clutterbox1830
clutterbox1830's JournalDaily Weather Update (9/17). Hurricane, Typhoon, Tropical Storm projections - No way Jose!
A thread about the latest on world weather and Hurricane/Typhoon/TS status and projections as of 9/17. You can check the storm projections yourself with the following link:
https://www.windy.com
ECMWF (aka European Model)
GFS (aka American Model)
http://www.cnn.com/videos/weather/2017/09/08/the-differences-between-weather-forecast-models-orig-tc.cnn
Hurricane Jose
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-jose-forecast-atlantic-us-east-coast
Jose, a Category 1 hurricane in the western Atlantic, will continue to produce dangerous high surf and rip currents as it moves parallel to the Eastern Seaboard in the upcoming week.
As of right now, both models has this storm doing a second "loopy-loop" off the US Atlantic coast. Both models also show this storm closer to the US than the previous day. The models differs on where/when this will occur. The European model projects that this maneuver will occur on Wednesday and just south of long island. The American model projects that this maneuver later in the next and further off the coast. In either case, expect high rip currents and possible flood near the New Jersey shorelines and the surrounding states.
https://www.windy.com/?2017-09-20-09,40.405,-80.035,5
Tropical Storm Maria
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-maria-lesser-antilles
Atmospheric conditions are favorable for Maria to strengthen, and it could become a hurricane as early as Sunday. Maria could then grow into a dangerous major hurricane (Category 3 or stronger) as it passes through the northeast Caribbean Islands by midweek due to a combination of low wind shear, a moist atmosphere and warm ocean temperatures.
?v=ap&w=1280&h=720&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0
The latest projections from by the European model do not look promising. This storm is expected to hit the eastern Caribbean islands late on Mondays. It will continue drift towards the island of Dominican Republican and towards the US afterwards.
Other parts of the world outside the US.
Typhoon Talim
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-17/typhoon-talim-triggers-evacuations-in-japan-amid-record-rainfall
https://scroll.in/latest/850942/japan-typhoon-talim-grounds-over-800-flights-leaves-1400-homes-without-electricity
Typhoon Talim made landfall on Japan’s Kyushu island Sunday, spurring authorities to call for the evacuation of tens of thousands of residents amid record rainfalls measured in some areas.
Typhoon Talim had made landfall at Minami-Kyushu around 11.30 am local time (8 am Indian time) packing winds with a speed of up to 162 kilometres an hour. After the landfall, it was downgraded to a storm.
Tropical Storm Norma
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/tropical-storm-warning-los-cabos-due-hurricane-norma-49893074
Norma was 185 miles (300 kilometers) south of Cabo San Lucas and moving north at 5 mph (7 kph) late Saturday night, with forecasters saying it could approach waters southwest of the peninsula late Sunday or early Monday.
Weather Update (9/16). Hurricane, Typhoon, Tropical Storms projection
A thread about the latest on world weather and Hurricane/Typhoon/TS status and projections as of 9/15. You can check the storm projections yourself with the following link:
https://www.windy.com
ECMWF aka European Model
GFS aka American Model
Hurricane Jose
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-jose-forecast-atlantic-us-east-coast
Jose, a Category 1 hurricane in the western Atlantic, will produce dangerous high surf and rip currents as it nears the Eastern Seaboard in the upcoming week. Winds as high as tropical storm force are possible from North Carolina northward...
At this time, the majority of forecast guidance still shows Jose curling north, then northeast sufficiently to the east of the U.S. East Coast to avoid direct inland impacts.
This is a very slow moving storm as it drift up the NE coast. As it moves North-eastward expect this storm to move back to Tropical Storm status. As of right now, projections has this storm grazing the eastern islands of Ma. The European and American model differ on the long term forecast of this storm.
Tropical Storm Maria
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-maria-lesser-antilles
Tropical Storm Maria is expected to move in a more west-northwestward direction over the next few days and may approach the Leeward Islands late Monday.
This storm is expected to be upgraded to a Hurricane level status. It projected to hit the already beaten down Eastern Caribbean islands. The European and American models differ on the long projections of this storm, but expect the storm to drift closer to the US.
Other parts of the world outside the US.
Typhoon Talim
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asia-storm-japan/weakening-typhoon-talim-brings-heavy-rain-to-southwestern-japan-idUSKCN1BR05M
Southwestern parts of Japan were bracing on Saturday for further heavy rain and high winds as Typhoon Talim moved closer to the country’s main islands...The typhoon has weakened to tropical storm strength, according to international storm forecaster
Typhoon Doksuri
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asia-storm-vietnam/typhoon-tears-across-vietnam-skirting-key-coffee-region-idUSKCN1BQ0EN
A typhoon tore a destructive path across central Vietnam on Friday, flooding hundreds of thousands of homes, whipping off roofs and knocking out power in the country’s most powerful storm in years...Four people were killed, more than 5,000 houses were submerged, 19 collapsed and nearly 24,000 houses in Ha Tinh, Quang Tri and Thua Thien-Hue provinces were damaged, the disaster agency said in a report.
