kpete
kpete's JournalDonald Trump Is Going to Lose Because He Is Crazy - By Jonathan Chait
Jonathan Chait: “Trump has certainly crafted an appeal to voters who like impractical ideas. But his true threat lies in the fact that Trump himself is crazy — not just ideologically, though he is certainly that as well, but in the sense that he lacks any rational connection between his actions and his goals, to the extent that his goals are discernible at all. That is also his downfall.”......................
.........You can get rich being loved by a quarter of the country and hated by the rest, but you can’t get elected president that way. Trump has a brilliant strategy for winning the loyalty of a quarter of the primary electorate, or perhaps a third. He has no strategy for winning a majority, which is what you need to get the nomination. Indeed, the things Trump has done to elevate his profile have pushed that majority farther from his reach. If the campaign gets to the point where there is one candidate left standing against Trump, that candidate will enjoy the unified support of the party's financial, media, and organizational strength. Trump has the power to destroy, but not to conquer.
Which brings us back to the question of what it is Trump is after. His presidential campaign seems to have come at enormous financial cost. His undisguised (or less-disguised) racism has made him an economic pariah. He has lost sponsorship agreements from a long list of corporations that want to sell things to people who aren’t white. He’s traded his lucrative brand for Pat Buchanan’s brand.
This immunity from consequence gives Trump the power to wreak apparently limitless havoc upon what is currently his party. The consequences Republicans impose for Trump's offenses have no effect on him. You cannot threaten a man if you don’t even know what he cares about. Is Trump running to spite the reporters who mocked him as a bluffer? As an expensive lark, like the time he got piano lessons from Elton John? To use his political fame to trade up for his next wife? Does Trump actually believe he can become president of the United States?
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/08/donald-trump-is-going-to-lose-because-hes-crazy.html
Political nerd's wet dream - Barry Ritholtz interviews Nate Silver
Masters in Business: Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com
by Barry Ritholtz - August 25th, 2015, 1:30pm
This week we have a special statistical election edition of Masters in Business radio podcast, speaking with Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com. Silver received his Bachelors in Economics in 2000 from University of Chicago, and is the author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail–but Some Don’t.
Silver first came to the public attention’s with his shockingly accurate forecasts of political elections, from U.S. Senate to the President. He “ran the table” in 2010, 2012, and 2014 using a statistical methodology adopted in part from baseball. Eschewing the anecdote driven approach the mainstream media embraces, Silver takes a statistical average of all surveys and polls, adjusting for know tendencies and biases. The result has been a stunningly accurate run of predictions in the U.S. (the method has not worked as well in the UK, where election cycles are so much shorter).
Fascinating!
LISTEN HERE:
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2015/08/masters-in-business-nate-silver-of-fivethirtyeight-com/
?w=614
Alice Walker Pens Beautiful Tribute Poem for Julian Bond
Tribute Poem for Julian Bond
Tuesday, August 25, 2015 Leave a Comment
Poet and Author Alice Walker posted a tribute to the late Julian Bond on her website. His death on August 15 left a community heartbroken. Walker's poem remembers the Civil Rights leader from when he was a young activist and reflects on his long lasting legacy.
The first time I sang
We Shall Overcome
Was in a circle
On the lawn of Trevor Arnett Library
At Atlanta University
And by chance
I was holding
Your hand.
We were all so young,
Julian,
And so hopeful
In our solidarity.
I stumbled over some of the words
In the new to me
Song
But you sang solemnly,
Correctly,
Devoutly,
Believing every word
You sang
With your whole
Handsome
Heart.
A friend writes
That you will be buried
At sea
And I nod
Because that is how it felt
Those years so long ago;
That we were so young,
Vulnerable,
Swimming against
An awesome tide of hatred
And despair
Definitely
At sea.
Read more: http://theculture.forharriet.com/2015/08/alice-walker-pens-beautiful-tribute.html#ixzz3jvS8apkJ
Follow us: @ForHarriet on Twitter | forharriet on Facebook
Media asks us to: Please be outraged by Hillary's e-mails
https://twitter.com/InaMaziarcz/status/636260366608138240
“We know his goal is to make America great again,” a woman said. “It’s on his hat."
Trump-ward, Christian Soldiers?.......................
Let me get this straight. If I want the admiration and blessings of the most flamboyant, judgmental Christians in America, I should marry three times, do a queasy-making amount of sexual boasting, verbally degrade women, talk trash about pretty much everyone else while I’m at it, encourage gamblers to hemorrhage their savings in casinos bearing my name and crow incessantly about how much money I’ve amassed?
.............
Maybe it’s Trump’s jingoism they adore. They venerated Ronald Reagan though he’d divorced, remarried and spent much of his career in the godless clutch of Hollywood.
..............
Or maybe his pompadour has mesmerized them. It could, in the right wind, be mistaken for a halo.
I’m grasping at straws, because there’s no sense in the fact that many of the people who most frequently espouse the Christian spirit then proceed to vilify immigrants, demonize minorities and line up behind a candidate who’s a one-man master class in such misanthropy.
MORE HERE:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/26/opinion/frank-bruni-trump-ward-christian-soldiers.html?action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=opinion-c-col-left-region%C2%AEion=opinion-c-col-left-region&WT.nav=opinion-c-col-left-region&_r=0
Just WHO is Illegal Mr. Trump?
If you watch that video for a few minutes you'll see that he claims the 9/11 hijackers were all in the country illegally and that hordes of middle eastern psychos were coming over the border all the time.
The 9/11 hijackers were not in the country illegally. They had legitimate visas, although in fairness, Trump isn't the only one lying/mistaken on this count. This is a very creepy "misunderstanding" in that it suggest people think that forein=gners in the country on visas are not actually legal.
