stevenleser
stevenleser's JournalWhat does the guy who discovered & named the Ebola virus say about the current outbreak...
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/oct/04/ebola-zaire-peter-piot-outbreak'In 1976 I discovered Ebola - now I fear an unimaginable tragedy'
Peter Piot was a researcher at a lab in Antwerp when a pilot brought him a blood sample from a Belgian nun who had fallen mysteriously ill in Zaire
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After Yambuku, you spent the next 30 years of your professional life devoted to combating Aids. But now Ebola has caught up to you again. American scientists fear that hundreds of thousands of people could ultimately become infected. Was such an epidemic to be expected?
No, not at all. On the contrary, I always thought that Ebola, in comparison to Aids or malaria, didn't present much of a problem because the outbreaks were always brief and local. Around June it became clear to me that there was something fundamentally different about this outbreak. At about the same time, the aid organisation Médecins Sans Frontières sounded the alarm. We Flemish tend to be rather unemotional, but it was at that point that I began to get really worried.
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There is actually a well-established procedure for curtailing Ebola outbreaks: isolating those infected and closely monitoring those who had contact with them. How could a catastrophe such as the one we are now seeing even happen?
I think it is what people call a perfect storm: when every individual circumstance is a bit worse than normal and they then combine to create a disaster. And with this epidemic there were many factors that were disadvantageous from the very beginning. Some of the countries involved were just emerging from terrible civil wars, many of their doctors had fled and their healthcare systems had collapsed. In all of Liberia, for example, there were only 51 doctors in 2010, and many of them have since died of Ebola.
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More at above link
Job Openings hit highest level since 2001 - 4.835 million openings
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-job-openings-hit-highest-150332837.htmlWASHINGTON, Oct 7 (Reuters) - U.S. job openings rose to their highest level in more than 13 years in August even as hiring fell, the U.S. Department of Labor said.
Job openings were at a seasonally adjusted 4.835 million compared with a downwardly revised 4.605 million in July, the Labor Department said in its monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on Tuesday. Job openings are used to measure labor demand.
Federal Reserve policymakers have said they are monitoring the JOLTS report as they consider their next step on monetary policy.
Employers hired a seasonally adjusted 4.640 million people in August, down from 4.934 million in July, the report said. August's hiring was 27 percent higher than in June 2009 when it was at its lowest level since the beginning of the recession.
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more at above link... it's getting harder and harder to deny the massive improvements in the job market.
Putin Supports Project to ‘Secure’ Russia Internet
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/02/world/europe/russia-vladimir-putin-internet.html?_r=0MOSCOW President Vladimir V. Putin appeared on Wednesday to throw his support behind a plan to isolate the Internet in Russia from the rest of the World Wide Web, but said the Russian government was not even considering censoring Internet sites.
In a speech to the Russian National Security Council, Mr. Putin said the plan was intended to build a backup system to keep websites in the Russian domains those ending in .ru and .rf online in a national emergency.
Mr. Putin said other countries had taken to using the Internet for not only economic, but military and political goals and said information security was a priority for the country.
The Russian news media has labeled the plan, some details of which were reported last month by Vedomosti, a Russian daily, a kill switch for the Internet, or Russias answer to the Great Firewall put up by the Chinese.
xpost from GD: Russia halts Student Exchange program due to LGBT Bigotry
http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-bans-foreign-exchange-students-from-us-2014-10Russia Just Banned Foreign Exchange Students From Studying In The US And Theyre Not Happy
Russia's past, present, and prospective participants in a popular U.S.-funded student exchange are lamenting their government's decision to halt its participation in the decades-old program amid Moscow's standoff with the West over the Ukraine crisis.
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Moscow's Explanation
Russia's child-protection ombudsman said on October 1 that a same-sex American couple established guardianship over a Russian high school student who was in the United States on an exchange program. Pavel Astakhov said the alleged incident was one reason for Russia's decision to scrap the 21-year-old FLEX program.
More at above link
Russia halts Student Exchange program due to LGBT Bigotry. Student ended up in LGBT household
http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-bans-foreign-exchange-students-from-us-2014-10Russia Just Banned Foreign Exchange Students From Studying In The US And Theyre Not Happy
Russia's past, present, and prospective participants in a popular U.S.-funded student exchange are lamenting their government's decision to halt its participation in the decades-old program amid Moscow's standoff with the West over the Ukraine crisis.
