September 29, 2019

Ukraine must investigate Joe Biden's son, says ex-Ukrainian PM who lives in MOSCOW! (UPDATED)

https://news.yahoo.com/1-ukraine-must-investigate-joe-215824436.html

From Wikipedia: Mykola Azarov

a Ukrainian politician who was the Prime Minister of Ukraine from 11 March 2010 to 27 January 2014. He was the First Vice Prime Minister and Finance Minister from 2002 to 2005 and again from 2006 to 2007. Azarov also served ex officio as an acting Prime Minister in the First Yanukovych Government when Viktor Yanukovych ran for president at first and then upon resignation of his government.

Following the victory of Viktor Yanukovych in the 2010 presidential election, Azarov succeeded Yanukovych as leader of the Party of Regions, and was appointed as Prime Minister in March 2010.[1][2] In Janiary 2014, after weeks of Euromaidan protests and the 2014 Hrushevskoho Street riots[nb 1], Azarov offered his letter of resignation.[4] Since July 2014, Azarov has been on the international wanted list for alleged abuse of power.

A good Russian asset post from a man on the international wanted list for alleged abuse of power! Just the sort of man to push the GOP/Trump Biden plot.

At least the article mentioned this.

Azarov, who was prime minister from 2010-2014, is himself wanted by Ukrainian authorities for alleged abuse of power. An Interpol red notice issued in 2015 at the request of Ukrainian authorities said he was wanted on accusations of charges including embezzlement and misappropriation.

Azarov denies any wrongdoing and Reuters cannot determine whether there is any active investigation on him.

Azarov said he was not aware of any evidence suggesting wrongdoing on Hunter Biden's part, but said it was in the Ukrainian public interest to ascertain the legality of his activities.

September 28, 2019

I peeked at a conservative blog -- scary stuff; Go there at your own risk!

Just a sample (note the undercurrent of violence in some of them!)

The Global Swamp Creatures are all over the place working hard to destroy Trump in hope's of starting a Civil War! The leader is George Soros along with Hussein Obama, SocialistCrats, the Rothchilds, etc., etc., etc.
[snip]
Today, its a socialist globalist big government control of our country vs a nationalist republic based on liberty and free enterprise. and yes this is a civil war and the hope is it remains relatively blood free but the effort by the left to disarm and tax the population into submission is akin to another big gun fired into FT Sumter.
[snip]
... there is a civil war and we are in the middle of it.. just hasn't been any gun battles... at this point
[snip]
I firmly believe from the bottom of my heart, that Trump is going to give 150% in this job as POTUS. His heart and soul will be in it all the way, his intentions are in the right place and he has surrounded himself with intelligent people.

Kind of incredible.

September 28, 2019

Politico's First and Second Choices for week ending 9/22/2019

The week ending 9/22/2019 from Politico

Top Tier:
1 Joe Biden 32%
Biden supporters' second choices: Warren, Sanders, Harris.

2 Elizabeth Warren 20%
Warren supporters' second choices: Biden, Sanders, Harris Sanders, Harris.

3 Bernie Sanders 19%
Sander supporters' second choices: Biden, Warren, Harris.
Others
4 Kamala Harris 6%
5 Pete Buttigieg 5%
6 Beto O'Rourke, 7 Andrew Yang, 8 Cory Booker: All 3%
9 Amy Klobuchar 2%
10 Tulsi Gabbard 1%

Biden is the seconde choice for both Sanders and Warren! This shows a strong standing, not the shaky lead theme.
Warren is the second choice of both Biden and Sanders supporters.
Harris is consistently the third choice.

Updating with Favorable ratings. Note top tier are not known by only 1%

Voters' opinion of the candidates
Candidate Favorable / Unfavorable / Never Heard of
Bernie Sanders 73% / 20% / 1%
Joe Biden 71% / 21% / 1%
Elizabeth Warren 66% / 14% / 8%
Kamala Harris 55% / 20% / 11%

Scroll down on he link to see the 0thers.

September 27, 2019

Three Polls up to 9/26 still have Biden ahead by double digits

Haven't seen this posted Maybe I missed it The three previous polls had Warren up higher, but this is the latest and in line with polls before those three came out.

