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geek tragedy

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Member since: Thu May 13, 2004, 11:50 AM
Number of posts: 68,868

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WBUR Poll: After Conventions, Clinton Up 15 Points Over Trump In New Hampshire

Source: WBUR

According to a new WBUR poll of New Hampshire voters, Hillary Clinton is enjoying a dramatic post-convention bump and now leads Donald Trump by 15 points. Our poll also shows Democrat Maggie Hassan with a big advantage in her bid to unseat Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte.

The last time we polled in New Hampshire, three months ago, the presidential contest was virtually tied. Our new poll (topline, crosstabs) of 609 likely New Hampshire voters, conducted July 29 through August 1, shows Clinton leading Trump 47 percent to 32 percent. When Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are omitted, Clinton's 15 point lead swells to 17 points.

Among the most important reasons Clinton has moved ahead so dramatically in this important swing state following last week's Democratic National Convention is that Democrats are uniting around her.

"After all the hand-wringing about whether Bernie Sanders supporters would end up supporting Hillary Clinton, she's now getting 86 percent of the Democratic vote," explained Steve Koczela, president of MassInc Polling, which conducted the WBUR survey. "Donald Trump, on the other hand, has slipped a bit among Republicans. He's now getting a bit less than two-thirds of the Republican vote."

Read more: http://www.wbur.org/politicker/2016/08/04/clinton-over-trump-new-hampshire-poll

Maggie Hassan up by 10 over the Kelly Ayotte, whose sucking up to Trump was rewarded by his refusal to endorse her.
Posted by geek tragedy | Thu Aug 4, 2016, 06:10 AM (6 replies)

Clinton jumps to a big lead over Trump in Michigan poll

Source: Detroit News

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has widened her lead over Republican Donald Trump in Michigan as 3-in-5 likely voters say the New York businessman is not qualified to be president, according to a new poll conducted for The Detroit News and WDIV-TV.

Clinton led Trump 41 percent to 32 percent in the statewide survey of 600 likely voters conducted Saturday through Monday following Clinton’s formal nomination at last week’s Democratic National Convention.

The poll contains many troubling signs for Trump’s White House campaign, including a “shocking” lead for Clinton in the Republican strongholds of west and southwest Michigan, pollster Richard Czuba said.

Sixty-one percent of likely general election voters said Trump is ill-prepared to be the nation’s commander-in-chief. The figure grows to 67 percent among women, a group with whom Trump performs poorly. Clinton has a commanding 21-percentage-point lead among female voters.

Read more: http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2016/08/03/poll-clinton-leads-trump-michigan/88048440/

How's that rust belt strategy working?

Let's revisit the "Cheeto Jesus" Tweet storm in its entirety (from June)


1/ How the actual fuck does anyone at the RNC have standing to act shocked that Trump is not doing the basics of campaigning?
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

2/ You can't elide over his utter dipshittery. No matter how much you try to act surprised, you own this. You're covered in his stench.
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

3/ History will be so cruel to you.
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

4/ Your off the record sniping and grumbling is no substitute for moral courage. That's so DC.
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

5/ You won't escape the stain. It's like a big, visible "No Ragrets" chest tat that will mark your careers forever.
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

6/ Go public. Man up. Show courage. Say what's in your hearts; he's insane. He's poison. He's doomed. He's killing the Party.
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

7/ None of you are good enough to spin the unspinnable ratfuck that is Trump. None of you can say, "I was just following orders."
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

8/ This weekend, people were lined up hundreds deep to give blood to the victims of Orlando. Your Cheeto Jesus was praising himself.
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

9/ There is no better Trump. There is not Presidential Trump. He is a vile stain on the this Republic.
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016

10/ Your resumes will always read "Worked for a batshit crazy crypto-fascist who destroyed the GOP"
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 16, 2016
Posted by geek tragedy | Wed Aug 3, 2016, 11:32 AM (1 replies)

Scary thought for the Trumpkins: Trump's polling collapse doesn't include Khan-related blowback

Clinton has received a decent-sized bounce from the Democratic Convention--as she should have.

But, that's a separate thing from Trump's performance art rendition of "Bulworth meets Hitler" over the past 72 hours.

What happens when they poll people who have been exposed to this news cycle?
Posted by geek tragedy | Wed Aug 3, 2016, 09:07 AM (3 replies)

GOP county Pennsylvania committeemen quit, won't back Trump

Berks county is a key swing county in the suburbs of Philly.

READING, Pa. (AP) — Three Republican committee members in an eastern Pennsylvania county have quit, saying they can't support Donald Trump as the party's presidential nominee.

The Reading Eagle (http://bit.ly/2aKcwRG ) reports William Cinfici, John Fielding and Connor Kurtz quit the Berks County Republican Committee on Monday.

All three men say they disagree with Trump's policies and say doesn't uphold Republican principles and is unfit to be president.

Kurtz called Trump "an unstable wannabe strongman" and quoted President Abraham Lincoln in resigning saying, "A house divided against itself cannot stand." Kurtz also says, "The modern Republican Party would have done well to apply Lincoln's logic to our own party."


Posted by geek tragedy | Tue Aug 2, 2016, 06:03 PM (5 replies)

Gallup: Trump's GOP convention, speech biggest failure in history of polling

Before 2016, all acceptance speeches get more good/excellents than just ok and poor/terrible combined. Hillary Clinton's falls into that category

Trump is not only the first candidate to achive that, his good excellents don't even exceed the poor/terrible number.