The point is that I think someone needs to ask The Donald and, by extension, his slavering followers, what they consider to be an "illegal alien" and how they would go about deciding who is and isn't one. Trump often sounds like he just wants to round up people he thinks are "bad" and deport them "so fast it will make your head spin" and I'm not sure he's too picky about the paperwork.
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2015/08/what-meaning-of-illegal-is.html
ADDICTED: CNN Postpones Katrina Special For Trum, Egg, Sausage & Trump
CNN bumped Anderson Cooper's special on the 10th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina for extended coverage of Donald Trump's presidential campaign.The network was billing the special as a deeply personal journey where "Cooper observes the tenacity of the survivors who continue to struggle every day, grieving for loved ones while trying to rebuild their lives." The report was scheduled to air at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, but was postponed to Wednesday night instead.
more, lots more:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/cnn-trump-anderson-cooper-katrina_55dd21e1e4b0a40aa3acaf70?s62yb9
Well, There's Trump, Egg, Sausage and Trump
Man: Morning!
Cable news: Morning!
Man: Well, what've you got?
Cable news: Well, there's egg and bacon; egg sausage and bacon; egg and Trump; egg bacon and Trump; egg bacon sausage and Trump; Trump bacon sausage and Trump; Trump egg Trump Trump bacon and Trump; Trump sausage Trump Trump bacon Trump tomato and Trump;
Wingnut Chorus: Trump Trump Trump Trump...
Cable news: ...Trump Trump Trump egg and Trump; Trump Trump Trump Trump Trump Trump baked beans Trump Trump Trump...
Wingnut Chorus: Trump! Lovely Trump! Lovely Trump!
http://driftglass.blogspot.com/2015/08/well-theres-trump-egg-sausage-and-trump.html
Dear President Carter-When you asked US to do uncomfortable things-for future generations-I Listened
Writer/director
Angela Combs,
Dear President Carter
............
When you asked Americans to do uncomfortable things in sacrifice for future generations, I listened. You weren't talking about bravery of the kind that Grace's family had exhibited; your call was to sacrifice comfort by consuming less oil. You said that we could move forward by preserving rather than destroying. ... You said the answer to our socio-economic and humanitarian woes was not in plundering the earth, but in protecting it. You made us brothers and sisters in the same uncertain boat of humanity.
..............
Your extraordinary leadership was the foundation of my high school years, so when I turned 18 in 1980 and cast my vote for the first time, I voted for you. My dream of how the world should work was immediately disappointed, and over the years I witnessed how it became popular to blame government, how "citizen" became conflated with "consumer" and how the prosperity doctrine became a wildly popular religious and social belief -- and I bristled.
I returned to college in 1993, as a newly divorced single mother, raising my children in Los Angeles after being accepted to UCLA. I went to school on loans and grants and had no choice but to ignore the naysayers with their xenophobic whisperings against the dangers of sending my children to Los Angeles Public Schools. I was told the schools were undesirable and that I could fudge my address to get my kids into a "better" district. But I knew full well that what LAUSD offered could not be taught in a history book and that my children would have the privilege of developing friendships with people of all colors and creeds, and learning from the inspired teachers who made it their life's work to serve the most underserved.
Our apartment became the afterschool home to so many children of differing racial, ethnic and socio-economic backgrounds, who later went on to college along with my own kids. These young people are now quite literally endeavoring to save the world and I can personally trace this back to you. My oldest son is a progressive organizer who works for the AFT, because he believes that public school is the only place where our nation's children can come together in such diversity and empathy under the educational leadership of dedicated professionals (who would suffer the abuse and scorn of an ungrateful nation). My daughter, an artist and arts educator, recently said to me "I can no longer participate in the slave labor clothing market" and vowed that she would only buy clothing that was produced humanely. This is a sacrifice for her (a college educated young woman who makes barely more than minimum wage) to pay much higher prices for the sake of others. My youngest son studied sociology at American University and once called me, lamenting the political mucking of the word "feminist" because he could not understand how equity could be a controversial notion.
When I had no safety at home, when food was scarce and my life seemed impossibly violent and out of control, you became President. You instilled a belief in me that moral leadership will win. You led with the highest standards and it changed my life and eventually the lives of my children and so many others. Look around and see what you have sown in the next generation. Thank you President Carter for your prescient service to me and my family, to our country and the world. Thank you for your grace.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/angela-garcia-combs/dear-president-carter_b_8028498.html
via:
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2015/08/dear-president-carter-thank-you-by.html
it is the Humility
always, the Humility
Everything he says and does is graced with that Humility.....
We all hope President Carter will be here to continue to inspire even more of us....
kp
CNN BREAKING NEWS: Univision Anchor Thrown Out of Trump Event.
WATCH Univision anchor thrown out of Trump event,@realdonaldtrump yells "you weren't called!" http://cnn.it/1KiIm2X
A Univision anchor was escorted out of a @realDonaldTrump event http://cnn.it/1IdVTCJ
WATCH IT HERE:
https://twitter.com/CNNSitRoom/status/636310210257121280
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/anchor-jorge-ramos-thrown-trump-event-told-back/story?id=33317296
?w=670&h=377&crop=1
blowing up the tubes as we speak
UPDATE:
Donald Trump Kicks Univision Anchor Out of Event
Univision anchor Jorge Ramos was thrown out of a Donald Trump event on Tuesday when he tried to ask the GOP presidential candidate a question.
Ramos, who recently accused Trump of “spreading hate” over his controversial remarks on immigration, was immediately removed from the press conference by security.
“Go back to Univision,” Trump said. “You weren’t called!”
http://variety.com/2015/biz/news/donald-trump-throws-out-univision-anchor-1201578344/
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