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Member since: Fri Apr 4, 2014, 04:21 PM
Number of posts: 16,104

Journal Archives

Fox News Poll: Clinton ahead of Trump after debate...

First, the horserace. Clinton is ahead of Trump by three percentage points: 43-40 percent in the four-way matchup, according to a new Fox News Poll of likely voters. Her advantage is within the poll’s margin of sampling error. Two weeks ago, Clinton was up by one (41-40 percent).

In the two-candidate head-to-head, Clinton tops Trump by five: 49-44 percent. Two weeks ago, Trump was up by one (46-45 percent).

The consequences of the debate, which voters score as a win for Clinton by nearly three-to-one, are even clearer on other measures. Trump’s honesty rating is down, most still say he doesn’t have the right temperament, and over half wouldn’t be comfortable with him as president.

Meanwhile, more voters now see Clinton as honest than Trump, the number who say she has the right temperament is up, and over half think her long tenure in government is a positive. Plus, her support increased among women, non-whites, and younger voters.


At Debate, Hillary Clinton Spoke to Black Voters Using Language of a Movement

Source: New York Times, by Farah Stockman

"When political candidates speak, they are often addressing several audiences at once, and their words can have different meanings for each. When Hillary Clinton talked about race during her debate Monday night against Donald J. Trump, she delivered a subtle and powerful message to black voters, speaking to them not only in the substance of what she said, but in her carefully chosen language."

‘Systemic Racism’

“We’ve got to address the systemic racism in our criminal justice system.”

‘Implicit Bias’

“I think implicit bias is a problem for everyone, not just police. I think, unfortunately, too many of us in our great country jump to conclusions about each other. And therefore, I think we need all of us to be asking hard questions about, you know, why am I feeling this way?”

‘Black Businesses’

“The vibrancy of the black church, the black businesses that employ so many people, the opportunities that so many families are working to provide for their kids. There’s a lot that we should be proud of and we should be supporting and lifting up.”


“He has really started his political activity based on this racist lie that our first black president was not an American citizen. ... He has a long record of engaging in racist behavior.”

Read it at: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/30/us/politics/hillary-clinton-black-voters.html

Hillary Clinton Gets A Big Debate Bounce And Takes The Lead In Florida and North Carolina

New swing state polling from PPP shows that Hillary Clinton got a big debate bounce in swing states, and now leads in North Carolina and Florida.

Source: PoliticusUSA, by Jason Easley

Here are the PPP swing state results:

Voters in each of the swing states also gave Clinton a big debate win:

The connection isn’t difficult to see. Hillary Clinton did really well with the voters in the states that she most had to reach. Trump’s best performance with swing state voters was in Florida where he lost to Clinton by 18 points.

Read it at: http://www.politicususa.com/2016/09/29/hillary-clinton-big-debate-bounce-takes-lead-florida-north-carolina.html

Watch: Tim Tebow hits home run off first pitch in first at-bat

"Do you believe in miracles?"


Deal reached to keep US government running, help Flint

I wonder - did Obama "take one on the chin" (veto override) for the team?

Great news, anyway!

Source: AP, by Andrew Taylor and Alan Fram

Congressional leaders have broken a stalemate over money to address the Flint, Michigan, water crisis, clearing the way Wednesday for a spending bill needed to keep the government running until December. The spending measure also would provide long-delayed money to fight the Zika virus and help Louisiana rebuild from last month's disastrous floods.

House Speaker Paul Ryan said the breakthrough on Flint "will help unlock" the short-term government spending bill, which has been stalled in the Senate.

The deal would avert a potential federal shutdown and comes just three days before the midnight deadline to keep the government open. It caps a lengthy battle over Zika spending, a months' long struggle over Flint, and late pressure to provide flood aid to Louisiana. The politicking and power plays enormously complicated what should have been a routine measure to avoid an election-eve government shutdown.