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Moscow's Explanation
Russia's child-protection ombudsman said on October 1 that a same-sex American couple established guardianship over a Russian high school student who was in the United States on an exchange program. Pavel Astakhov said the alleged incident was one reason for Russia's decision to scrap the 21-year-old FLEX program.
More at above link
Obamacare and Republican Lieperbole, a transcript from a segment of my Radio show...
Full transcript from my Radio Show of 9/28-9/29 2014. You can also listen to it here--> http://www.blogtalkradio.com/lesersense/2014/09/28/news-about-obamacare-the-republican-lieperbole-supply-side-failures-more
Ladies and Gentlemen, before I get into the specifics of the good news regarding Obamacare I think it makes sense to talk about a couple of things and work up to Obamacare. You see at some point in the future historians will look back at the Presidency of Barack Obama and I think they are going to find it one of the most interesting Presidencies to analyze for a number of reasons. At the top of that list of reasons is going to be the ways in which Republicans concocted their opposition to him.
In articles, Ive said from pretty early on in Obamas Presidency, from Spring and Summer of 2009 that the Republicans had two ways to go and their choice was clear. They were faced with this guy who had tremendous popularity, a mandate for change, the first black President all of that and they could either try to ride the wave and work with him and in so doing try to get as many of their ideas incorporated in what was to come as possible, or they could oppose him 100% and try to tear him down and in so doing take themselves down as well and potentially take down the country.
We could tell in March of 2009 with the beginnings of the tea party nonsense that Republicans had chosen the second option.
I say that this option is going to take them down as well because it radicalized the Republican party. There are pretty much no moderate Republicans left. The only appeal that Republicans have to moderate Americans is that after Obamas policies have been demonized as much as they have been, Republicans appeal is that they arent Obama and oppose his policies. If they score victories in election 2014 that, and low turnout by Democrats will be the only reasons why.
Moderate Americans are not in favor of any part of the current Republican agenda, not the economic, social or foreign policy agenda of Republicans. That is part of the damage that Republicans have done to themselves these last six years and it will make winning the 2016 Presidential election virtually impossible for them.
One of the ways Republicans opposed the President was to make dire and in some cases wild predictions about his policies, predictions that his policies would fail and cause various catastrophies.
The edition of the tea party movement that began in February and March of 2009 was started to oppose the Presidents stimulus bill that he put forth to stop the economic collapse that was occurring at that time. The country was losing 800,000 jobs a month when President Obama was inaugurated. Thats the economy he was handed by outgoing President Bush.
Its hard to imagine now, but the Tea Party and the Republican Party that embraced it said that the stimulus and the rest of President Obamas policies would not help the economy. Looking back now that seems completely wrong and preposterous. The Presidents policies have completely turned the economy around. I mentioned last week how Forbes rates President Obamas economic turnaround the best and highest job creating since the Second World War. But Republicans said it would fail and make the economy worse. Not only have record numbers of jobs been created, there have been increases in manufacturing, the real estate market has recovered, businesses are doing extremely well and the equity markets are doing well. The Presidents policies have brought about both a deep and broad based economic recovery.
And, Republicans have not suffered any consequences for that incorrect prediction on the most basic thing that matters to all Americans, as the saying goes, its the economy stupid. One would think that the American people would no longer trust Republicans on the economy after being so badly wrong about whether President Obamas economic policies would work and would throw Republicans out of office in large numbers but that isnt happening. Why? Well, as they have with all of their wildly wrong predictions, Republicans are banking on enough time passing between their incorrect predictions and the actual results so that the American people forget what they said.
I apologize for the lengthy preamble but I think it will become meaningful in a moment as we get to Obamacare.
There were so many crazy predictions by Republicans about Obamacare that I cant get to them all in this piece but I want to focus on two or three that were in the news recently.
One of them that you saw a lot just 6-10 months ago was that not enough young people were going to sign up causing premiums to double or triple in 2015 and thus Obamacare would fail because everyone would then pull out.
First of all we learned early on in 2014 that over 25% of eligible folks under 30 had signed up for Obamacare and that exceeded what was necessary for the plan to be viable. But its one thing to say that, its another to see the premiums.
Well the stats have begun to come out about what premiums will be in 2015. The Kaiser family did a study and it found that not only will premiums not go up in the Obamacare policies and exchanges in 2015, they will decrease slightly.
