+1 improvement over their previous poll

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/11/07/final-economistyougov-poll-shows-clinton-4-point-n/

Clinton’s edge in the Post-ABC poll does not reach statistical significance given the poll’s 2.5 percentage-point margin in sampling error around each candidate’s support, although a lead of this size would be a comfortable margin on Election Day. The 47 to 43 percent margin is identical to her edge in the previous four-day wave as well as a mid-October Post-ABC poll. Her margin is also the same size as Barack Obama’s winning margin against Mitt Romney in 2012, 51 to 47 percent. The final Post-ABC Tracking Poll that year found Obama at 50 percent and Romney at 47 percent.

...


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/07/post-abc-tracking-poll-clinton-47-trump-43-on-election-eve/

Nate bags 'em (this is poll-plus forecast)



You have to look at their cross-tabs. 26% of blacks voting for Trump, 41% of Hispanics.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B4lhKxf9pMitUTc5eVFiWERJRFE/view

They are so predictable.

Of note, however...


"Among those who say they have already voted, Clinton leads 53% to 37%. Johnson earns three percent (3%) and Stein one percent (1%). "

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_nov7

MN +10, OH -3, GA -1, SC -2 - rest at link.

https://www.surveymonkey.com/elections/map?poll=sm-lv-cpsplus

All of these are the same on an improvement for Hillary over the previous SM polls, so this is a good trend.

All but one have the same lead or better than the previous version of this poll out Oct 30.

The one that is worse by 1 point is in Virginia, not an iffy state.

In addition, the polling dates are a few days old: Nov 1-2.

Thus these actually improved Hillary's odds by 0.8% and turned Nevada slightly blue on 538 (50.1%).