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Member since: Sun Mar 20, 2011, 11:05 AM
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Epidemiologists: Coronavirus survival rates in the United States haven't improved since the summer

It’s true that better treatments are now available, but their impact isn’t nearly big enough to avoid an impending surge of deaths, expected to soon exceed 2,000 a day in the United States. And while the case fatality rate declined early in the pandemic, it hasn’t budged since the summer.

“It’s been rock solid stable since July, around 1.7 percent,” said David Dowdy, an associate professor at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. “If anything, I think there is a concern it will go up again because we’re seeing hospitals reaching their capacity.”

Trevor Bedform, a genomic epidemiologist at the Fred Hutchsinson Cancer Research Center, found there have been no improvements in the death rates since August. Since then, the death rate among those diagnosed with covid-19 has averaged 1.8 percent, he told The Atlantic.“This rate is a major improvement, down more than tenfold from the earliest days of the pandemic, when deaths were high and the extreme limits on coronavirus testing held down the number of diagnosed cases,” The Atlantic's Alexis C. Madrigal and Whet Moser write. “But in this new phase of the pandemic, when testing is more widely available and a much higher proportion of cases are diagnosed to begin with, it is also terrible, terrible news.”

The antibody treatments from Eli Lilly and Regeneron are the most promising treatments so far. But they’re in short supply and difficult to administer, so they’re not going to be a magic bullet for saving the nation from a massive death toll this winter.


Why does MSNBC's Ayman Moyheldin keep using the GOP's pejorative, "Democrat Party"?

It's jarring when you hear that on MSNBC. But he just did it again a few minutes ago (12:47 pm PT) while interviewing an Atlanta Constitution reporter.

God, I hope that grammatically incorrect petty insult has not gone mainstream.


GSA head Emily Murphy's name should ring a bell.

Maybe the most high-prifile thing she has done is block Biden’s transition, but well before that, the ethics-bereft Trump appointee lied to congress and violated the Constitution to help Trump make money at his Trump Tower hotel in the Old Post Office building in DC, with its valuable location near the White House.

She violated the rules that prevent a sitting president from leasing federal property, not to mention enable Trump to violate the Constitution's Foreign Emoluments clause, by letting him lease the Old Post Office building for his hotel, where foreign dignitaries seeking to curry favor with Trump flocked. Then she blocked the long-planned move of the FBI headquarters out of DC to the suburbs, costing taxpayers millions, all so a site would not open up for a hotel that might compete with Trump's at the nearby Old Post Office. Then she lied to Congress that Trump didn't direct her to block the relocation, when documents clearly showed he did.

She is an enabling, toady scum through and through. From her Wikipedia page:

Federal lease for Trump hotel and FBI headquarters project

During her tenure, two issues that were personally important to Trump became sources of controversy for Murphy and the GSA: the hotel that Trump operates under a federal lease (in Washington, D.C.'s Old Post Office) and plans for the relocation and consolidation of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) headquarters.[3]

The FBI had long-scheduled a move out of its D.C. headquarters, the J. Edgar Hoover Building, as the aging building was falling apart and not secure.[3] The bureau's headquarters were planned to move to a suburban location.[3] Although the project had been in the works for more than a decade, Trump personally intervened in 2017 (during the first year of Trump's term and Murphy's tenure) to kill the plan.[3] Democrats said that Trump canceled the move to prevent the Hoover Building site from being redeveloped into a hotel that could compete with Trump's hotel across the street; the Trump White House denied that Trump's business played into the decision.[3][13] House Democrats investigated the episode.[13] In April 2018, Murphy told a congressional oversight hearing that the decision to stop the FBI from moving its headquarters came solely from the bureau without the involvement of Trump.[13] However, three months later, the GSA inspector general (IG) released a report finding that Murphy's statement to Congress was "incomplete and may have left the misleading impression that she had no discussions with White House officials in the decision-making."[13][14] The report revealed that Murphy and other GSA officials had multiple meetings with Trump about the FBI headquarters, specifically a two-day meeting in January 2018 between Murphy, Trump, White House Chief of Staff John F. Kelly, and budget director Mick Mulvaney.[15] The IG report also found that GSA officials misrepresented the costs of an alternative plan to build a new FBI headquarters in downtown D.C., portraying the replacement plan as cheaper than the original plan when it would actually be more expensive.[15] In October 2018, internal GSA emails disclosed by House Democrats showing that GSA discussed "the President's instructions", "direction from WH" and "what was decided in the meeting with POTUS" in January 2018.[13]


Here's Trump campaign's allegations of election irregularities. So far, none has been proved.

Republicans have made claims of election irregularities in five states where President-elect Joe Biden leads in the vote count, alleging in lawsuits and public statements that election officials did not follow proper procedures while counting ballots in Tuesday’s election.

So far, they have gone 0 for 5.