2016, Clinton
Excellent/Good: 44 % Just OK: 17 % Poor/Terrible: 20 % Didn't see/No opinion: 19 %

2016, Trump
Excellent/Good: 35 % Just OK: 18 % Poor/Terrible: 36 % Didn't see/No opinion: 11 %

2012, Obama
Excellent/Good: 43 % Just OK: 17 % Poor/Terrible: 16 % Didn't see/No opinion: 23 %

2012, Romney
Excellent/Good: 38 % Just OK: 21 % Poor/Terrible: 16 % Didn't see/No opinion: 26 %

2008, McCain
Excellent/Good: 47 % Just OK: 22 % Poor/Terrible: 12 % Didn't see/No opinion: 19 %

2008, Obama
Excellent/Good: 58 % Just OK: 15 % Poor/Terrible: 7 % Didn't see/No opinion: 20 %

2004, Bush
Excellent/Good: 49 % Just OK: 19 % Poor/Terrible: 8 % Didn't see/No opinion: 24 %

2004, Kerry
Excellent/Good: 52 % Just OK: 19 % Poor/Terrible: 9 % Didn't see/No opinion: 20 %

2000, Gore
Excellent/Good: 51 % Just OK: 18 % Poor/Terrible: 6 % Didn't see/No opinion: 24 %

2000, Bush
Excellent/Good: 51 % Just OK: 17 % Poor/Terrible: 4 % Didn't see/No opinion: 28 %

1996, Clinton
Excellent/Good: n/a % Just OK: n/a % Poor/Terrible: n/a % Didn't see/No opinion: n/a %

1996, Dole
Excellent/Good: 52 % Just OK: 21 % Poor/Terrible: 7 % Didn't see/No opinion: 20 %


How about the national convention numbers overall--how did they affect voters? Again, EPIC FAILURE for Trump.

Democratic conventions

More likely: 45 % Less likely: 41 % No difference/No opinion: 14 % Net (more likely minus less likely): +4 pct. pts.

Republican conventions

More likely: 36 % Less likely: 51 % No difference/No opinion: 14 % Net (more likely minus less likely): -15 pct. pts.

How about the parties overall? The Republicans are going to be able to hide from Trump, right?


Effect of Conventions on Images of the Democratic and Republican Parties

From what you have seen or heard about this week's [Democratic/Republican] convention, do you have a more favorable or a less favorable opinion of the [Democratic/Republican] Party?

2016 Democratic convention
More favorable: 44 % Less favorable: 42 %

2016 Republican convention
More favorable: 35 % Less favorable: 52 %

Trump is a stupid, terrible person leading a stupid, terrible party, and they can't hide it.

Posted by geek tragedy | Mon Aug 1, 2016, 12:32 PM (4 replies)

VFW rips Trump's 'out-of-bounds' attack on Khan family

Source: Politico

The Veterans of Foreign Wars blasted Donald Trump on Monday for his comments about Ghazala Khan, the mother of a fallen Muslim Army captain, calling the Republican nominee "out of bounds."

“Election year or not, the VFW will not tolerate anyone berating a Gold Star family member for exercising his or her right of speech or expression,” said VFW leader Brian Duffy in a statement.

Trump said in his interview with ABC that aired Sunday that Ghazala Khan "wasn't allowed to have anything to say" as her husband, Khizr, criticized the Republican nominee at the Democratic National Convention last week.

“There are certain sacrosanct subjects that no amount of wordsmithing can repair once crossed,” Duffy said in the statement. “Giving one’s life to nation is the greatest sacrifice, followed closely by all Gold Star families, who have a right to make their voices heard.”

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/vfw-trump-khan-feud-226509

Full VFW statement and link:



August 01, 2016
WASHINGTON — Presidential candidate Donald J. Trump has a history of lashing out after being attacked, but to ridicule a Gold Star Mother is out-of-bounds, said the new national commander of the near 1.7 million-member Veterans of Foreign Wars of the United States and its Auxiliary.

“Election year or not, the VFW will not tolerate anyone berating a Gold Star family member for exercising his or her right of speech or expression,” said Brian Duffy, of Louisville, Ky., who was elected July 27 to lead the nation’s oldest and largest major war veterans organization.

“There are certain sacrosanct subjects that no amount of wordsmithing can repair once crossed,” he said. “Giving one’s life to nation is the greatest sacrifice, followed closely by all Gold Star families, who have a right to make their voices heard.”

What a lot of Busters and other undecided voters are really afraid of:

That Hillary Clinton is really a lot better than they've been lead to believe due to a constant bombardment of hostile propaganda from left and right.

Admitting that she's not someone trying grab their guns, or Gramma's Social Security check, or that she's already planning to nuke Tehran, or force priests to perform abortions, would mean having to acknowledge on some cognitive level that they were wrong about her.

Which is a very painful thing to contemplate.

Grammatical rule for Republicans: "but I'm still voting for him" invalidates all preceding

criticism of Trump.

If you really find it so beyond the pale, vile and reprehensible, withdraw your endorsement. Otherwise, you're with him, and your criticism is without meaning.

Posted by geek tragedy | Mon Aug 1, 2016, 10:14 AM (1 replies)

So, Donald Trump thinks he's the greatest show on earth, a ratings juggernaut, but he can't compete

with a football game between two mediocre, loser teams, the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons?
Posted by geek tragedy | Mon Aug 1, 2016, 09:35 AM (3 replies)
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