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McCamy Taylor

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Member since: Tue Nov 9, 2004, 07:05 PM
Number of posts: 19,129

About Me

Here is my fiction website: http://home.earthlink.net/~mccamytaylor/ My political cartoon site: http://www.grandtheftelectionohio.com/

Journal Archives

The Last Time We Elected a President Who Was a Serial Liar…

…over 20,000 U.S. servicemen died. Tricky Dick Nixon ran on a platform of “I have a secret plan to end the war.” Little did Americans know that he had no intention of moving our soldiers out of Southeast Asia. Instead, he bribed Henry Kissinger into sabotaging the peace talks that LBJ worked so tirelessly on in 1968. Nixon vowed to end the war, but instead he escalated it and even dragged Laos and Cambodia into the conflict. As a result, tens of thousands of our troops died---and countless more were injured, shell shocked and broken. And for what? We still lost the war.

Mitt Romney has vowed 1) not to touch your abortion rights 2) to cover pre-existing conditions 3) not to cut taxes for the rich 4) not to eliminate your mortgage exemption 5) not to dismantle Medicare and 6) to bring jobs home And yet, he is on record as supporting the overturn of Roe V. Wade, tax cuts for the rich, taxes hikes for the middle class, the end of Medicare as we know it, and outsourcing of American jobs.

Mitt Romney says that if you are poor, elderly or unemployed, he cares about you. But he is on record as saying that that he does not care at all.

Mitt Romney wants you to think of him as a second Ronald Reagan, wise, strong, fatherly. But what kind of father smashes his own kids' faces into food? What kind of caring individual attacks and tortures a fellow college student?

In 1968, Americans could argue that they had no way of knowing that Dick Nixon was a liar or that Henry Kissinger was a GOP mole within the LBJ administration.

This time, we have been warned. If we reward a candidate for being a bully, a braggart and a liar, do not be surprised if we end up with a bully, a braggart and a liar as president.

Posted by McCamy Taylor | Thu Oct 11, 2012, 05:23 PM (2 replies)

The Problem With the Pew Poll

Abstract: This is a long thread, so I post my conclusion right here. The recent Pew presidential poll that everyone is so excited about predicts that both Hispanics and Blacks are going to stay home this election, while white men will follow the old adage “Vote early, vote often.”

Team Romney must be jumping for joy. The latest Pew Poll shows him surging ahead of Obama among likely voters, 49 to 45% in the wake of last week’s debate. Sure, Romney lied and lied and again. But, we are told, America secretly wants a braggart and a bully to be its leader----

Excuse me, make that white America. Male white America. But America is no longer overwhelming white. Minorities are set to become the new “majority” sometime in the near future. And as their numbers rise, their political clout rises, too.

I decided to do a little investigating, so I turned to a reliable polling firm---Pew--- to see how the rising percentage of minority (nonwhite) voters has affected presidential races in the recent past. Here is a tabulation of votes cast by race from 1988 to 2008. Note that the total percentage was 82% white in 1988. By 2008 that number had fallen to 73.4 percent. Minority participation went up, with 24% of the votes cast in 2008 coming from Blacks, Hispanics and Asians. Black women, in particular, saw their participation rise.

The levels of participation by black, Hispanic and Asian eligible voters all increased from 2004 to 2008, reducing the voter participation gap between themselves and white eligible voters. This was particularly true for black eligible voters. Their voter turnout rate increased 4.9 percentage points, from 60.3% in 2004 to 65.3% in 2008, nearly matching the voter turnout rate of white eligible voters (66.1%). For Hispanics, participation levels also increased, with the voter turnout rate rising 2.7 percentage points, from 47.2% in 2004 to 49.9% in 2008. Among Asians, voter participation rates increased from 44.6% in 2004 to 47.0% in 2008. Meanwhile, among white eligible voters, the voter turnout rate fell slightly, from 67.2% in 2004 to 66.1% in 2008.


Now, let’s do what most of us never do. Let’s look at the makeup of the so called “likely” voters that Pew polled last week. To do so, we have to turn to page two (something we really ought to do before we start talking about poll numbers). According to Pew, this year minority voters are going to become apathetic, while white voters will develop a re-surging interest in presidential politics.

Pew says that Latino voter turnout is going to be bad. In 2008, Hispanics cast 7.4% of the vote. This year, despite their growing numbers, they will count for only 7% of the vote----even though their percentage participation has been growing steadily for the last decade. (Go, look at the numbers). The curve suggests that with steady population growth and participation, Latinos should make up 9% of the votes cast.

Blacks are also planning to stay home, according to Pew, with their 12% in 2008 dropping to 11% this year. Why? Are they really so disgusted by the abolition of Don’t Ask Don’t Tell, that they plan to send Obama a strong message by allowing a Mormon to become president? I think we all know about the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints’ problems with Black folks. Whom do African-Americans fear more? Gays in the military or a member of a Church who was brought up to believe that they are a cursed race?

“Other Non-Hispanic”---a new group for Pew which replaces Asian in 2008 jumps from 2.5 to 5%. Who are the “Other Non-Hispanics”? Asians? Native Americans? People of mixed race (Latino plus Black, Black plus white)? Wish I knew. If we just lump them in with minority voters, then Pew is projecting that 23% of the votes cast will be from non-European-Americans—a slight increase from 2008. If the increase is made up of people who just wouldn’t say, or maybe whites who are proud that their great grandmother was Cherokee, then Pew is guessing that minorities are going to stay home---or else have their votes challenged in such great number by poll workers that their population gains will mean nothing.

