November 29, 2018

Bump stock ban is finalized, banned from sale and 90 days to surrender

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2018/11/28/politics/final-bump-stock-ban/index.html

My worry is that this too good, especially from Trump.

By executive order and with no compensation offered, I am wondering if this is intentional to try and set up a quick Supreme Court ruling overturn a lot of existing laws now that they have their right wing majority firmly in place on the SCOTUS.

November 7, 2018

Anyone have updates on where Tester's race stands?

Is the 16% outstanding absentee votes or just precincts which couldn't report last night for some reason?

If it's the latter, I think Tester survives easily. If it's the former I'll be nervous as absentee usually older voters who trend more conservative

Can't seem to find any info on when we might know this one

November 7, 2018

please ignore 538, their model is spazzing. Try the NYT

The NYT site is easy to use and their predictor factors in where votes are outstanding, not just what is in so far

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-house-elections.html

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-house-forecast.html

they don't seem to have enough results for the latter to be running yet

October 31, 2018

Montana Senate just got tighter, libertarian candidate withdraws and endorses Republican

https://www.yahoo.com/news/libertarian-backs-republican-tight-montana-senate-race-180339933--election.html

Nate Silver's adjusted lead on the last to polls were 4 and 6 percent with a tightening trend. This will probably give Rosendale an extra 1-2%

October 5, 2018

Collins to announce her voting intention at 3pm today from Senate floor

https://www.newscentermaine.com/mobile/article/news/local/sen-susan-collins-will-announce-her-vote-on-kavanaugh-today/97-601146413

Not sure what to make of this, I really didn't expect her to hint at anything before the vote. Perhaps her principles won out and she is making a speech to push the other fence sitters to vote No?