Since Election Day, President Trump has repeatedly claimed that a broad conspiracy of misdeeds — apparently committed in both Republican and Democratic states — had cost him the election.

But in the lawsuits themselves, even Trump’s campaign and allies do not allege widespread fraud or an election-changing conspiracy.

Instead, GOP groups have largely focused on smaller-bore complaints in an effort to delay the counting of ballots or claims that would affect a small fraction of votes, at best.

And, even then, they have largely lost in court.


[ Note that WaPo has taken down its paywall for this story and it is readily accessible by clicking on the link. Lots of detail, and debunking, of specific allegations are found at the link. Good read!]

Anthem of the day: "Move Trump Get Out the Way"

Turn it up and sing along!


There's a Trump tweet everything, LOL


Vladimir Putin said today about Hillary and Dems: "In my opinion, it is humiliating. One must be able to lose with dignity." So true!

The Election Results Map looks like a sea of blue, if you use population dots.

Let’s get ahead of it: A map of the early 2020 results by population, not acreage

Trump loves that [acreage] map. He has passed it out to visitors, including journalists. He has tweeted it several times, including once with the phrase “Try to impeach this” superimposed across the country’s midsection. The implication was that there was so much red, that he was so popular, that impeachment was impossible.

This is a quadrennial issue in presidential politics. Every four years, we get new election results, and every four years, people start passing around state- or county-level results maps that show a massive sea of red — reflecting Republican strength in expansive, sparsely populated rural areas. New York City occupies a few pixels; Sweetwater County, Wyo., with its 44,000 people, occupies hundreds of times as much real estate. So, every four years, we get a flood of maps reframing the results to emphasize the number of voters supporting each candidate, not the number of acres.You can see Biden’s strength in the Northeast, Southwest and Northwest. But mostly you just see all that red.

One way to fix that is to scale the results by county relative to the number of votes cast. Using Edison Research’s estimates of the total number of votes per county (given the outstanding votes in California in particular), we get a map that looks like this.

So there you go — some results, which will be updated over time as votes are counted. But if you’re looking for a map to hang in your house that accurately conveys a sense of what happened over the short term, we recommend the stippled versions above.

Caravan of Trump supporters disrupted some voters in Temecula: Riverside County Sheriff's Department

A massive caravan of President Trump supporters paraded for 60 miles through Riverside County on Sunday afternoon before converging on a large Temecula sports park, snarling traffic and upsetting some voters, officials there said.

The winding caravan of pickup trucks and other vehicles adorned with pro-Trump signs and American flags began at a Riverside restaurant and sped west along the 91 Freeway and then south on Interstate 15. They had been organized under a Twitter hashtag associated with similar events in other states.

The destination was the Ronald Reagan Sports Park in Temecula, a sprawling community center with soccer fields, a skate park and a voting location. An estimated crowd of roughly 4,000 people crowded the facility about 2 p.m., officials said.

Capt. Zach Hall with the Riverside County Sheriff’s Department said his officers made no arrests but did field a few complaints from intimidated voters — and scrambled to unwind a massive traffic jam in an area where officials weren’t prepared for so many vehicles at once.



Election Protection Hotline: 1-866-OUR-VOTE
If you get intimidated, asked questions about where you're from, your citizenship, polling place closes while you're still in line, etc. CALL & Pull out your camera and get their faces and body on video and send it to the authorities.

Election at Hand, Biden Leads Trump in Four Key States, Poll Shows

Source: NY Times

Joseph R. Biden Jr. holds a clear advantage over President Trump across four of the most important presidential swing states, a new poll shows, bolstered by the support of voters who did not participate in the 2016 election and who now appear to be turning out in large numbers to cast their ballots, mainly for the Democrat.

Mr. Biden, the former vice president, is ahead of Mr. Trump in the Northern battlegrounds of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, as well as in the Sun Belt states of Florida and Arizona, according to a poll of likely voters conducted by The New York Times and Siena College. His strength is most pronounced in Wisconsin, where he has an outright majority of the vote and leads Mr. Trump by 11 points, 52 percent to 41 percent.

Mr. Biden’s performance across the electoral map appears to put him in a stronger position heading into Election Day than any presidential candidate since at least 2008, when in the midst of a global economic crisis Barack Obama captured the White House with 365 Electoral College votes and Mr. Biden at his side.

Mr. Trump’s apparent weakness in many of the country’s largest electoral prizes leaves him with a narrow path to the 270 Electoral College votes required to claim victory, short of a major upset or a systemic error in opinion polling surpassing even the missteps preceding the 2016 election. Should Mr. Biden’s lead hold in three of the four states tested in the survey, it would almost certainly be enough to win, and if he were to carry Florida, he would most likely need to flip just one more large state that Mr. Trump won in 2016 to clinch the presidency.

Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/01/us/politics/biden-trump-poll-florida-pennsylvania-wisconsin.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage


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