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Fiendish Thingy

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Member since: Mon Sep 6, 2004, 12:00 PM
Number of posts: 7,892

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ALERT: 538 includes anti-trans national push poll, dropping Biden's avg. to +8.5%

I was quite shocked to find that 538 had included a national poll of 3500 LV’s from Spry Strategies showing Biden +2% .

I’ve never heard of Spry Strategies, so I clicked through to the data page and found this:

A new poll conducted by Spry Strategies on behalf of Women’s Liberation Front found that a majority of likely 2020 voters disagree with policies related to “gender identity,” such as those included in the proposed Equality Act, that would remove protections for women in single-sex spaces such as prisons, shelters, and sports. The results are based on a national sample of 3,500 likely voters and include detailed representation across regions, ethnicity, sex, and political affiliation. Black and Hispanic voters are more likely to support protections for single-sex spaces, especially on issues such as prison and homelessness which disproportionately impact communities of color.

Key Results

Voters overwhelmingly disapprove of policies that allow the placement of male sexual offenders or domestic abusers in women’s prisons, with only seven percent of voters supporting such policies. Two out of every three likely voters (66.93 percent) state that they “strongly disagree” with such policies, including a majority of liberal voters who disagree with such policies.

The poll also revealed cross-partisan disapproval of “gender identity” based policies, such as those impacting single-sex sports. The majority of voters of all parties (66.96 percent) state that men or boys who identify as transgender should not be permitted to compete in women and girls’ athletics.

A majority of voters also disagree with allowing men who identify as transgender in women’s changing rooms (56.86 percent) and homeless shelters (53.19 percent).


What’s next? A Proud Boys poll on racially separate restrooms that includes presidential preferences?

Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Wed Oct 28, 2020, 11:57 AM (26 replies)

Biden's 180 day Judicial Commission will doom his agenda and the healing of America

Biden must be talked out of his 180 Day Judicial Commission to study court reform. After ACB was rammed through the senate, the momentum for court expansion will be strongest in January, and must be pursued. If Biden wants an advisory commission, form it on November 4 as part of his transition process, with recommendations due on February 1. Giving six months to study, will allow momentum for expansion to dissipate and opposition to get organized and strike fear into the senate.

The former Obama staffers who run the Pod Save America podcasts and Crooked Media channel have been advocating for Dems to wield their power “swiftly, brutally and ruthlessly” and I agree with them wholeheartedly- it should be Shock and Awe from January 21.

Let the Biden administration’s efforts on COVID take Center stage, but the congressional leadership must hit the ground running on Court expansion/reform, stimulus, voting rights, Healthcare and green jobs From day one- those are the issues that benefit all Americans and keep Dems in power.
Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Mon Oct 26, 2020, 07:22 PM (27 replies)


This is what I’ve been saying for months- Joe’s team is on top of this:


600+ lawyers, 1000’s of volunteers.

(Sorry about the all caps title, but I wanted to get the attention of all the “talk me down” posters here)
Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Wed Oct 21, 2020, 01:10 PM (50 replies)

Sunday, Nov. 1- GOP buys time on all networks to showcase Trump's softer side, w/dancing:

An all-star extravaganza, featuring Rudy, Bannon, Barrett, McEnnanny, Kellieanne Conway, Mitch, Stephen Miller, De Vos, Mnuchin, Pence, and of course, Hair Furor...

Here’s an exclusive preview:

I’m really scared this could tighten the race and cause us to lose Idaho...
Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Wed Oct 21, 2020, 01:33 AM (2 replies)

Faulty premise: Republican legislatures cannot appoint alternate slates of electors

You keep posting this Evidence-free nonsense, so I will keep posting evidence based refutations:

Yes, the Constitution states that the legislatures determine how electors are appointed; federal law gives the final say to the governor, because the legislatures in the states have directed that electors be determined by the winner of the popular vote in that state.

Let’s take PA; the legislature passed a law into the Election Code stating the electors are appointed by the governor in accordance with the winner of the popular vote, as certified by the Secretary of State. To change this, the legislature would have to amend the election code, which...requires the signature of the governor.

So...the panicked, nightmare scenario where the GOP legislature overrules the will of the people is not going to happen.

But don’t take my word for it; how about Laurence Tribe, one of nation’s top constitutional experts, quoting existing law and prior court rulings, including from SCOTUS:




And some other experts, who also support their assertions with existing law and legal precedents:


The only way Trump can retain power is through extra-legal, perhaps violent means, such as using armed federal agents to seize uncounted ballots or otherwise disrupt the initial counting of votes. This would require the complicity and cooperation of hundreds, if not thousands of federal agents, acting in multiple states, and risking incarceration and possible death from being shot by state police defending vote tallying sites. It would also result in millions of protestors in the streets, and the total collapse of the stock market and the economy.

I don’t know what your agenda is repeatedly posting these panicked conspiracy theories; yes Trump will attempt to disrupt and distract the vote counting process, but the evidence shows that the theories on how he can “steal” the election just don’t hold water.
Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Fri Oct 16, 2020, 11:16 AM (3 replies)

Have any of those arrested in Portland been arraigned/indicted yet?

I’ve read that 18 protestors were arrested and are still in custody pending arraignment on federal charges including failure to disperse and destruction of property.

I ask this because:

1) In order to file charges, doesn’t there have to be a report from the arresting officer? That officer would have to be named, as would any other officers listed as witnesses or assisting in the arrest.

2) the arrest and court records would available to the public, would they not?

3) the leak of the memo from Chad stating his troops are not trained In crowd control could be used as a Defense.

4) the fact that as acting director of DHS, Chad’s term has exceeded the 210 day limit prescribed by law - so, wouldn’t he have no authority to direct his stormtroopers, and thus their presence would be unlawful?