CP Average 9/13 - 9/24 28.4 21.1 17.1 5.5 5.0 3.3 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 Biden +7.3
Harvard-Harris 9/22 - 9/24 28 17 16 3 6 3 3 2 1 2 1 -- 2 Biden +11

Not posted on CP:

HarrisX C+) from 538 (LV 9/13 - 9/24) has JB 31, EW 20 BS 13 Harris 7...Biden +11

HarrisX C+) from 538 (RV 9/13 - 9/24) has JB 28, EW 15 BS 14 Harris 7...Biden +13

The movement upward in the three polls for Warren is not reflected ion these polls.

September 26, 2019

I ike the sound of it: MSNBC's Morning Joe caes Trumps mess the "Ukraine cnspiracy"!

https://www.rawstory.com/2019/09/msnbcs-morning-joe-breaks-down-shocking-revelations-against-barr-attorney-general-looks-like-hes-part-of-the-ukraine-conspiracy/

The VP and AG have been thrown under the bus. Hope the VP and AG are included among those impeached. Nancy as acting Prez until the election? Sounds good to me also.acting

September 25, 2019

Reuters/Ipsos Data: Trump/Biden/Ukraine Survey

https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/reuters-ipsos-data-Trump-Biden-Ukraine-2019-09-24
Full Story:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll/biden-rises-in-poll-as-ukraine-scandal-unfolds-interest-in-impeachment-drops-reuters-poll-idUSKBN1W9335

Washington, D.C., September 24, 2019 – A new Reuters/Ipsos public opinion survey of 1,005 Americans shows that 74% of Americans have heard of the situation involving President Trump, Joe Biden and the president of Ukraine, and 17% say they have heard a “great deal” about it. When asked what they have heard about Trump, Biden and the president of Ukraine:

37% say they heard that the story came about because of a whistleblower complaint that the administration tried to cover up;
29% say they heard President Trump is trying to coerce Ukraine into investigating Joe Biden;
27% say they heard President Trump is abusing the power of the office of the presidency;
14% say they heard Joe Biden has improperly pushed for the firing of a Ukrainian general prosecutor.

When asked what they think of the situation involving Trump, Biden, and Ukraine, 39% say that President Trump is trying to smear Joe Biden ahead of the 2020 presidential campaign, 26% say they believe Joe Biden is trying to cover up a potential scandal that could hurt him in the 2020 presidential campaign, and 35% are unsure. Partisanship plays a large role in perceptions: 72% of Democratic registered voters believe Trump is trying to smear Biden, compared to just 17% of Republican registered voters. More than half of Republican registered voters believe that Biden is trying to cover up a potential scandal (53%) compared to just 9% of Democratic registered voters who feel the same way.

September 25, 2019

New Reuters/Ipsos Poll Sep 23-24:

Biden 22
Warren 17
Sanders 14
Buttigieg 4
Harris 4
Margin of error +/- 4

This is cited by the Economist:

https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/

I don't see it on the Ipsos site?

September 23, 2019

Double Whammy! Hits on Warren and Biden from The Hill

Welcome to the Dual Front runners 'The Hits are On Page'.

Rising with the Hill's Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti jump in with both feet on our two great candidates. Watch at the link below.

Krystal Ball: Dems on track to nominate Warren and lose to Trump; Saagar Enjeti: Ignore media, investigate Bidens

More power to the Democratic nominee, I will vote Blue and fight for either one of them or any other Dem until I'm blue in the face.

September 23, 2019

Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) came out against former Vice President Joe Biden this weekend

Everyone is entitled to their opinion, but she is dead wrong about Joe.

Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) came out against former Vice President Joe Biden this weekend, saying it’s “very clear” that he’s the wrong choice to take on President Donald Trump in next year’s election.

“There are few people who fit into the kind of progress that we all want to see in this country. And I would say he is not one of them,” Omar told the Guardian, adding: "I think it has been very clear to many of the people who have been creating the kind of movement that is exciting generations, that we want somebody who really has a plan that is going to tackle a lot of the systematic challenges that we have, and he doesn’t.”

There will be no systematic changes from a "movement that is exciting generations," if the candidate who passes this muster cannot be elected, or if elected, cannot pass legistlation to further the agenda. We need to get someone elected who can get things done.

Go Joe!

