Born To Run The Numbers offers a plan that navigates the internecine battle between Democrats who want to impeach now, and Nancy Pelosi, who resists impeachment but is unclear about if, when, and why she might change her mind:

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2019/05/btrtn-do-dems-dare-to-impeach-nancy.html

Excerpts:
"What is perhaps most unsettling to Democrats who favor impeachment is that Pelosi’s specific game plan is unclear, other than for vague references to allowing the legal processes to play out. Impatient Democrats think that Pelosi is playing into Trump’s hand in a different way. By failing to impeach, she is allowing him to 'play out the clock,' allowing Dem subpoenas to be gummed up in the court system until election day...
"Instead of trying to wound Trump with a thousand needle pricks as dozens of cases work through lower courts, Pelosi should pick a small number of cases that most clearly illustrate 'obstruction of oversight,' and demand an immediate, expedited review by the Supreme Court...
"We’d submit that there are the two cases that are most threatening to Donald Trump: the Congressional demand that the IRS release his taxes to a House committee and the subpoena requiring former White House Counsel Don McGahn to testify in public...
"If Roberts were to tip the court’s rulings in favor of the Congress, Trump would be faced with a momentous choice: does he release his taxes and allow McGahn to testify, or does he raise the stakes even further and openly defy the Supreme Court?"

Born To Run The Numbers offers a plan that navigates the internecine battle between Democrats who want to impeach now, and Nancy Pelosi, who resist impeachment but is unclear about if, when, and why she might change her mind:

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2019/05/btrtn-do-dems-dare-to-impeach-nancy.html

Excerpts:
"What is perhaps most unsettling to Democrats who favor impeachment is that Pelosi’s specific game plan is unclear, other than for vague references to allowing the legal processes to play out. Impatient Democrats think that Pelosi is playing into Trump’s hand in a different way. By failing to impeach, she is allowing him to 'play out the clock,' allowing Dem subpoenas to be gummed up in the court system until election day...
"Instead of trying to wound Trump with a thousand needle pricks as dozens of cases work through lower courts, Pelosi should pick a small number of cases that most clearly illustrate 'obstruction of oversight,' and demand an immediate, expedited review by the Supreme Court...
"We’d submit that there are the two cases that are most threatening to Donald Trump: the Congressional demand that the IRS release his taxes to a House committee and the subpoena requiring former White House Counsel Don McGahn to testify in public...
"If Roberts were to tip the court’s rulings in favor of the Congress, Trump would be faced with a momentous choice: does he release his taxes and allow McGahn to testify, or does he raise the stakes even further and openly defy the Supreme Court?"

Born To Run The Numbers provides its latest monthly quantitative and qualitative synopsis of the 2020 race for the White House. The big news: Joe Biden comes out strong, and has the numbers to show for it.

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2019/05/btrtn-2020-vision-joe-biden-enters-race.html

Excerpts:"The first few weeks of Joe Biden’s long-awaited 2020 campaign were always going to be utterly crucial to his prospects. Out of the spotlight for some time, would the 76-year-old look too frail or aged to potential voters? Long a poor fundraiser, with neither big-time Wall Street connections nor a small money Main Street online donor network, would he disappoint with his initial numbers? And would he resume his persona as the 'Gaffing Groper' on the campaign trail, master of 20th century retail politics but woefully out of touch with 21st century sensibilities? No, no and no. Joe Biden has passed the early tests of his candidacy – demonstrating vitality, clout and adaptability -- and has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the Democratic sweepstakes, dominating a swelling field that now numbers 23, and may still be growing...
"Unlike any of the other candidates, Biden made it clear he was running against Trump, invoking Charlottesville and ignoring the Democratic field. Suddenly Democrats were reminded that while progressives have been the loudest voices within the party of late, clamoring for change, the dominant voting bloc remains more mainstream centrists...
"Biden’s strong start sets up a far different dynamic than was anticipated. Essentially it is Biden’s nomination until he stumbles, and he will continue to run against Trump until (and unless) he has to address a real challenge. Trump is helping carry Biden’s water considerably, tweeting (or re-tweeting) about Biden in a frenzy after the launch, clearly reflecting of the Trumpian view that Biden is the only real threat he faces..."

Born To Run The Numbers on the Barr, Hannity, and why Bernie Sanders was brilliant to do a town hall on Fox News.

