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Member since: Sun Apr 26, 2015, 11:58 PM
Number of posts: 8,161

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Poll: Clinton holds a 6-point lead in Pa.

A new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with a 6-point lead among likely Pennsylvania voters, who also expressed some concerns about potential violence as the tense and tumultuous election draws to a close.

The results are similar to a poll conducted two weeks earlier , indicating little to no shift in public opinion after the recent FBI announcement that it was reviewing a new set of emails linked to Clinton, said Chris Borick, director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion.

The statewide survey — conducted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 4 with 405 likely Pennsylvania voters and with a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points — shows Clinton with support from 48 percent and Trump with the backing of 42 percent in a head-to-head matchup.

When third-party candidates are included, Clinton's lead narrows to 4 points. She drew 44 percent, with Trump at 40 percent, Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.




A-rated pollster on 538 if that matters.

What's worse?

What’s worse?

Having a potentially unsafe email server or conspiring with Russia/Wikileaks to hack US interests in an attempt to swing the election in your favor?

Having a potentially unsafe email server or having Rudy Giuliani and the FBI conspiring to illegally influence an election? (If this happened in another country, we’d call it a coup.)

Having a husband who was accused sexual misconduct (and never brought to trial) 25 years ago, or being the candidate who bragged about molesting women, and then learning that those women do indeed exist?

Having a husband who was accused of sexual misconduct (and never brought to trial) 25 years ago, or being the candidate who will be standing trial for child rape after the election?

Increasing taxes on millionaires or cutting taxes for his millionaire buddies that will increase the deficit 8x more than her plan?

Someone who gets paid for giving speeches, or someone who creates a fake university to rip people off and is going to trial this fall for fraud (oh, and says the judge is not qualified to adjudicate his fraud trial because his parents are “Mexican”.)

Accusing illegal immigrants of being criminals, or having a wife who is, in reality, a criminal for working here illegally as an immigrant?

A multi-millionaire who sleazed out of paying taxes for 20 years (1st candidate in modern history not to release tax returns) while making fun of people who do pay taxes, or releasing 20 years of taxes with no issues to worry about?

A candidate who seems eager to use nuclear weapons (if, say, a dictator insults his “small hands”), or one who has experience as a tough diplomat and who’s afraid of nothing?

Supporting handicapped people or making fun of handicapped people?

Celebrating your supporters of all faiths/religions or insulting a man of faith whose son died in service to our country (just because he wasn’t from a religion that you “approve” of)?

“Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free” or “fuck it - kick ‘em all out”?

Supporting people of all colors at your rallies or calling one of your black supporters a “thug”?

Supporting people of all faiths at your rallies or having the support of the KKK and having people at your rallies shouting “Jew S A” (USA)? Does this remind you of anything from your history books?

Exaggerating about sniper fire in Bosnia or saying he knows “more about Isis than the generals” (Isis is currently being pushed out of their Capital city of Mosul as I type this)?

9/11 or “Benghazi”?


My arguments to those R's you know who may be susceptible to changing their mind.

Ipsos A- Rated Oct28-Nov3: NH +6, NV +6, WI +7, CO +5, FL +1, PA +4, VA +7, OH +1, IA +1, NC -1

Not bad.


(that website is horrible IMO)

5 A-rated National polls just posted H+1, +2, +4, +5, +8

Edit - the dipshit at 538 keypunched wrong - numbers fixed. Yes, they put in that +8 Ipsos poll that I posted yesterday.

Ipsos/Reuters National Poll Oct29-Nov2 - Hillary +8

I hate to use an RCP link, but I can't find another: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/2016_Reuters_Tracking_-_Core_Political_11.03_.16_.pdf

Gravis R-leaning pollster H+3 in FL, only H+1 in PA tho?

Ipsos State polls are out NH +6, NV +12, WI +9, CO +8, FL Tie, PA +3, VA +6, OH Tie,

NC -2, MI +2


As expected, these polls looking good to us laymen, Nate lowered her odds by 0.5%. Lol. I take that back, increased by 0.5% - there was an error on his site?

Some Auto Alliance polls + Magellan for CO

Not a great rated pollster, not bad results I guess.

**Ispos National Poll Oct28-Nov1 Hillary +7**

According to Nate @ 538, 11 of the top 13 Florida pollsters has a Democratic bias

The only 2 that don't give Trump points are known Republican pollsters (Remington and Gravis)

Just seems odd to me.
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