We will soon see if there is any serious attempt at using the courts to prosecute protestors, in which case, I think the People will gain the upper hand.
Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Sat Jul 25, 2020, 03:40 PM (13 replies)

Adam Schiff details the essential steps to repairing government institutions post-Trump

He’s got my vote for Speaker once Pelosi retires in 2022.
Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Sat Jul 18, 2020, 05:08 PM (4 replies)

The CT that has been posted over the weekend is that Trump will challenge the popular vote

In several swing states, and that the republican legislatures will refuse to certify the electors, but, as has been noted, it doesn’t work that way in many/most states.

The CT also stipulates that Trump will declare a state of emergency due to the “fraud” in order for the DOJ to investigate/interfere with the SOS certification of popular vote tallies, which trigger the appointment of electors in many places, in the hopes of throwing the election to the House, where each state gets one vote.

While Trump/Barr may attempt such a strategy, I doubt it has much chance of succeeding. For one, the streets would fill with protestors who would make recent marches look like picnics, and this uncertainty would also cause the markets to crash. Trump/Barr would only have about 5weeks to interfere with the appointment of electors in the four states the CT claims would be challenged, which the CT claims would prevent either candidate from getting to 270, and throw the election to the house.

Not so fast.

The 12th amendment states:
The person having the greatest number of votes for President, shall be the President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed; and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice.

So on January 10 (IIRC), the new Congress unseals and counts the ballots from electors who were appointed and cast their ballots on Dec. 14. The winner is whoever has a majority of electoral votes among the those votes sent to the House for certification. The only time it goes to the house is if there is a tie, or if 3 or more candidates split the electors and none have a majority. With a two way election, that is not mathematically possible (maybe that’s why Kanye declared his candidacy )
Trump could block the appointment of electors in all 50 states, and the 3 from DC would then decide the election.
Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Mon Jul 6, 2020, 11:18 AM (2 replies)

Press Watch: Why is MSM so gentle with Joe Biden?

This is a delicate topic, but an important one for an honest vetting of our potential nominees.


T The two most important roles for journalists during political primary season are to cull the herd of the weakest candidates and take their best shots at the frontrunner, to test his or her readiness for the general election. That's a public service for the political ecosystem.

So a profoundly weak frontrunner should be the ultimate in big game for our top political reporters.

Instead, mainstream journalists in the best positions to demand answers — during sit-down interviews and televised debates — have been remarkably gentle with Joe Biden.

They ask about his decision to authorize the war in Iraq, but not about the many documented times he has lied about why he made that decision, and when he first realized the war was a mistake.

They ask questions about his fitness for office, but let him off with glib answers about push-ups rather than assertively confronting him with examples of his consistent and troubling incoherence — even when he is in the process of giving them fresh examples.

About Press Watch:
We’re entering a critical period in American politics and American political journalism is not up to the task. Donald Trump’s campaign and presidency have exposed and exploited chronic weaknesses like never before. And despite some progress, elite political press coverage insufficiently rebuts lies; normalizes abnormal behavior; asserts false equivalences; remains overly susceptible to spectacle, conflict, and gamesmanship; fails to contextualize the news with expertise – and on and on.

(Note to potential jurors: this is legitimate, evidence based criticism of both Biden and the media, not “bashing”, Thank You).

Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Sun Jan 19, 2020, 01:29 PM (62 replies)

Salon: Democratic moderates fear the socialist left will wreck the party...

Over the past few weeks, ever since Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's startling primary victory over Rep. Joe Crowley, D-N.Y., we’ve seen a remarkable display of intra-party, bad-faith concern trolling — an area where Democrats have set a high standard. Various “mainstream” or “moderate” figures in or around the party are already seeking to pin blame for a hypothetical November defeat, in advance, on the insurgent “socialist” faction associated with Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Bernie Sanders. My daring analysis: This does not bespeak enormous confidence.

None of this makes clear why powerful people like Comey and Lieberman are so worried about a small-scale insurrection within the Democratic Party that is nowhere near as "far from the mainstream" as they pretend, and is also a long way from staging a coup and hanging portraits of Trotsky and Che in DNC headquarters. Socialist-dread syndrome also appears to have driven the recent gathering of “moderate” Democrats in Columbus, Ohio, under the aegis of the think tank Third Way, as reported in a widely circulated piece by Alex Seitz-Wald of NBC News (a former Salon staffer).
Markell is absolutely right: A debate is overdue. But a debate about what? The problem for Democratic moderates is precisely that they will not define or explain their positions clearly, except in wonky, granular, political-calculus terms, in large part because their ideas are widely discredited and massively unpopular.
Attendees at the Third Way conference were clearly aware that middle-path Democrats will need big, new ideas in order to compete successfully with Medicare for all, a $15 minimum wage, debt-free college and the other dangerous pinko proposals that would have had near-unanimous support in the pre-Reagan Democratic Party. Here's what they came up with: A private-sector, employer-funded universal pension plan to supplement Social Security. OK, I'm just spitballing, but that probably isn’t going to suck the wind out of the red sails of Bernie’s fleet and sweep Mitch Landrieu (or whomever) into the White House.
Those who shut down such internal conflict and purged the activist left from the Democratic Party, on the premise that it was the only possible way to win elections in a "centrist," anti-ideological nation, have never faced the consequences of their historic blunder. They have lost repeatedly and on a grand scale, insisting every time that they really should have won — or in some other, better world, did win — and that whatever went wrong was somebody else’s fault. They are the ones who appear committed to an inflexible, dogmatic ideology that is out of step with political reality. They are surprised and outraged to learn that if they want to continue their losing streak, they will have to fight for it.

Much more at :
Posted by Fiendish Thingy | Sat Jul 28, 2018, 12:42 PM (166 replies)
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