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UncleNoel

Profile Information

Member since: Mon Jul 11, 2005, 11:05 AM
Number of posts: 858

About Me

White, male, expatriate living in the mountains of central Taiwan, Oregon permanent address, 34 years of age. Born in St. Louis. Army brat lived all over. Veteran of the Korean War (sieved in Libya and Austin, Texas). Ph.D. in anthropology and linguistics, Indiana University. Career in linguistics and ESL at numerous US and foreign institutions. Spent most of my career as a director of English as a Second Language programs. Taught at National Chi Nan Unversity, Puli, Taiwan over the years 1995-2016. Retired as an orchard keeper with my life partner Judy Wu of the Bunun Austronesian tribe in our mountain hideaway cabin, High Mountain Orchards.

Journal Archives

McConnell challenger McGrath endorses Biden

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/480838-mcconnell-challenger-mcgrath-endorses-biden
By Julia Manchester - 01/31/20 08:00 AM EST

snip//


McConnell challenger McGrath endorses Biden
© Getty

Amy McGrath, a 2020 Democratic challenger to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's (R-Ky.) seat, on Friday endorsed former Vice President Joe Biden's presidential bid.

“Honor and integrity are at the heart of everything Marines do. It’s why I believe so strongly that Joe Biden is the president who can return honor and integrity to the Oval Office," McGrath said in a statement released by Biden's campaign.

"Joe is the Democrat who can bring our country together, restore our reputation abroad, and bring real change to a nation torn apart by partisanship. We need that now more than ever," she continued.

McGrath, a Marine veteran who came close to flipping a Republican-held House seat in 2018, officially filed to run for Senate late last year.

WikipediA Poll Agregation as of 1/15 & 1/17: Biden 26.7, Sanders 19.5, Warren 16.7,

Buttigieg 7.2, Bloomberg 6.2. All others less than 5%. [Biden +7.2]

Aggregate of poll averages from 570 to Win, Real Clear Politics, the Economist, and FiveThirtyEight.
Bloomberg moving up on Pete, Yang and Amy low.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries#November_2019

Biden's ship stayed on course. Some headlines and snips on debate Winners and Losers.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/democratic-debate-sanders-warren-flap-060024657.html

In Democratic debate, Sanders-Warren flap makes a winner out of Biden.
Bottom line: Biden's ship stayed on course.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/15/2020-democratic-debate-winners-losers-099136

Snips//

Who had the best night? Who had the worst?
Barrón-López: Biden emerged without taking major damage, again, and by default that makes him one of the winners — though Sanders had some notable exchanges with Biden, drawing contrasts on foreign policy. Buttigieg didn’t have any memorable moments, and that could hurt him as he’s slipped in the polls in Iowa. A strong showing in the first two states is critical for Buttigieg, who has failed to gain traction with black and brown voters.
Otterbein: That question would best be answered by voters! Before the debate, Warren and Sanders’ teams had telegraphed that they wanted to de-escalate — and they achieved that during the debate. As the Sanders campaign beat reporter, I’d say his team will likely feel that he effectively contrasted his record versus Biden’s on the Iraq War, NAFTA, etc. — and he did so at the beginning of the debate, when more viewers typically tune into these things. But he didn't get the Social Security debate he wanted with Biden — and he needs to do better among older voters, among whom he is running far behind Biden in polls.
Siders: Joe Biden won the night, as a beneficiary of circumstance. The debate opened on foreign policy, an area in which he has a deep well of experience, and Biden exploited it. Even better for Biden? The fight moderators really wanted, between Sanders and Warren — had nothing to do with Biden. The frontrunner left the debate unbruised.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/joe-bidens-still-winning-and-no-one-laid-a-glove-on-him?ref=wrap

Joe Biden’s Still Winning, and No One Laid a Glove on Him
JOEMENTUM



Nate Silver: If Joe Biden wins Iowa, 'he's off to the races' [Video]

Looking good, Joe!

https://www.yahoo.com/news/dems-iowa-loss-face-uphill-154714122.html



Democratic presidential hopeful Biden aims to keep Nevada on his side

https://www.yahoo.com/news/democratic-presidential-hopeful-biden-aims-212432514.html

By Trevor Hunnicutt

SPARKS, Nev. (Reuters) - Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Joe Biden, who wears the nickname "working class Joe" with pride and courts a multi-racial voter base, faces a stern test of his ability to win nationally in Nevada's mining towns and unionized gambling parlors.

Nevada's Feb. 22 nominating contest is the third one in the state-by-state process of picking a Democratic nominee to face Republican President Donald Trump in the Nov. 3 general election. The former vice president's advisers have said Biden's strength in the Democratic race will show in racially diverse states such as Nevada, with its large Latino population, and South Carolina, with its sizable black population.

Even if Biden does not win in predominantly white Iowa on Feb. 3 or New Hampshire on Feb. 11 - the states with the first two nominating contests - he is expected to make up the ground once the race moves onto Nevada, then South Carolina on Feb. 29 and the 14 states holding contests on Super Tuesday on March 3, according to his advisers.

****

Edward Mercado, 72, a retired car-assembly worker, said Biden's experience as Barack Obama's vice president for eight years was a key reason for his support, adding that no current candidate matches the former president's charisma.

"There's a lot of them that stand out but you have to go with experience," specifically Biden's experience under Obama, Mercado said.

Biden, who was touring the state on Saturday as part of a two-day campaign swing, invested in Nevada early in his campaign and carved out a clear lead in opinion polls in the state. His campaign opened six offices across the state and hired about 50 staff members.

