since: Mon Dec 1, 2003, 02:42 PM
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