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tgards79

Profile Information

Member since: Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 1,342

About Me

My blog: http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/

Journal Archives

BTRTN: Sorry, Trump's Approval Rating is Not Declining; But Kavanaugh's is Dropping Like a Stone

Trump is flat, flat, flat, Kavanaugh down, down, down
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/09/sorry-trumps-approval-rating-is-not.html

Question: Can Flake Take Down Kavanaugh in Committee?

Does anyone know if the Senate Judiciary Committee has to recommend favorably for Kavanaugh for it to go to the full Senate, or not? That is, if Flake (who is a member of the Committee) votes against, as did all the Dems, would it stop there by virtue of an 11-10 "against" vote? Or could it still proceed to the full Senate despite such a committee vote? Thank you.

From JULY 1: BTRTN: How the GOP Vision of Conservative Supreme Court Dominance Could Fall Apart

Looking mighty prescient now:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/07/how-gop-vision-of-conservative-supreme.html

"There is little the Democrats can do to prevent this from happening. But that does not mean this path does not face obstacles that could derail it – perhaps quickly. Let’s take a look at the many ways the GOP dream could still unravel.

The Fumble

The first hurdle is to nominate a candidate without a blemish, one who can actually make it through the confirmation process. Finding nick-free nominees is surprisingly difficult, and modern GOP presidents are particularly bad at it..."

From JULY 1: BTRTN: How the GOP Vision of Conservative Supreme Court Dominance Could Fall Apart

Looking mighty prescient now:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/07/how-gop-vision-of-conservative-supreme.html

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Split Decision Highly Likely with 46 Days To Go

Detailed analysis of the current state of play of the mid-terms, election by election:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/09/btrtn-senate-and-house-mid-term.html

"These have been an enormously consequential last 30 days in American politics, and not a good one for Donald Trump and the GOP. We have witnessed the Manafort and Cohen convictions, the Bob Woodward book and the anonymous New York Times op-ed, and now the uproar over the Brett Kavanaugh nomination to the Supreme Court. Each has rocketed some horrific aspect of the Trump presidency – the corruption, dysfunction, the assault on women – to daily headline status. An already wretched electoral environment for the GOP in the mid-terms has unarguably gotten worse.

And yet, there has been little material change in the prospects for November outcomes. Since our last “snapshot” a month ago, the headline..."

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Split Decision Highly Likely with 46 Days To Go

Detailed analysis of the current state of play of the mid-terms, election by election:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/09/btrtn-senate-and-house-mid-term.html

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Split Decision Highly Likely with 46 Days To Go

Detailed analysis of the current state of play of the mid-terms, election by election:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/09/btrtn-senate-and-house-mid-term.html

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Still a Split Decision

BTRTN’s latest on the race for control of Congress, complete with the odds of a Dem takeover of the House, and of the Senate:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-senate-house-mid-term-snapshot.html

"The headline of our latest mid-term “snapshot” is that the basic dynamic remains the same: the Democrats have an excellent chance to take over the House in November, and an outside chance to do the same in the Senate.

We have new proprietary BTRTN models that calculate the odds of the Democrats taking over each branch of Congress. These odds will be updated frequently and sit atop our “right hand column” (as you can see). If Election Day were today – and it is important to note this is not a prediction, just a snapshot of where things stand -- here are the latest odds of the Democrats taking over the House and the Senate in the 2018 mid-terms..."

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Still a Split Decision

BTRTN’s latest on the race for control of Congress, complete with the odds of a Dem takeover of the House, and of the Senate:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-senate-house-mid-term-snapshot.html

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Still a Split Decision

BTRTN’s latest on the race for control of Congress, complete with the odds of a Dem takeover of the House, and of the Senate:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-senate-house-mid-term-snapshot.html
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