Now, if you pay attention to population demographics, you are probably wondering “What about that surge in Latinos that we keep reading about?” According to the U.S. Census, the number of Hispanics in the U.S grew from 35 million to 50 million between 2000 and 2010. In 2008, those voters went 2 out of 3 for Obama.


Polls this year suggest that Latinos still favor Democrats by a margin of 2 to 1. Too bad for Obama that Pew thinks they are sitting this one out.

Two point five percent here and two percent there and one percent way over there really adds up when you are talking about a five point lead. Maybe Pew needs to repeat their poll and this time make sure that the ethnic demographics take into count the trend towards rising minority voter participation. Unless they are convinced that the GOP’s suppress the vote campaign is going to be massively successful.

Addendum: I don't want to give the impression that Pew "fixed" their poll. However, I wonder if they were so excited at finding any likely voters when they sampled cell phone users that they got sloppy on their other demographics. It is so much easier to find people on landlines.
Posted by McCamy Taylor | Wed Oct 10, 2012, 12:37 PM (9 replies)

Don't Read This Thread

There isn't an easy, tactful way to say this, so I am going to be blunt. The GOP loves to repeat itself. Romney thinks he is Ronald Reagan and Obama is Jimmy Carter. And we all know (from past experience) that the military and the intelligence community play (GOP) politics. Sometimes members of the administration play GOP politics---I am thinking of Henry Kissinger who deliberately stabbed LBJ in the back re: Vietnam peace in 1968 to help Dick Nixon. Therefore....

Be extra careful about any "secret" military missions being planned between now and election day. Assume that any such missions are public knowledge----and that the oil lobby will use that knowledge to forewarn its Saudi allies who will forewarn their Al Qaeda allies for the purpose of putting US citizens at risk and the Obama administration in the political hot seat.

I would really hate to see another round of Hostages for Votes ,wouldn't you?
Posted by McCamy Taylor | Sun Oct 7, 2012, 10:06 AM (3 replies)

Death by Split Screen: The First Presidential Debate and the Romney Smirk

A lot of words were tossed back and forth tonight, but it wasn't the words that determined the winner or loser. It was the camera. Poor Romney. When the president spoke, we got a split screen with Romney on the left. Now, if you know anything about neurophysiology, you realize that our two eyes see the world in very different ways. The left eye feeds information to the right brain---which judges facial expressions. That means every time that Romney smirked---you know, that little self satisfied look he gets with his mouth stretched tight and his eyes all beady and squinting---it went straight into my right brain, which said What a dick!.

As I was taking notes, I made note of the smirks. I counted thirteen of them. That means thirteen opportunities for the collective right brain of America to say to itself What a dick!

Not the impression Team Romney was striving for, I think.

While I am on the subject of body language, was it just me or did Romney morph from stiff to rabid bear to rabid weasel? As the 90 minutes passed, his speech became increasingly pressured. His stutter---


---became worse. Sadly, the only time he showed any real enthusiasm was when describing the way that regulation is strangling business. This, we could see, was something he cared about. Business strangulation is a pretty serious crime, in Mitt Romney's eyes.

Kept waiting to hear those zingers that Team Romney promised us.

Substance wise, this debate was Romney's to lose, since the economy that Bush left in the toilet is still trying to crawl out of that toilet. However, if I did not know either man and if I did not speak English, I would have remarked upon Obama's sincere expression and his spontaneous smiles. And I would have wondered what kind of used car the fast talking, tight lipped squint eyed man to the left was trying to sell me.

Note to Team Romney---next time give your man a wire. Not to feed him facts. He's good with facts. Every time he smirks send him an electric shock. Maybe you can break him of that habit.

Posted by McCamy Taylor | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 10:57 PM (4 replies)

Team Romney Reminds America that Bush Fiddled While NOLA Sank

Romney's campaign is the gift that keeps on giving---to Obama. Today, in advance of the first debate, they want us all to remember that in 2007, then Senator Obama accused the Bush administration---you know, the last Republican administration---of deliberately turning its back on NOLA in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.

Obama was not the only one to reach this conclusion. Remember Anderson Cooper in New Orleans? Remember the massive anti-war protest in the fall of 2005 that turned into a massive Pro-NOLA, anti-Bush protest? I do. I was there. Remember how we cried seeing one of the nation's most beloved cities abandoned by the feds, because its citizens were mostly Democrats?

Posted by McCamy Taylor | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 07:41 PM (5 replies)

Senator Obama Talks About Empathy, GOP Has a Cow

Rush Limbaugh said Wednesday that President Barack Obama is “selling seething anger” and even implied that Obama likes violence.


Be sure to watch the “incriminating” video before you comment upon it.


I don’t know what Rush and Team Romney thought they heard, but what I heard was then Senator Obama discussing empathy for a minute and a half. Which is a minute and a half more empathy than Romney has ever shown.
Posted by McCamy Taylor | Wed Oct 3, 2012, 07:31 PM (1 replies)
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