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tgards79

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Member since: Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 1,308

About Me

My blog: http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/

Journal Archives

Why Can't Schiff Simply Paraphrase the Dem Memo Out Loud?

When the Nunes memo is released, Schiff is surely going to make a public statement about it and answer questions from reporters. Presumably his statement and his answers will reflect heavily on the Democratic paper that cannot be released due to the vote of the committee. But what prevents Schiff from more or less reading the paper aloud? Or simply listing its major points? (Of course, it may just get conveniently leaked.)

BTRTN SaturData Review: Shutdowns, Showdowns and Flashpoints

Who won the shutdown?
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/tomwith-saturdata-review-which-updates.html

"There is a growing sense, however, that something is going to come to a head, some catalyst that could jolt the political dynamic. The obvious candidate is the next legislative showdown over the spending bill and immigration on February 8, when the stakes are even higher. The first positions staked out in this next round of battle are hardly encouraging for a swift resolution – the Trump Administration tossed the sprig of “a path to citizenship” for undocumented immigrants on top of a full plate of hard-line immigration policies that one Democratic consultant labeled “a white supremacist wish list.” And Schumer pulled back on Wall funding as a negotiating chip, and thus, with both actions, we are back to the proverbial square one.

But other ominous “somethings” are afoot as well, notably..."

BTRTN SaturData Review: Shutdowns, Showdowns and Flashpoints

Who won the shutdown?
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/tomwith-saturdata-review-which-updates.html

BTRTN: On the Women's March: You May Say I'm a Dreamer, But I'm Not the Only One

Notes from the Women's March in NYC:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/btrtn-on-womens-march-you-may-say-im.html

"My overwhelming takeaway was that this massive crowd of marchers was a political machine putting itself through its paces in readiness for a war this November. The shot has been fired across the bow in this past year, in national elections from Virginia and New Jersey to Alabama; a number of Congressional special elections where Democrats challenged mightily in races won by the GOP in 2016 by 20+ points; in state legislature races in Virginia and Washington; and in local races like the one for County Executive in my home of Westchester County, New York, in which the GOP incumbent, who won by +8 in 2013, was crushed by +17 by his Democratic challenger in 2017, the victim of a steamroller driven by members of our local Indivisible organization..."

BTRTN: On the Women's March: You May Say I'm a Dreamer, But I'm Not the Only One

Notes from the Women's March in NYC:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/btrtn-on-womens-march-you-may-say-im.html

BTRTN SaturData Review: On S---holes and Shutdowns

The "Fire and Fury" and "shithole" flaps do not appear to have damaged Trump too much in the short term, but the shutdown is more than just "bad words"...
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/btrtn-saturdata-review-on-s-holes-and.html

"Now we see who wins the blame game – the polls (and common sense) seem to indicate that the GOP will take the brunt of it, since they control the government. Trump’s video from 2013, in which he holds Obama personally accountable (as the occupant of the Oval Office) for the last shutdown, has been replayed endlessly. A CNN poll held that roughly half the electorate says the GOP and the President will be blamed, 30% the Democrats, 10% “all of them” (and 10% no answer). Next week we will see the impacts on the approval ratings and the generic ballot.

As expected, Donald Trump’s “shithole” comments from a week ago Thursday (Jan 11) did little to his approval rating, which dropped merely a single point to 41%. The outrage over the comments extended almost a full week, as it intermingled with the government shutdown/spending bill/DACA/CHIP phantasmagoria. GOP..."

BTRTN SaturData Review: On S---holes and Shutdowns

The "Fire and Fury" and "shithole" flaps do not appear to have damaged Trump too much in the short term, but the shutdown is more than just "bad words"...
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/btrtn-saturdata-review-on-s-holes-and.html

BTRTN: On Gerrymandering

The numbers folks at BTRTN explain the latest in the gerrymandering battles, with words, numbers and maps. And even a few laughs, mostly at the expense of the perpetrators.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/btrtn-on-gerrymandering.html

"But the North Carolinians made it easy on the courts. In what amounts to an admission of guilt, North Carolina redistricting chief Rep. David Lewis stated the following: "I think electing Republicans is better than electing Democrats. So I drew this map to help foster what I think is better for the country." And when asked why he drew the map with the goal of the GOP winning 10 of the state’s 13 districts – obviously unbalanced in this true "battleground" state -- Lewis said "because I do not believe it's possible to draw a map with 11 Republicans and two Democrats." Willy Sutton could not have given a more direct and damning reply. (Sutton is the gentleman who, when asked why he robbed banks for a living, said with disarming clarity "because that's where the money is."

Let’s illustrate this “invidious partisanship” with some numbers and maps. The chart below shows that, overall (the purple line), in North Carolina the GOP totaled 2.4 million statewide votes across 13 elections for the House in 2016, while the Dems garnered 2.1 million votes, a relatively close 53% to 47% margin. Had House seats been apportioned simply on this overall vote, the GOP would have earned seven seats to the Democrats’ six. But because the map was drawn so cleverly, to maximize each GOP vote and minimize each Dem vote, those Dem votes were largely shoved into three districts, the 1st, 4th and 12th, where the Dems won handily, siphoning off votes from the other districts, which the GOP won, also handily..."

BTRTN: On Gerrymandering

The numbers folks at BTRTN explain the latest in the gerrymandering battles, with words, numbers and maps. And even a few laughs, mostly at the expense of the perpetrators.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/01/btrtn-on-gerrymandering.html

What Have We Come To When US Senators Cannot Agree on What Was Said in the Oval Office

This was an important meeting; Trump either said (Durbin and Graham) or did not say (Perdue and Cotton) vicious, racist comments like "shithole" that would be impossible to mistake or forget. Everyone in that room needs to speak up.
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