Biden drew a standing-room only crowd on Friday to a high school gymnasium in Sparks, Nevada.



Biden picks up Colin Allred as 10th Black Caucus endorser

https://www.yahoo.com/news/biden-picks-colin-allred-10th-105009856.html

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden on Monday picked up his 10th endorsement from a Congressional Black Caucus member, with Texas Rep. Colin Allred’s decision underscoring the former vice president’s advantage with a crucial party constituency less than a month before 2020 voting begins.

Allred also gives Biden support from another House freshman who flipped a Republican district in the 2018 midterms, and he’s the latest Texas Democrat to back Biden after initially siding with Texan Julián Castro, who ended his presidential bid Jan. 2 and has since endorsed one of Biden’s more progressive rivals, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

“This is a really dangerous time for the country,” Allred told The Associated Press, pointing to a recent flareup with Iran. “We have to nominate someone in the Democratic Party who can unite the country and heal the divisions that are going on.”

Allred, a former Obama administration lawyer and NFL linebacker, sidestepped Castro’s endorsement of Warren, but said Biden best represents the Democratic mainstream, and he warned that going too far left could doom the party in November. He pointed to midterm victories like his own, when he won 52% of the vote to defeat Republican Pete Sessions and become the first Democrat and first African American to represent his suburban Dallas district.


Poll: Biden leads in N.H.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/new-hampshire/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries#New_Hampshire_primary

Patinkin Research Strategies, Jan. 6-7 (LV MOE +/-4)

Biden 21
Sanders 19 (within the MOE)
Buttigieg 17 (Pete barely reaches Biden with MOE))
Warren 10 (Not good news for Liz)

Haven't seen this posted. Joe and Bernie very close, Pete not so much, Liz way down.

Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen Wins Reelection With Record Support

Source: Time

Tsai Ing-wen has won reelection as President of Taiwan on Saturday night by a landslide, defeating the populist challenge of her pro-China opponent in a campaign dominated by how to handle growing pressure from Beijing.

As of 8:30 p.m. local time, with the vote still being tallied, she had received a record 7.7 million votes. Han Kuo-yu, of the Kuomintang Party (KMT), had received about 5.2 million votes at that time, according to Bloomberg. Han told supporters Saturday that he called Tsai to congratulate her on her victory, the Associated Press reported.

Read more: https://news.yahoo.com/taiwan-president-tsai-ing-wen-132743364.html



The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP} also retains control of the legistlature. The DPP held the presidency for 8 years under President Chen followed by 8 years with President Ma of the KMT who was succeeded by Tsai who now will have four more years.

While often described as "independence=leaning", the DPP ha maintained a position of the status quo under Chen and Tsai without pressing to change the de facto vibrant democracy into a de jure independent country. It is clear from this election that the people of Taiwan do not want the kind of mess they see with Hong Kong and want to maintain their own democratic status in the face of unrelenting Chinese communist pressure and threats.

USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll, "A majority ... 52%-34%, called Trump's behavior with Iran 'reckless.'"

https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/iran-debacle-is-blowing-up-in-trumps-face-as-voters-overwhelmingly-call-president-reckless-report/
Iran debacle is blowing up in Trump’s face as voters overwhelmingly call president ‘reckless’: report'

“There was overwhelming agreement – in each case by more than 6-1 – that the attack made it more likely Iran would strike American interests in the Middle East (69%), that there would be terrorist attacks on the American homeland (63%), and that the United States and Iran would go to war with each other (62%),” USA Today reports. 52%-8%, those polled said the attack made it more likely that Iran would develop nuclear weapons.”

“Nearly a third of Republicans, who typically support the president, said it had made the nation less safe,” they added.


Iowa congresswoman endorsing Joe Biden's presidential bid

BILL BARROW,Associated Press•January 2, 2020
https://www.yahoo.com/news/iowa-congresswoman-endorsing-joe-bidens-105512906.html

snip//
Joe Biden has landed a high-profile endorsement for his presidential bid as Rep. Abby Finkenauer becomes the first member of the Iowa congressional delegation to take sides in the Democratic nominating contest.

Finkenauer, a first-term House member from a district Donald Trump won in 2016, will campaign with Biden this weekend, with less than four weeks to go before the Feb. 3 Iowa caucuses that lead off Democrats' 2020 voting.

The congresswoman said in an interview with The Associated Press ahead of Thursday's announcement that the former vice president's experience, his proposals on infrastructure and other economic matters and his appeal to a wide range of voters make him the ideal Democrat to take on Trump.

“We need somebody at the top who can lead from the White House, someone who’s willing to unite not just Democrats but the country,” Finkenauer said. “There are days where I swear Democrats and Republicans are speaking different languages, and there’s no translator. ... (Biden) is the translator.”


More good stuff in the article.

Not everyone sees Biden's broad outreach as disqualifying!

The congresswoman is scheduled to appear alongside Biden in at least eight cities and towns as part of a 10-county, five-day Iowa tour that begins Thursday. It won't be their first pairing; Finkenauer was among the dozens of Democratic House candidates Biden campaigned for ahead of the 2018 midterms.

Her potential influence, even as a freshman, was on display in November, when nine presidential candidates visited her northeastern Iowa district for a forum she co-sponsored with labor groups. That slate included the four candidates — Biden, former Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont — who polls suggest are the top contenders in Iowa.

Finkenauer did not frame her support for Biden as a rejection of his rivals, saying she's "not going to speak to what’s going to win votes and what’s not.” Yet her explanation aligns with Biden's argument that a center-left approach, coupled with his record as a senator and vice president, makes him Democrats' best option in a general election.
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