So Republicans were very wrong about that. Are they going to receive any punishment from the voters from throwing ridiculous predictions out there about Obamacare premiums? It doesnt seem so.
This week, there were two important news stories about Obamacare. One was that new insurance companies are flocking to the exchanges to offer policies for 2015. Health and Human Services Secretary Sylvia Burwell announced during a speech this past Tuesday at the Brookings institution that the number of companies offering plans on the Affordable Care Act's health insurance exchange marketplaces for 2015 will jump to 248, a 25 percent increase over this year, in the 44 states where the numbers are available. So consumers will have additional choices when they choose their policies this year. Thats an interesting situation considering that in various ways, Republicans have been claiming that the economics of Obamacare dont add up. Well, the free market has spoken, and private insurance companies want to offer their services on the exchange. Apparently the economics do add up. Additionally, stats have shown that for every new insurance option added on a states exchange, consumers see a 4% reduction in premium prices. So these additional insurance options will put further downward pressure on premium prices.
The other piece of news that came out this week was very important. Republicans have been claiming that Obamacare will not reduce costs and has been a failure at reducing costs.
Once again, at the Tuesday meeting at the Brookings Institute, Secretary Burwell announced that expanded health coverage under the Affordable Care Act will save U.S. hospitals $5.7 billion this year on the cost of caring for uninsured Americans.
Diving into the report shows that nearly three-quarters of the savings, $4.2 billion, will occur in states that have opted to expand the Medicaid healthcare program for the poor as part of Obamacare. So those hospitals in red states with Republican governors who refused to expand their Medicaid can thank those governors for the losses they incurred treating uninsured patients.
But more to the point, Obamacare is creating massive amounts of savings. And this savings will again be passed on to consumers in the form of lower premiums. We probably wont start seeing that savings until 2016, but it will be there. Of course, I expect hospitals and insurance companies to take some of that in profits, but a fair amount will be passed on to policy holders as well all across the health spectrum. Even folks who have nothing to do with Obamacare, employer health insurance plans will see decreases in premium prices as a result.
Again, will Republicans be penalized by the voters for being so wrong? I doubt it.
I think we have to coin a new phrase for this strategy by Republicans. They are clearly doing it deliberately. When I thought of this strategy, in my mind I called it Preemptive Orwelian doublespeak. But I have a better term for it, the Lieperbole.
They used the Lieperbole against the stimulus, they used it against Obamacare, even the so called scandals, fast and furious, IRS, and Benghazi were I think examples of the Republican use of lieperbole.
Again, the dynamics of the lieperbole are that you attack the administrations policies or initiatives or handling of an issue and claim all of these bad things were done or will happen with the goal of driving down the administrations approval level and creating dissatisfaction with the policy. By the time the truth comes out many months or years later, the truth no longer matters. The public continues to feel negatively about the administrations policy or handling of the event no matter what evidence comes out later or how successful the policy turns out to be.
You can see how successful it has been. I talked last week about how successful the administration has been with the economy. President Obamas approval levels should be 60-70% for that reason alone. But Republicans talked for years about how his policies werent working. It turns out he did a better and faster job getting out of this recession than Reagan did in the 80s. Does he get credit for it, no, because of Republican lieperboles.
We will continue to see evidence of Republican lieperboles on healthcare reform as we get closer to 2015. Obamacare has been successful and evidence of that will increase, but the public still has a negative opinion on Obamacare. Why? Why at this point when it is so clear that the policy has succeeded do people have a negative opinion of it?
This cynical tactic by the Republicans works and will continue to work until we all call it out and force them to stop using it by making sure it no longer works.
Well be right back.
ISIS looking to exploit Spanish-Moroccan border to enter Europe
Anyone who doubts ISIS is going to be a huge problem going forward is in for a rude awakening. Yesterday the Spanish military/police arrested a suspected ISIS militant who used forged Moroccan credentials to enter Spain.
http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/30/world/isis-frontline-melilla-spain/index.html?hpt=hp_c2
Bermudes also expressed a fear widely held among Spanish officials, saying in his ruling that "the threat posed by Spaniards or foreigners linked to Spain joining ISIS, or their hypothetical return to our country, is manifestly clear."