Democrats argued it's unfair that the water crisis in Flint has gone on for more than a year with no assistance, while Louisiana and other states are getting $500 million for floods that occurred just last month. Democrats have played a strong hand in the negotiations and had leverage because Republicans controlling the House and Senate were eager to avoid a politically harmful shutdown some six weeks to the election.

Read it at: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_CONGRESS_RDP?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2016-09-28-11-26-50

Ezra Klein's observations on Trump's trade/NAFTA debate argument

From: Vox's The press thought Trump’s first 30 minutes were his best. They were his worst.

From the debate, Trump's most "populist" argument:

Our jobs are fleeing the country. They're going to Mexico. They're going to many other countries. You look at what China is doing to our country in terms of making our product. They're devaluing their currency, and there's nobody in our government to fight them. And we have a very good fight. And we have a winning fight. Because they're using our country as a piggy bank to rebuild China, and many other countries are doing the same thing.

So we're losing our good jobs, so many of them. When you look at what's happening in Mexico, a friend of mine who builds plants said it's the eighth wonder of the world. They're building some of the biggest plants anywhere in the world, some of the most sophisticated, some of the best plants. With the United States, as he said, not so much.

On NAFTA and "Hillary's responsibility"?):

Well, he <President Bill Clinton> approved NAFTA. He approved NAFTA, which is the single worst trade deal ever approved in this country.

Now, can we liberal progressives really argue against this "populist" sentiment?

Ezra Klein says, "Hell, yeah! Facts matter!":

To Trump, NAFTA is some kind of original economic sin — a core cause of our current economic troubles. So let’s talk about NAFTA.

Economists disagree as to the exact effects of the treaty, but virtually every paper published on the subject finds the effect on the American economy was small. A review of 11 econometric studies of NAFTA finds effects ranging from a modest reduction in wage growth for blue-collar workers to a 0.17 percent increase in overall American wages.

<Much more on NAFTA at OP link>

On Trump's assertion jobs are "fleeing the country":

It’s a simple fact that none of this is true. Jobs aren’t fleeing the United States. August marked the 78th straight month in which the US economy added jobs — we’re in the single longest streak of private sector job growth in American history. China isn’t devaluing its currency — in fact, it’s propping it up to stop investors from fleeing the country. The biggest plant in the world is being built by Tesla in Fremont, California, and the existing biggest plant in the world is a Boeing factory in Washington state.

And how did the press and M$M analyze all this as a winning argument for Trump?

And so we attempt, peculiarly, to recast ourselves as observers of voter reactions we can’t observe. We judge the debate based not on what we think to be true about it but on what we think the public will think to be true about it. And so we end up asking not whether the candidates made good arguments given what we know to be true but whether they made good arguments given what we imagine voters know to be true. And once you’re in that mindset, a section where Trump sounded good can be a win even if nothing he said made sense — after all, fairly few voters are trade policy or labor market experts.

"A Well-Informed Electorate Is a Prerequisite for Democracy"

Read it all at: http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/9/27/13076848/trump-trade-debate

Fact-checkers wrong about Hillary and her comments on TPP

From the debate:

TRUMP: You called it the gold standard of trade deals. You said it’s the finest deal you’ve ever seen.


TRUMP: And then you heard what I said about it, and all of a sudden you were against it.

CLINTON: Well, Donald, I know you live in your own reality, but that is not the facts. The facts are — I did say I hoped it would be a good deal, but when it was negotiated...


CLINTON: ... which I was not responsible for, I concluded it wasn’t. I wrote about that in my book...

What Hillary factually said about TPP - Remarks at Techport Australia


Australia is also a growing market for growing exports even as we welcome more trade from you. In fact, our exports to Australia jumped more than 40 percent between 2009 and 2011 raising from under 20 billion to more than 27 billion, and in the first nine months of this year, they're up another 20 percent. President Obama set a goal of doubling U.S. exports within five years, and we've seen extraordinary progress in our relationship with Australia.

