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tgards79

Profile Information

Member since: Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 1,308

About Me

My blog: http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/

Journal Archives

Obama Thwarts the Boehner/McConnell "New American Congress" Before it Begins

Look who is in a box now:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/12/november-month-in-review-obama-thwarts.html

Two Must Read Articles

One on racism and the other on the threat to Obamacare:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/two-must-read-articles.html

A First Look at the 2016 Senate Map - A Tougher Take Back For the Dems Than You Might Think

An early review, state-by-state:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/2016-senate-democratic-take-back-is.html

Americans Satisfied With Health Care System

From Gallup:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/americans-satisfied-with-health-care.html

Lame Ducks, Wingnuts and the Run-Up to 2016

Lame duck, yes. Inconsequential, no:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/october-and-early-november-month-in.html

How Did I Do?

A forecaster's Election 2014 report card:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/grading-btrtn-election-projections-how.html

Obamacare, A Love Story: Our 2015 Premium is Declining Mightily

Our happy experience with the ACA: "broken promises" and lower costs....
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/obamacare-love-story-our-2015-premium.html

Debacle...

How the evening went from a forecasters point of view:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/debacle.html

What to look for tonight

Look for North Carolina (polls close 7:30 EST) and New Hampshire (8:00). If the Dems lose them, or even one of them, there is no chance to hold the Senate. All races here:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/final-election-2014-projections-for.html

The Path to the Democrats Holding the Senate

Win New Hampshire, North Carolina, Alaska and Kansas.
Lose Iowa and Colorado.
That makes it 49-49.
Then fight like hell to win one runoff, Louisiana or Georgia.
See this:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2014/11/final-election-2014-projections-for.html
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