September 19, 2019

Corn Pop & Pop Corn: Post-Debate (3) Poll Analysis

Good analysis of where we stand on Presidential Pimary polls since the third debate on VOX:

[link:https://www.vox.com/2019/9/18/20872216/warren-biden-yang-democratic-presidential-polls|

Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren are the top two candidates in the presidential race, according to most polls taken since last week’s debate.

Of the five national polls taken since then, all show the former vice president continuing to lead, and four show Warren in second place — and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in third. (The fifth poll shows Sanders in second and Warren in third).

A poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal shows Warren 11 points ahead of Sanders, but polls from HarrisX, SurveyUSA, and YouGov show her leading him by 1 to 4 points, and a Morning Consult poll shows her trailing Sanders by 2. On average, that’s a 3.2 percent margin for Warren over Sanders. That’s bigger than before, but it’s not clear whether it will hold up (or expand) in the coming weeks.

As for the other candidates, the worst news is for California Sen. Kamala Harris. Every new national poll shows her clearly falling behind the top three candidates. In fact, she’s barely ahead of South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg in two polls, tied with him in a third, and trails him in the other two.

And beyond the top five, Andrew Yang, Beto O’Rourke, and Cory Booker all have about 3 percent support each in national polls since the debate — a slight improvement for all three but not enough to bump any of them up to the top tier of candidates.

The big picture is that the debate may have solidified the shape of the field — with Biden in first and Warren and Sanders probably in that order behind him.

But one big question going forward is whether Warren will manage to put some distance between herself and Sanders, emerging as the clear second-place candidate rather than essentially tied with Sanders (as polling averages currently show).

RCP is still showing the average with one pre-debate poll. If we drop that poll and only have the six post-debate polls (updated to include Florida Atlantic University) plus one HarrisX poll from 538, we get the following:

(I left out the lower tier candidates; the polling there is also interesting, but I am focusing on the upper and mid-tier candidates.

Post-debate (3) Polling Data [Hope I got it all correct--done on the run]

Average: JB 31, EW 20, BS 16, Harris 6, Buttigieg 6 (Biden +11)
HarrisX (LV) 9/15-9/18: JB 34, EW 18, BS 14, Harris 5, Buttigieg 5 (Biden +16)
FOX (LV) 9/15-9/17: JB 29, EW 16, BS 18, Harris 7, Buttigieg 5 (Biden +13)
Economist 9/14-9/17: JB 26, EW 21, BS 14, Harris 6, Buttigieg 9 (Biden +5)
SUSA 9/13-9/16: JB 33, EW 19, BS 17, Harris 6, Buttigieg 5 (Biden +14)
FLAtlanticU 9/12-9/15: JB 34, EW 24, BS 14, Harris 4, Buttigieg 5 (Biden +10)
NBC/WSJ 9/13-9/16: JB 31, EW 25, BS 14, Harris 5, Buttigieg 7 (Biden +6)
Morn-Cons 9/13-9/15: JB 32, EW 18, BS 20, Harris 6, Buttigieg 5 (Biden +12)

This clearly shows Biden well ahead despite the Corn Pop, and Warren not so much closing the gap as the Pop Corn show of the media hype. In fact, Sanders cannot be ruled out here as Sanders and Warren are playing leapfrog for second place. More power to her, though. While I am a Biden supporter, I respect Warren and her supporters. She is strong, smart, and knowledgeable and would make a great President. I worry though about her electability.

As for Biden, his durability belies the narrative that his lead is fragile. It is, in fact, solid.

I like statistics. Though not an expert, I worked with Morris Dees years back when he was first beginning the Southern Poverty Law Center. I did over a hundred attachments to a federal court redistricting suit for the state legislature demonstrating racial bias in the gerrymandered Alabama legislative districts ([E.D.] Nixpn vs Brewer). We won the case and 15 Blacks were elected in the redrawn legislative districts. The first time Blacks were elected to the legislature since Reconstruction after the civil war. I also presented a paper written with Amrit Lal, Black Power Alabama, to the McGovern Committee on Party Reform in Meridian, Mississippi (Birch Bayh chairing). Almost got fired when the governor saw my testimony on TV. Eventually had to resign when thrown in jail by a Montgomery policeman who later became a body guard for Wallace during his jpresidential campaign. More on my involvement here:

[link:https://www.crmvet.org/vet/schutz.htm|

We went all the way with McGovern which is one of the reasons I am a moderated-left Obama-Biden Dem.