Tropical Storm Norma
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-storm-norma-warning/tropical-storm-warning-issued-for-southern-baja-california-idUSKCN1BR088
A tropical storm warning was issued on Saturday for the southern Baja California peninsula as Hurricane Norma churns in the Pacific Ocean, the National Hurricane Center said...According to the NHC forecasts, Norma could hit southern parts of Baja California near to its popular tourist resorts by Monday
Weather Update (9/15). Hurricane, Typhoon, Tropical Storms projections
A thread about the latest on world weather and Hurricane/Typhoon/TS status and projections as of 9/15. You can check the storm projections yourself with the following link:
https://www.windy.com
Tropical Storm Jose
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-jose-forecast-atlantic
Tropical Storm Jose, meandering the past few days in the Bermuda Triangle, will be an increasing high surf generator, and a close brush with the U.S. East Coast cannot yet be ruled out next week. Jose could be a life-threatening rip current risk as it near the eastern seaboard next week.
http://www.cnn.com/2017/09/14/us/hurricane-tropical-storm-jose-forecast/index.html
TS Jose projection has now shifted closer to the US and will strengthen back to Hurricane Cat 1 status. It is still possible this storm may hit NYC or NE area as a Tropical Storm/Depression.
Unnamed Storm
http://www.wmbfnews.com/story/36373099/first-alert-tropical-storm-lee-forms-off-african-coast
Tropical Depression 14 formed in the Atlantic overnight ...the NHC estimates its chances of becoming our next named storm are 80%
If named, "Tropical Storm Lee", is headed to the Caribbeans. It is unknown at this time the future strength of this storm until later this weekend.
Other parts of the world outside the US.
https://weather.com/storms/typhoon/news/tropical-storm-typhoon-talim-taiwan-china
Typhoon Talim
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/talim-to-strike-taiwan-eastern-china-with-damaging-winds-and-flooding/70002697
Talim is forecast to approach Kyushu as typhoon with winds equivalent to a Category 1 hurricane in the Atlantic...Luckily, Talim will weaken more quickly once interacting with the mountainous terrain over southern Japan. This will bring a rapid decrease in damaging wind speeds. However, despite weakening, Talim will still bring a dose of heavy, tropical rainfall.
This storm hit Taiwan and mainland China equivalent to a TS. It is now battering Japanese southern islands and it's headed for mainland Japan. Note, there has been wildly inaccurate reports on the strength of this storm. It's likely this storm will be equivalent to Cat 1 or Cat 2 as it approaches mainland Japan.
Typhoon Doksuri
http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2017/09/15/flash-floods-drown-penang-as-doksuri-lashes/
Weather forecasters said the heavy rain is likely an effect of Typhoon Doksuri near Vietnam, which has displaced some 100,000 people so far.
Landfall on the Coast of Vietnam on Friday as it make its way towards the north of Thailand and Cambodia over the weekend equivalent to a TS.
Hurricane Max and Tropical Storm Norma
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/eastern-pacific-tropical-systems-aim-for-mexico-this-week/70002717
Max became a hurricane on the southern side of Mexico. This system made landfall as a Category 1.
Just to the northwest of Max is Norma, which became a tropical storm Thursday morning. Norma, could again put Mexico on alert for tropical moisture for the weekend...Norma is likely to become a hurricane as it churns in the warm waters of the East Pacific.
Buying a house with an underground pool. Is it worth it?
I live in SW Pa and looking to purchase a house with gf. We found a decent house and it has a gigantic underground pool in the backyard. Overall, the rest of the house is good/fair and it is in a decent area. The house itself is a little pricey, but hoping to negotiate a bit if it comes to that.
My question are pool worth the trouble in SW PA area where I assume weather permits only get a good 20-30 days use of it? I know this depends on the person's attitude on having it. We swim on occasion but are not avid swimmers and we have no kids or expected to in the future. I'm pretty sure I can find a cheaper home without one. Can someone with a pool at their home indicate if there are untold issues/cost on having one beside the maintenance and additional water/sewage cost?
If Irma hits Mar-a-lago wouldn't that be funny.
Coincidence or is it a sign? 
Not that I want the hurricane to hit US at all.
Just wondering if Pat Robinson or Fox News will mention it.
Quick funny story. I was stuck at camp with some religious and Trump supporters early this weekend. The topic of Irma came up and one of them mention it was a sign from God and he is not happy with the US. I blurred out "yeah, god is not happy that we elected Trump." They dismissed it quickly. I said that if Irma hit Marlo Largo then you know it is true. We laugh and they said okay. Funny that when I told this joke, early projections had the hurricane missing the US or possible skimming the Carolinas. Also projecting a hurricane to hit 1 specific spot is extremely low anyways. Not that I want the hurricane to hit US, but it would be nice to rub it in their faces.
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Member since: Thu Jul 21, 2016, 06:50 PMNumber of posts: 395