So it's fair to say that our economies are entwined, and we need to keep upping our game both bilaterally and with partners across the region through agreements like the Trans-Pacific Partnership or TPP. Australia is a critical partner. This TPP sets the gold standard in trade agreements to open free, transparent, fair trade, the kind of environment that has the rule of law and a level playing field. And when negotiated, this agreement will cover 40 percent of the world's total trade and build in strong protections for workers and the environment.

That's key, because we know from experience, and of course research proves it, that respecting workers' rights leads to positive long-term economic outcomes, better jobs with higher wages and safer working conditions. And including everybody in that, those who have been previously left out of the formal economy will help build a strong middle class, not only here in Australia or in our country, but across Asia. And that will be good for us.

If we do this right, and that's what we're trying to do, then globalization, which is inevitable, can become a race to the top with rising standards of living and more broadly shared prosperity. Now, this is what I call jobs diplomacy, and that's what I've been focused on in part as Secretary of State. And that's one of the reasons that I wanted to come here to Adelaide and come to this impressive facility.


When Trump tweets a one-sentence statement like, "The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive," that is a fact regarding what he said.

Parsing a portion of a sentence in a lengthy speech does not prove a fact - which is a shame on the fact-checkers!

LSU at Auburn Day 2 - Les Miles fired and tree burns!

More proof that SEC Football is hardcore!

Top candidates to replace Les Miles at LSU

LSU shocked the college football world on Sunday after reports surfaced that long-time coach Les Miles had been fired following the Tigers' loss to SEC West rival Auburn.

And now that Toomer's Corner trees are getting rolled again - after the new trees have become strong enough after Alabama fan poisoned and killed the old trees in 2011, this happens!

Investigators said they killed for ISIS. But were they different from ‘regular’ mass killers?

Source: Washington Post, by Abigail Hauslohner, Joel Achenbach, Ellen Nakashima

For years, FBI officials and other national security experts have said that apparent lone wolves such as Adan and Ahmad Khan Rahami, charged in last weekend’s New York bombing, have no discernible profile that could be used to head off terrorist acts. But some counterterrorism experts who studied attackers motivated by jihadist ideology say they often exhibit traits similar to those of non-Muslim mass killers who have attacked schools, churches and workplaces.

“They share common behavioral and psychological characteristics,” said John Cohen, a criminal justice professor at Rutgers University and the former counterterrorism coordinator at the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. “They’re the same people.”

Many studies of mass killers show that they had serious personal or psychological issues, regardless of their motives or religious identity. They bounced from job to job, struggled to find friends or romantic partners, or felt bullied by their peers. Some had traumatic home lives. Others struggled with a profound sense of shame.

Awareness of these shared traits could help focus FBI questioning of certain young men who already have come to the attention of law enforcement, these experts say.


Read it at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/investigators-said-they-killed-for-isis-but-were-they-different-from-regular-mass-killers/2016/09/23/0e97949a-80c2-11e6-b002-307601806392_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-more-top-stories_killers-845pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory

10-year-old student arrested in Montgomery creepy clown threats

ISIS my big butt! We got bigger problems in the heartland!

WSFA in Montgomery

MONTGOMERY, AL (WSFA) - A 10-year-old student was arrested Wednesday in connection with the recent 'creepy clown threats' on a number of Montgomery public schools. The juvenile was arrested at an area elementary school and charged with one count of terroristic threats, according to Montgomery Police.

The announcement was made Thursday morning during a briefing to the press, where Montgomery Police Chief Ernest Finley said, "A child got caught up in the hype. We hope that, at the end of the day, when they go through the juvenile judicial process, that there is some help for that child."

The arrest was made with the cooperation of Montgomery Public Schools as well as the parent of the 10-year-old.

Montgomery Mayor Todd Strange reiterated that "There is no creepy clown. It is a phenomenon of social media and the internet. For the parents and adults, we just need to monitor our young ones' actions as far as these electronic devices."

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