RandySF
RandySF's JournalIt's pretty clear that Republicans see Kavanaugh as the victim and Dr. Ford the rapist
That’s all I got
WV-SEN: The DSCC is cutting back their ad buys on Manchin's behalf.
https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1045025248087887877?
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WV-Sen: DSCC IE is canceling TV schedules that had been booked for 10/2-10/15
The group still has spending in place for 10/16 through Election Day
@jennifereduffy rates race as Lean Democratic
12:00 PM - 26 Sep 2018
28 Retweets 38 Likes AseemruRaul Gonzalesrori pierpontTheKingBaiza14(((John))) is mad on the InternetApratim GhoshMax SteeleOscar Mildecmmcd
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JOE MANCHIN
https://www.joemanchinwv.com
X-Men: Dark Phoenix Official Trailer (VIDEO)
Trump Official Questioned If N-Word Was Racist
Eric Blankenstein, a senior Trump appointee responsible for enforcing laws against financial discrimination, once questioned in blog posts written under a pen name if using the n-word was inherently racist and claimed that the great majority of hate crimes were hoaxes, the Washington Post reports.
https://politicalwire.com/2018/09/26/trump-official-questioned-if-n-word-was-racist/
Democrats Expand the House Map
Internal Democratic polling conducted in August and September revealed the party's candidate leading or trailing by small margins in a dozen seats on the outer edges of the battlefield. And outside money is already starting to flow beyond the 50 or so districts that initially drew major TV ad reservations.
The GOP's top House super PAC, the Congressional Leadership Fund, funneled nearly $3 million into a few sleeper races that had previously received little national attention. And the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee booked more than $100,000 of airtime in Republican Rep. Mike Kelly’s northwestern Pennsylvania district, which President Trump carried by 20 points.
“For Republicans, this is a game of Whac-A-Mole,” said John Lapp, a Democratic strategist who served as the DCCC’s executive director in 2006. “With a battleground map this big, they simply can’t be everywhere. There are competitive races in blue, purple, and ruby-red districts popping up every day.“
The CLF launched ad buys last week in seats held by Reps. George Holding of North Carolina, Fred Upton of Michigan, and Rodney Davis of Illinois, where private Democratic polling has found tight contests.
Two or more internal Democratic surveys conducted in the past two months found single-digit races in seats held by Republican Reps. Jaime Herrera Beutler of Washington, Rob Woodall of Georgia, Vern Buchanan of Florida, Ted Budd of North Carolina, Ann Wagner of Missouri, Scott Perry of Pennsylvania, and John Carter of Texas, and in Florida's open 15th District.
And multiple Democratic polls have found a single-digit race in Montana, where former state Rep. Kathleen Williams is challenging Republican Rep. Greg Gianforte.
Several of these seats are in costly media markets, which can complicate the ability of outside groups from either side to make a serious investment. But nearly all are districts Trump carried by margins ranging from 5 points to 13 points, and the polling is a sign of increasingly unfavorable atmospherics for Republicans after a turbulent summer.
"Almost nobody should assume that they’re cruising," Republican pollster Glen Bolger said. "If the president won by 10 points or less, it's a competitive race."
https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/672943?unlock=L7PZ5ZTD12MOF718
TX-31: John Carter moves to Lean Republican
A new ALG Research poll for Democrat MJ Hegar's campaign shows her within four points of Carter, 46 percent to 42 percent, closing the deficit from nine last month. Republicans beg to differ, but it makes some sense considering Hegar has had the airwaves to herself the last few weeks with 30-second versions of her "Doors" ad that became a viral fundraising sensation over the summer.
Carter, 76, has been a fixture in local politics for decades, including as a judge. But he's never faced a competitive general election since winning this seat in 2002, and took an anemic 65 percent in this year's primary. And Austin's northern suburbs are moderating quickly. The 31st CD, which takes in Round Rock and part of Fort Hood, gave President Trump 53 percent in 2016 after giving Mitt Romney 60 percent in 2012.
Hegar, a search-and-rescue pilot, was awarded a Purple Heart and a Distinguished Flying Cross for valor after her helicopter was shot down and ambushed in Afghanistan in 2009. Hegar subsequently wrote a successful book, "Shoot Like a Girl," and got tattoos to cover her shrapnel wounds. Her ads detail how she sued the Defense Department to overturn a rule barring women from many combat positions.
Carter and Republicans will surely paint Hegar as a darling of Hollywood liberal elites (her life story is on the verge of being made into a movie starring Angelina Jolie), but will need to be careful to avoid appearing to attack her military service. Carter never served in uniform but will campaign on his advocacy for Fort Hood. Hegar's messaging head start and Carter's lack of preparedness may force Republicans to divert cash here.
MJ HEGAR
https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/house-rating-changes-five-more-races-move-towards-democrats
https://www.mjfortexas.com
PA-01: Brian Fitzpatrick moves to Tossup
This Bucks County seat appeared to be slipping away from Democrats when they nominated multi-millionaire former lobbyist Scott Wallace and Fitzpatrick was endorsed by the AFL-CIO and Gabrielle Giffords. But with six weeks to go, Republicans haven't disqualified Wallace and the Democrat's prodigious self-funding is keeping him in close contention with the incumbent.
So far, Republicans have bizarrely sidestepped their own best talking points. Instead of casting Wallace as an elitist who's dwelled in mansions in Maryland and South Africa, the NRCC has attacked Wallace's philanthropy for devoting millions to "socialists" and a population control group aiming to stop "irresponsible breeding." Several GOP strategists grumbles the ads are clunky, confusing attempts at guilt by association.
Moreover, Fitzpatrick's ads have highlighted his work to combat opioids and attacked Wallace for giving to a group that "gave voice to convicted cop killer Mumia Abu-Jamal." But he's yet to truly pitch voters on his moderation and support from Democrats. At the end of the day, those pluses will only matter if voters find out about them. Right now, President Trump's unpopularity is defining the race, and that's bad for the GOP.
https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/house-rating-changes-five-more-races-move-towards-democrats
SCOTT WALLACE
https://www.scottwallacepa.com
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