This year, Spanish security forces have arrested 44 people - some in Melilla, some in Spain's other North African enclave of Ceuta, some on the mainland. According to the police, members of a Melilla group rounded up in May had dispatched 26 men 24 Moroccans and two Spanish citizens since 2012 to join Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb and MUJAO.
Rand Paul's Remarkable Metamorphosis (Now he wants to go to war vs. ISIS)
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2014/09/03/rand-pauls-remarkable-metamorphosis/By Jennifer Rubin September 3
After declaring certain Christian defenders of Israel to be warmongers, arguing we could not defeat the Islamic State without being an air force for Iran, opining we didnt have a national security interest in Syria or Iraq, accusing interventionists of abetting the Islamic States rise and decrying Hillary Clinton as too hawkish, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) has decided that if you cant beat the neocons he might as well join them. He told the Associated Press: If I were President, I would call a joint session of Congress. I would lay out the reasoning of why ISIS is a threat to our national security and seek congressional authorization to destroy ISIS militarily. Well, welcome aboard, Sen. Paul. And thank goodness he has dropped his prior indefensible positions.
There are a few questions about Pauls remarkable metamorphosis, which follows increasingly vocal criticism from potential opponents such as Texas Gov. Rick Perry (does he owe Perry an apology since he has now adopted some of the same views?) and conservative policy wonks. I asked his longtime adviser Doug Stafford a few of the questions that come to mind:
Has Paul changed his view of the Middle East since his Wall Street Journal pieces?
(More at above link)
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There's your anti-war GOP candidate for you. As I have said repeatedly, any position he has that is supposedly 'progressive' is likely to be thrown under the bus at the first sign of pushback by his own party.
Canada embarrasses Putin and Russia with tweet re: Ukraine
Go Canada. Canada embarrasses Putin and Russia with tweet. This is priceless!
https://mobile.twitter.com/CanadaNATO/status/504651534198927361
Geography can be tough. Heres a guide for Russian soldiers who keep getting lost & accidentally entering #?Ukraine pic.twitter.com/RF3H4IXGSp
Canada at NATO on Twitter: Geography can be tough. Heres a guide for Russian soldiers who keep getting lost & accidentally entering Ukraine
Misleading Headlines About Obama Granting Immunity For Bush War Crimes Are Not Accurate
http://www.addictinginfo.org/2013/08/29/president-obama-grants-george-bush-immunity-for-crimes-not-quite/As the story goes, President Obama or the Department of Justice (depending on which source you are looking at) have filed court documents granting the Bush administration immunity for war crimes. Looking closely at the case in question and reading through the court documents which are cited as sources for these stories, it becomes clear that the headlines on this are, at best, misleading.
The Case
Sundus Shaker Saleh, an Iraqi mother and citizen, who was residing in the country at the time of the US invasion filed suit on March 13, 2012, in California District Court. Filed as a Complaint For Conspiracy To Commit Aggression and The Crime Of Aggression Salehs suit alleges that the Bush administration plotted against the country of Iraq and that top members of the administration used the September 11th attacks to justify an invasion which had been planned as early as 1998. She also claims that the administration falsified information to justify the war and further, that they illegally invaded the country, without UN approval, in violation of international law. The suit cites additional violations of the Rule of Nuremberg and the Kellogg-Briand Pact, a Treaty signed by the US in 1928.
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President Obama Grants Immunity To Bush Administration?
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In response to the suit US attorneys filed a Motion to Dismiss. This motion to dismiss cites the Westfall Act, which actually has nothing to do with Obama granting George Bush or his administration immunity from anything, since it was first put in place in 1948 and updated in 1961, 1966 and 1988. This law provides that any government employee who was acting as an agent of the US at the time a crime is committed, is immune from suits of the nature. It also requires that the United States government be named in place of any individual employee of the government. In the Motion, attorneys for the US government clearly state that in order for the suit to be legal, the United States government must be named as the defendant.
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Other Reasons for the Motion to Dismiss
Aside from the fact that under long standing United States law, the individuals listed cannot be named in the suit, other legal issues mentioned in the Motion to Dismiss include the question of whether California District Court has jurisdiction in such a case and a question of whether the plaintiffs attorney followed the correct procedure, exhausting all other remedies available, prior to filing the suit.
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(more at above link)
Profile Information
Name: RuggedRealistGender: Male
Hometown: New York, NY
Home country: USA
Current location: NYC
Member since: Tue Jan 4, 2005, 05:36 PM
Number of posts: 32,886