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2019/05/btrtn-crazy-like-fox-dems-should-follow.html

Excerpts:
"When Bernie Sanders went on Fox, he ventured across the 38th parallel of cable news and spoke to the isolated and programmed North Hannity-ites on the other side, who finally may have discovered that Democrats were not the 'hate and hysteria' people that Dear Leader claims them to be... Bernie did well. He deftly used humor to defuse tension, and his Fox hosts were stunned by positive reactions among the town hall participants to Bernie’s ideas about government-sponsored healthcare...
"Most important, Bernie Sanders's gamble on Fox helps illuminate an essential truth. The ferocious loyalty of Donald Trump's base is the fuel for his assault on our democracy. As long as he exerts his mind-control over these people, cowardly Republican Senators are terrified of taking Trump on. As long as the base controls those Senators, Trump knows he can't be impeached. If he can't be impeached, he feels emboldened to trample our Constitution and our institutions of government to preserve his power and further cloak his history of illegal activity. By eroding, weakening, and crushing those institutional checks on executive power, Trump is ever more able to limit oversight, obstructing justice in an entirely new way.
"The Democrats should be offering to do ten debates on Fox. Can you imagine what might happen if Democrats had three hours on Fox Prime time once a week? How much they could discuss the realities of what has happened under Donald Trump’s leadership? To point out the lies, the deceits, and the many ways in which Donald Trump’s policies are actually hurting the people who are voting for him?"

Born to Run the Numbers on a dizzying month of April, in which AG Barr made every effort to smother the Mueller Report... only to discover that it will morph, multiply, and continue to haunt the Trump White House.

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2019/05/btrtn-april-2019-month-in-review.html

Excerpts: "The Mueller report was finally released on April 18, redacted in part and preceded by another volley from Trump’s ever-spinning personal attorney, oops, that is, Attorney General William Barr. The man charged with representing U.S. citizens and protecting the laws of the land held a press conference in advance of the release, and continued the self-demolition job on his own reputation earned across decades in Washington. And thus began the sequel, or sequels, to the Mueller Report. One can count at least six different tracks that the release has spawned, all of which will play out in the coming months as we careen towards 2020.
"On obstruction of justice, Mueller was far more damning. While he declined to charge Trump with obstruction -- in accordance with Department of Justice guidelines the preclude indicting a sitting president – Volume II of the report left a trail of bread crumbs worthy of an entire Pepperidge Farm factory for Congress to pursue the case on its own. He pointedly concluded that he did have the ability to exonerate Trump from obstruction charges -- but could not do so given the evidence. But he did not have the power to indict, so he left that to Congress, and provided them with a boatload of evidence...
"Perhaps the most consequential statement in the entire report was this:'The President's efforts to influence the investigation were mostly unsuccessful, but that is largely because the persons who surrounded the President declined to carry out orders or accede to his request.' Obviously Mueller believed Trump himself had attempted to obstruct justice repeatedly, and was a least partially successful. Thus began the Mueller mutation, with at least six different new tracks to follow from here..."

Born to Run the Numbers on a dizzying month of April, in which AG Barr made every effort to smother the Mueller Report... only to discover that it will morph, multiply, and continue to haunt the Trump White House.

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2019/05/btrtn-april-2019-month-in-review.html

Excerpts: "The Mueller report was finally released on April 18, redacted in part and preceded by another volley from Trump’s ever-spinning personal attorney, oops, that is, Attorney General William Barr. The man charged with representing U.S. citizens and protecting the laws of the land held a press conference in advance of the release, and continued the self-demolition job on his own reputation earned across decades in Washington. And thus began the sequel, or sequels, to the Mueller Report. One can count at least six different tracks that the release has spawned, all of which will play out in the coming months as we careen towards 2020.
"On obstruction of justice, Mueller was far more damning. While he declined to charge Trump with obstruction -- in accordance with Department of Justice guidelines the preclude indicting a sitting president – Volume II of the report left a trail of bread crumbs worthy of an entire Pepperidge Farm factory for Congress to pursue the case on its own. He pointedly concluded that he did have the ability to exonerate Trump from obstruction charges -- but could not do so given the evidence. But he did not have the power to indict, so he left that to Congress, and provided them with a boatload of evidence...
"Perhaps the most consequential statement in the entire report was this:'The President's efforts to influence the investigation were mostly unsuccessful, but that is largely because the persons who surrounded the President declined to carry out orders or accede to his request.' Obviously Mueller believed Trump himself had attempted to obstruct justice repeatedly, and was a least partially successful. Thus began the Mueller mutation, with at least six different new tracks to follow from here..."